SACRUS
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32 / 13 off a low of 20 here. Some clouds moving through and should see some breaks of sun throughout the day. Looks like the coldest open first week 7/10 days since Dec 2010.
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Final Dep: JFK: +5.5 EWR: + 4.8 ISP: +3.7 LGA" +3.6 NYC" +3.4
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Records: Highs: EWR: 71 (1991) NYC: 70 (1991) LGA: 70 (1991) JFK: 64 (2005) Lows: EWR: 16 (1976) NYC: 5 (1875) LGA: 18 (1976) JFK: 19 (1976) Historical: 1875 - A severe early season cold wave set November records in the northeastern U.S. The temperature dipped to 5 above zero at New York City, 2 below at Boston MA, and 13 below at Eastport ME. (David Ludlum) 1925:An extremely rare late November hurricane began to affect the west coast of Florida as it strengthened during the day. The storm made landfall very early on December 1st south of Tampa Bay, weakened to a tropical storm as it crossed central Florida, and exited around St. Augustine. The storm regained Hurricane strength off Jacksonville late on the 1st. Heavy rain continued over northeast Florida on the 2nd. Gale force winds were reported from the Keys to Jacksonville and over 50 people lost their lives, mostly on ships at sea. Damage along the coast south of Jacksonville was heavy and excessive rain and wind seriously damaged citrus and truck crops. 1957 - Lee slope winds enhanced by Hurricane Nina gusted to 82 mph at Honolulu, Hawaii, a record wind gust for that location. Wainiha, on the island of Kauai, was deluged with 20.42 inches of rain, and 35 foot waves pounded some Kauai beaches, even though the eye of the hurricane was never within 120 miles of the islands. (30th-1st) (The Weather Channel) 1967 - A record November snowstorm struck the Washington D.C. area. It produced up to a foot of snow in a 12 hour period. (David Ludlum) 1976 - MacLeod Harbor, AK, reported a precipitation total for November of 70.99 inches, which established a state record for any month of the year. (The National Weather Summary) 1987 - Showers produced heavy rain in the northeastern U.S. Up to three inches of rain drenched the Brandywine Creek Basin of Pennsylvania, and rainfall totals in Vermont ranged up to two inches at Dorsett. Snow fell heavily across Upper Michigan as gale force winds prevailed over Lake Superior. A storm moving into the northwestern U.S. produced gale force winds along the northern and central Pacific coast. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Snow in the Upper Great Lakes Region pushed the precipitation total for the month at Marquette, MI, past their previous November record of 7.67 inches. Santa Anna winds in southern California gusted to 75 mph at Laguna Peak. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Squalls produced heavy snow in the Lower Great Lakes Region, with 15 inches reported at Chaffee, NY, and at Barnes Corners NY. Tropical Storm Karen drenched parts of Cuba with heavy rain. Punta Del Este reported fourteen inches of rain in 24 hours. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
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31 / 17 , clear. Cold the next week to 10 days with Large ridge out west and with deep trough into the east. Cold overall the nex 10 days and coldest start to Dec in a while. Clippers this week to watch for a coating or so, larger storm to coincide with potential warmup around the 9 - 12.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 70 (1990) NYC: 69 (1990) LGA: 69 (1990) JFK: 64 (2017) Low: EWR: 15 (1955) NYC: 14 (1875) LGA: 17 (1955) JFK: 25 (1989) Historical: 1896 - The mercury plunged to 51 degrees below zero at Havre, MT. It marked the culmination of a two week long cold wave caused by a stagnate high pressure area similar to those over Siberia during the winter. During the month of November temperatures across Montana and the Dakotas averaged 15 to 25 degrees below normal. (David Ludlum) 1969 - Dense fog along the Jersey Turnpike resulted in a chain reaction of vehicle collisions during the morning rush hour. A propane truck jacknifed and was struck by a trailor truck, and other vehicles piled into the fiery mass. (David Ludlum) 1975 - Red River was buried under 34 inches of snow in 24 hours, establishing a record for the state of New Mexico. (The Weather Channel) 1985 - The temperature at Bismarck, ND, plunged to 30 degrees below zero to establish their record low for the month of November. The high that day was 4 degrees below zero. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Snow blanketed the Upper Mississippi Valley, with heavy snow reported near Lake Superior. Up to ten inches of snow was reported in Douglas County and Bayfield County of Wisconsin. Brule WI received nine inches of snow. Heavy rain soaked the Middle Atlantic Coast States, while gale force winds lashed the coastline. Flooding was reported in Maryland and Virginia. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Nine inches of snow at Alta UT brought their total for the month to 164 inches, surpassing their previous November record of 144 inches. Snowbird UT, also in the Little Cottonwood Valley, surpassed their November record of 118 inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Strong Santa Ana winds diminished over southern California, but record cold was reported in some of the California valleys, with readings of 27 degrees at Redding and 31 degrees at Bakersfield. Gale force winds, gusting to 44 mph at Milwuakee WI, produced snow squalls in the Great Lakes Region. Sault Ste Marie MI finished the month of November with a record 46.8 inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1991:A tornado struck southeast Springfield, Missouri, causing F4 damage. Shortly after touchdown, the tornado reached F3 intensity, approximately 3 miles north of the town of Nixa. While crossing Highway 65, the tornado picked up a truck and dropped it onto a frontage road, killing one passenger and injuring ten others. The tornado intensified to F4 strength as it moved through the Woodbridge and Natural Bridge Estates subdivisions where 15 homes were destroyed. Altogether, two people were killed and 64 others were injured.
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Drier / Cold week as currently forecasted - Lake Effect Snows showing nicely on the 7 Day QPF
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Rainfall totals: JFK: 0.95 NYC: 0.86 EWR: 0.83 LGA: 0.79 New Brnswck: 0.74
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43 / 30 clear and chilly. Mid - upper 40s today then colder the next 7 - 10 days. Opening of Dec coldest in a while, perhaps since 2010. WC large ridge with deep trough into the east, likely reinforced in the Dec 6 - 8 period. Cold first half of Dec all but guaranteed. Will there be some trackable events to coincide - to be determined. Peak cold looks next weekend.
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46 / 44 moderate rain. 0.36 in the bucket and likely to double that. Rain looks to fizzle out in the afternoon, bringing a total of 0.75 - 1.00 to most. Drier and colder heading into the weekend with overall below normal with a cold start to Dec with peaks of the cold between 2 -4 and reinforcing shot at Day 7-10 (6- 8th) with strong ridge into the w c / PNW and trough into the east/ We'll have to watch any storm threats materialize.
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Rain to W/WC -PA
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Records: HIghs: EWR: 67 (1960) NYC: 72 (1896) LGA: 65 (2015) JFK: 63 (2020) Lows: EWR: 12 (1932) NYC: 12 (1932) LGA: 23 (1949) JFK: 23 (1949) Historical: 1701:Anders Celsius, the astronomer who invented the Celsius, often called the centigrade thermometer scale was born on this date. 1883 - Fire engines were called out in New York City and New Haven, CT, as a result of the afterglow of the sunset due to vivid red ash from the Krakatoa Volcano explosion in August. (The Weather Channel) 1898 - The Portland storm raged across New England producing gale force winds along the coast and heavy snow inland. A foot of snow blanketed Boston MA, and 27 inches fell at New London CT. Winds at Boston gusted to 72 mph, and wind gusts to 98 mph were estimated at Block Island RI. A passenger ship, the S. S. Portland, sank off Cape Cod with the loss of all 191 persons aboard, and Boston Harbor was filled with wrecked ships. The storm wrecked 56 vessels resulting in a total of 456 casualties. (26th- 28th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Wet weather prevailed across much of the nation east of the Rockies. Sunny and cool weather prevailed in the western U.S. Snow fell in the central U.S., with totals in Kansas ranging up to six inches at Burr Oak. Much of the area from central Oklahoma to southwestern Minnesota experienced its first snow of the winter season. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Snow and high winds created blizzard conditions in Minnesota. Winds gusted to 63 mph at Windom, and snowfall totals ranged up to 14 inches at Aitkin. Snow drifts seven feet high closed many roads. Fargo ND reported a wind chill reading of 34 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - A storm system crossing the north central U.S. spread snow across the Dakotas and Minnesota. Heavy snow fell in western South Dakota, with 18 inches reported at Galena. Strong winds associated with the storm gusted to 50 mph in the Great Lakes Region and the Great Plains, with blowing dust reported in Kansas. Thunderstorms associated with the same storm system produced damaging winds in Michigan, Ohio and Indiana during the evening, with gusts to 73 mph reported east of Ypsilante MI. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed ahead of the cold front. Twenty-three cities from the Gulf coast to the Ohio Valley and the Mid Mississippi Valley reported record high temperatures for the date, including Saint Louis MO with a reading of 76 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2005 - A major winter storm affected parts of Nebraska and the Dakotas during the 27th-28th. Snowfall accumulations of 16-20 inches were observed in parts of eastern South Dakota, while wind gusts exceeding 60 mph also accompanied the snow, creating blizzard conditions. Thousands of power outages were caused by the combination of strong winds and heavy snow. In South Dakota, about 8,000 utility poles and 10,000 miles of transmission line were brought down by the storm (Associated Press).
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46 / 29. Mid 50s and cloudy later with rain overnight into Thu - 0.50 - 1.00. Cold arrives Thanksgiving weekend, with a cold start to Dec, potentially the coldest since 2010 (first 7 -10 days). Clouds to W PA already and a few hours of sun here
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Tue highs - warmest for a while (at least mid dec and potentially beyond) TEB: 64 ACY: 63 EWR: 62 JFK: 62 PHL: 62 New Brnswck: 61 BLM: 60 TTN: 59 LGA: 58 NYC: 58 ISP: 57
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Up to 62 - likely the warmest through at least Dec 12th and perhaps beyond.
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Sunday potentially the coldest day since Feb 17th as Dec opens below normal with cold not seen since 2010 for the first 7 - 10 days as currently forecast.
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0.17 in the bucket here. Looks just about over, some clearing and breaks in the clouds working into C/E PA
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Records: Highs: EWR: 68 (2011) NYC: 67 (1946) LGA: 67 (2020) JFK: 66 (2020) Lows: EWR: 15 (1938) NYC: 16 (1938) LGA: 24 (1940) JFK: 24 (1993) Historical: 1888 - A late season hurricane brushed the East Coast with heavy rain and gale force winds. The hurricane passed inside Nantucket and over Cape Cod, then crossed Nova Scotia. (David Ludlum) 1896 - Snow and high winds hit the Northern Plains and the Upper Mississippi Valley, with a Thanksgiving Day blizzard across North Dakota. The storm was followed by a severe cold wave in the Upper Midwest. The temperature at Pokegama Dam MI plunged to 45 degrees below zero. (David Ludlum) 1987 - A Thanksgiving Day storm in the northeastern U.S. produced heavy snow in northern New England and upstate New York. Snowfall totals in Maine ranged up to twenty inches at Flagstaff Lake. Totals in New Hampshire ranged up to 18 inches at Errol. Gales lashed the coast of Maine and New Hampshire. A second storm, over the Southern and Central Rockies, produced nine inches of snow at Kanosh UT, and 13 inches at Divide CO, with five inches reported at Denver CO. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Central Gulf Coast States during the late morning and afternoon hours. Five tornadoes were reported in Mississippi, with the tornadoes causing a million dollars damage at Ruleville, and in Warren County. In Utah, the town of Alta was blanketed with 15 inches of snow overnight, and during the day was buried under another 16.5 inches of snow. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - A massive storm over the western U.S. produced heavy snow in Utah, Colorado, Wyoming and Montana. The storm produced more than two feet of snow in the higher elevations of northern and central Utah, bringing more than sixty inches of snow to the Alta Ski Resort in the Wasatch Mountains. Winds in Utah gusted to 60 mph at Bullfrog. The storm brought much needed snow to the ski resorts of Colorado, with 19 inches reported at Beaver Creek. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)
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50 / 49 light rain moving through. Warmest day of at least the next week to 10 days and likely beyond. Next chance of rain Thursday with a moderate rainfall around one inch for most. Colder starting Thanksgiving weekend and through the first 7 - 10 days of December. Coldest Dec opening since 2010 being forecast, peaking Dec 2 - 7 as of current forecasts.
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2017 opended above normal with the strong cold between the 8th and 16th. Cold opening being forecast is closer to the 2010 start, or coldest since then.
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NYC Thanksgiving Weather https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/Thanksgivingwx.pdf
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1950 Storm - Appalachian Storm of the Century https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/great-appalachian-snowstorm-november-1950
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Records: Highs: EWR: 73 (1979) NYC: 73 (1979) LGA: 68 (1979) JFK: 67 (1979) Lows; EWR: 19 (1938) NYC: 19 (1938) LGA: 23 (2005) JFK: 22 (2005) Historical: 1950 - A great storm hit the Northern and Central Appalachians with snow and high winds. Winds reached hurricane force along eastern slopes of the Appalachians, with gusts to 100 mph at Hartford CT, 110 mph at Concord NH, and 160 mph at Mount Washington NH. Heavy rain also hit the eastern slopes, with eight inches reported at Slide Mountain NY. The western slopes were buried under heavy snow. The storm produced record snowfall totals of 27.7 inches at Pittsburgh PA, and 36.3 inches at Steubenville OH. The snow, and record cold temperatures, resulted in 160 deaths. (25th-26th) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1950: Called the "storm of the century" this storm impacted the eastern part of the US, killing hundreds and causing millions of dollars in damages. New York City recorded a 94 mph wind gust and Bear Mountain, just north of the city recorded a 140 mph gust. Record low temperatures were reported on the southern end of this storm in Tennessee and North Carolina. This storm was unique as Pittsburgh saw 30 inches of snow, while Buffalo saw 50 degrees with 50 mph wind gusts. 1970 - The temperature at Tallahassee, FL, dipped to 13 degrees, following a high of 40 degrees the previous day. The mercury then reached 67 degrees on the 26th, and highs were in the 70s the rest of the month. (The Weather Channel) 1983 - The Great Thanksgiving Weekend Blizzard hit Denver, CO. The storm produced 21.5 inches of snow in 37 hours, closing Stapleton Airport for 24 hours. The snow and wind closed interstate highways around Denver. Visibility at Limon CO was down to zero for 24 hours. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - An early morning thunderstorm in southeastern Texas produced high winds which rolled a mobile home east of Bay City killing two of the four occupants. Thunderstorms produced locally heavy rains in central and eastern Texas, with nine inches reported at Huntsville, and 8.5 inches at Wimberly. Snow fell across northern and central Lower Michigan, with totals ranging up to nine inches at Cadillac. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Arkansas, eastern Oklahoma and northwest Texas during the day and into the night. Thunderstorms in Texas produced softball size hail at Alba, and wind gusts to 80 mph at Krum. Hail and high winds caused nearly five million dollars damage at Kaufman TX, and strong downburst winds derailed twenty-eight freight cars at Fruitvale TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
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42 / 32 clear. Warmest two days (Mon / Tue) of the next 2 weeks potentially. Mid 50s today, mid - upper 50s, to 60 in the warmer spots on Tuedsy with clouds and light rain. Clouds remain Wed before some moderate rainfall Thu >1.00 inch likely. Much colder by Thanksgiving weekend with a strong rd=idge into the PNW and deep trough into the east to open Dec (1 - 7th / 10 daya). Coldest start to Dec with current forecasts, since 2010. Could yield some snow. Beyond there moderating towards mid month, but near to below normal till then.
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Looks to end for sure and the period to open Dec looks potentially well below normal. I went back a bit but would need some confirmation that the current forecasts would be the coldest open (1-7th) of Dec since 2010.
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Records: Highs: EWR: 75 (1979) NYC: 73 (1979) LGA: 68 (1989) JFK: 64 (2014) Lows: EWR: 20 (1989) NYC: 14 (1880) LGA: 22 (1956) JFK: 21 (2001) Historical: 1812 - Southwesterly winds of hurricane force sank ships and unroofed buildings at Philadelphia and New York City. (David Ludlum) 1863 - The battle above the clouds was fought on Lookout Mountain near Chattanooga. Pre-frontal clouds obscured the upper battle- field aiding a Union victory. (David Ludlum) 1950 - The temperature at Chicago, IL, dipped to 2 below zero to equal their record for the month established on the 29th in 1872. On the first of the month that year Chicago established a record high for November with a reading of 81 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1982 - Hurricane Iwa lashed the Hawaiian Islands of Niihau, Kauai, and Oahu with high winds and surf. Winds gusting to 120 mph caused extensive shoreline damage. Damage totalled 150 million dollars on Kauai, and fifty million dollars on Oahu. The peak storm surge on the south shore was six to eight feet. It marked the first time in 25 years that Hawaii had been affected by a hurricane. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Showers and thunderstorms produced heavy rain in southern Missouri, southeast Kansas and northeastern Oklahoma. Flooding was reported in Greene County of southwestern Missouri. Springfield MO was drenched with more than six inches of rain. Thunderstorms over southern Texas produced more than eight inches of rain in Caldwell County and Hayes County, and thunderstorms over south central Oklahoma produced one inch hail at Temple twice within an hour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Low pressure brought heavy snow and high winds to the Northern and Central Rockies. Snowfall totals in Colorado ranged up to 40 inches at Wolf Creek Pass, with 27 inches falling in 24 hours. Telluride CO received 32 inches of snow, and winds atop Mines Peak gusted to 95 mph. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)
