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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. Of course I’m using H85 as the peak of the warm nose like most models had. If it was actually a bit above or below that then I suppose mesoanalysis could technically be right with the H85 0C, but there’s another melting layer elsewhere.
  2. The NAM forecast was definitely wrong, but I think it was closer on the mix line at 11z than the mesoanalysis was. It was always a bit on an island with the extent of the WAA and mix push into the Whites.
  3. Yeah I think I’m skunked still for a few hours with a mixed bag (we’ll see), but it’s good news for your area. High CC is definitely moving back in from the west.
  4. Looking at that collapse SE and the good push SE on ENX I’m thinking that may be about it for the sleet extent. Probably 50/50 sn/ip now.
  5. 100% paint peeling sleet now. This snow is damn heavy.
  6. Back to all snow. Did 2 cores because I didn’t like the first but got about the same results. 4.1” new / 0.50” w.e. So that puts us at 8.9”/1.00” total.
  7. 8.8” here. Will probably get over 9” with sleet contamination.
  8. Hanging onto a wedge of cold here despite the mixing making its way up to Wolfeboro east of me. Looks like it’s nearing e18 on 93 now.
  9. Still hanging on to all snow. I thought 15z would be the time we’d flip here so we’ve hung on a little longer. 27.0°
  10. Starting to get some larger aggregates…mix line is getting near. 27.0
  11. Look at those Beech trees holding onto their 2023 leaves like champs.
  12. I’d be surprised if they mix, but funky things can start happening on the north side of the notch with a 60kt southerly LLJ.
  13. Snow growth is starting to improve a bit here. Looks like Lincoln/Woodstock over to Phin is getting pounded by some fronto on the northern edge.
  14. I mean maybe the NAM is a little too aggressive, but it’s a lot closer than the HRRR to my eyes. 11z still has MHT as all snow at 14z while the 3k nammy has the mix line up to me. So we’ll see where we stand at 10am. But CC really doesn’t lie in these situations. The cold and occasional stronger lift is helping to fight the mix line off at times but it’s coming eventually. Boyd Hall up at 1P1 will probably stay mostly snow though.
  15. There may be some grains mixing in but it isn’t all snow. Mostly sleet. There’s been some UP obs in 5 min obs too. The ASOS won’t report PL unless the observer feels like augmenting it today.
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