SACRUS

Records: Highs: EWR: 103 (1994) NYC: 98 (1994) LGA: 97 (1994) JFK: 98 (1994) Lows: EWR: 53 (1954) NYC: 49 (1914) LGA: 56 (2022) JFK: 54 (1965) Historical: 1794: A violent tornado commenced west of the Hudson River in New York. The tornado traveled through Poughkeepsie then crossed the border into Connecticut where it went through the towns of New Milford, Waterbury, North Haven, and Branford. It then continued into Long Island Sound. The tornado did extensive damage, and the funnel was reported by one observer to look like the "aurora borealis." 1835 - A tornado tore through the center of New Brunswick NJ killing five persons and scattering debris as far as Manhattan Island. The tornado provided the first opportunity for scientists to study firsthand the track of such a storm. (David Ludlum) 1934: A hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico came ashore in Louisiana, then moved northeast, passing over northern Delaware, Philadelphia, PA and central New Jersey as an extratropical storm, with sustained winds of 45 mph. Philadelphia received 1.70 inches of rainfall on the 18th into this date, and New York City had 1.93 inches on this date, a daily record. As the storm passed over Philadelphia, the pressure dropped to 29.40 inches of mercury. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1938 - A cloudburst near Custer Creek, MT, (near Miles City) caused a train wreck killing forty-eight persons. An estimated four to seven inches of rain deluged the head of the creek that evening, and water flowing through the creek weakened the bridge. As a result, a locomotive and seven passenger cars plunged into the swollen creek. One car, a tourist sleeper, was completely submerged. (David Ludlum) 1944: Hailstorm caused great destruction to fruit crop in Winchester, Virginia. 1964: A squall line producing large hail swept through central Illinois, followed by two more consecutive lines passing shortly after dawn. The resulting hailstorms caused damage in excess of $9 million dollars, as hailstones the size of grapefruits brought havoc to trees, utility lines, crops and buildings. The thunderstorms also produced as much as 5 inches of rain over an 8-hour period. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1965: The Arkansas River crested at 15.68 feet at Dodge City, KS. Heavy rains in Eastern Colorado combined with three broken dams started the torrent of water which flowed through Colorado and Kansas. The river rose seven feet in 15 minutes between 9 AM and 9:15 AM. The deepest part of south Dodge was about 7 feet under water. The deep water created other problems, when gas regulators were covered, pressure built up in the gas lines and Dodge City was rocked by explosions. Total urban losses in Dodge City and Wilroads Gardens were estimated at nearly $3.8 million dollars, including damages to 615 residences and 155 businesses. 24 Kansas counties were declared flood disasters. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1972 - Hurricane Agnes moved onshore near Cape San Blas FL with wind gusts to 80 mph, and exited Maine on the 26th. There were 117 deaths, mainly due to flooding from North Carolina to New York State, and total damage was estimated at more than three billion dollars. Up to 19 inches of rain deluged western Schuylkill County PA. The rains of Hurricane Agnes resulted in one of the greatest natural disasters in U.S. history. Agnes caused more damage than all other tropical cyclones in the previous six years combined (which included Celia and Camille). (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - It was a warm June day, with plenty of thunderstorms east of the Rockies. Lightning knocked out power at Throckmorton, TX, and ignited an oil tank battery. A woman in Knox City TX was struck by lightning while in her car, and a man was struck by lightning near his home in Manatee County FL. Strong thunderstorm winds overturned several outhouses near Bixby OK, but no injuries were reported. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Temperatures soared above 100 degrees in the central U.S. for Father's Day. Fifteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date. Severe thunderstorms in Minnesota and Wisconsin produced softball size hail near River Falls WI, and wind gusts to 80 mph at Menomonie WI. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Fourteen cities reported record high temperatures for the date as searing heat spread from the southwestern deserts into the High Plains Region. Record highs included 98 degrees at Billings, MT, 107 degrees at Valentine, NE, and 112 degrees at Tucson, AZ. (The National Weather Summary) 1990 - What would eventually be known as the "Inland Hurricane" stuck south central Kansas. This storm system produced a swath of 65 to 120 mph winds across six counties and caused $80 million dollars in damage. The peak recorded wind gust was 116 mph, which reaches low-end category 3 on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind intensity scale. On the enhanced Fujita Scale the 116mph winds would be rated an EF2. The storm knocked out power to all the Wichita TV stations, and they were off the air for hours. All but one of the Wichita Radio Stations, including the Wichita NOAA Weather Radio Station KEC-59, was knocked off the air. (National Weather Service Wichita) 2006 - Up to 11 inches of rain fell in the Houston, Texas area, causing widespread flash flooding. The Houston Fire Department rescued more than 500 people from flood waters, but no serious injuries or fatalities were reported

75 / 73 (tropics). Partly to mostly sunny through the afternoon before scattered storms. First or next (2nd or 3rd) 90 degree readings for many. A bit of a dip tomorrow with only a stray chance at 90 in the hottest spots. By Saturday the heat is coming on and the hot spots get to 90 , ridge builds to >594 DM with 850 MB temps >21C Mon - Wed. Tuesday the century mark is most probable in the hot spots. storms firing around the periphery of the ridge Wed evening on most models. Heat continues later next week and into the weekend of the 27th. Overall warm - hot / humid and wetter with storms chances as ridge builds back west and more heat expands north and east early next month 6/19 : Hot / storms later scattered 6/20 - 6/29 : Overall hot to very hot (6-9 90 degree days of the 11 days) storms possible 6/30 - beyond : Overall warm - hot and wet (storms) ridge builds west and expands east with heat bulding north and east

Highs: New Brnswck: 87 ACY: 87 EWR: 86 TEB: 86 PHL: 86 LGA: 85 TTN: 85 BLM: 84 NYC: 84 JFK: 82 ISP: 79

84/70 here

We'll see if this starts to light up later this pm

Seems like a similar evolution to last June's heatwave

83 here and partly sunny.

Tendency has been a factor and needs to be weighted more for weakness undercutting the ridge and the center forcing the strongest heat west / north of coastal/NYC - east.

We'll see how the heat/above normal 6/19 - 6/30 compares with this and the prior cool period in early June. Jun 14 EWR: 71 / 61 (-6) 0.31 NYC: 68 / 59 (-8) 0.23 LGA: 67 / 59 (-10) 0.13 JFK: 66 / 60 (-7) 1.00 Jun 15: EWR: 65 / 59 (-11) 0.19 NYC: 64 / 59 (-10) .03 LGA: 65 / 59 (-11) 0.03 JFK: 63 / 59 (-9) 0.07 Jun 16: EWR: 70 / 62 (-7) 0.03 NYC: 69 / 60 (-7) LGA: 68 / 60 (-10) JFK: 70 / 60 ( -5) Jun 17: EWR: 71 / 63 (-6) NYC: 67 / 62 (-8) LGA: 68 / 62 (-9) JFK: 66 / 64 (-4)

Just touched 80 and saw the sun after not seeing blue skies in 102 hours.

https://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/monthlyannualprecip.pdf Good reference

I think we can agree that a drier hotter spell is preferred and it as been a wet stretch the past years but just as hot as some of those years on occasion.

Highest recent 98 in 2021, 97 in 2022 at the park. 100 in 2012.

EWR top 95 + days were more recent than the 40s or 50s, top 5 includes 2021 and 2022. You listed 5 years out of 20 that had record heat you can say the same between 2000 - 2020 / 2010 - 2024 1993 1 25 2010 2 21 2022 3 20 1988 3 20 1944 3 20 2021 6 18 2012 7 17 2011 7 17 2002 7 17 1955 7 17 1949 11 16 2005 12 14

Although EWR has in 2022 most recently if you are going by 90 degree days. look at the record cool in the 50s Lows:EWR: 49 (1950)NYC: 48 (1950)LGA: 49 (1950)JFK: 53 (1959)

Slow to clear

SSW wind now pushing humidity - Dewpoint 69 here More thinning of the clouds and up to 73

Records: Highs: EWR: 97 (1993) NYC: 95 (1929) LGA: 95 (1994) JFK: 94 (1962) Lows: EWR: 49 (1950) NYC: 48 (1950) LGA: 49 (1950) JFK: 53 (1959) Historical: 1875 - A severe coastal storm (or possible hurricane) struck the Atlantic coast from Cape Cod to Nova Scotia. Eastport ME reported wind gusts to 57 mph. (David Ludlum) 1958 - Hailstones up to four inches in diameter killed livestock as a storm passed from Joliet to Belfry in Carbon County MT. (The Weather Channel) 1970 - Wind and rain, and hail up to seven inches deep, caused more than five million dollars damage at Oberlin KS. (The Weather Channel) 1972: Hurricane Agnes was one of the most massive June hurricanes on record. The system strengthened into a tropical storm during the night of the 15th and a hurricane on the 18th as it moved northward in the Gulf of Mexico. 1987 - It was a hot day in the Upper Great Lakes Region. Nine cities in Michigan and Wisconsin reported record high temperatures for the date. The high of 90 degrees at Marquette, MI, marked their third straight day of record heat. Severe thunderstorm in the Northern and Central High Plains Region spawned half a dozen tornadoes in Wyoming and Colorado. Wheatridge, CO, was deluged with 2.5 inches of rain in one hour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms in eastern North Dakota and northern Minnesota produced hail three inches in diameter and spawned four tornadoes in Steele County. Thunderstorms also produced wind gusts to 80 mph at Clearbrook MN. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Unseasonably hot weather prevailed in the southwestern U.S. In Arizona, afternoon highs of 103 degrees at Winslow, 113 degrees at Tucson, and 115 degrees at Phoenix were records for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1991: Atlanta, GA recorded a new record for the amount of rainfall in one hour as 3.47 inches fell between 6:52 pm and 7:52 pm EDT. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1993: In west central Kansas, heavy rain caused roads in the Syracuse area to flood. As much as one foot of water covered some roads for a short period of time. In Greeley County, golf ball size hail, driven by thunderstorm winds, damaged wheat and broke windows along a four mile path from five miles south of Astor to nine miles south of Astor. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1997: Over 6 inches of rain fell at Columbia, MS in a three hour period and 8.25 inches fell in a 24 hour period. Water entered thirty businesses in Columbia, with 12 of the businesses suffering major damage. Eight homes also suffered flood damage. Many roads were washed out and had to be closed. Numerous cars were under water. This event caused $15 million dollars in property damages. Several roads were also flooded across the south half of Forrest County. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1999: Record morning chill occurred across the Appalachians. Record lows for the date included: , Elkins, WV: 39 °F, Pittsburgh, PA: 43 °F, Bluefield, WV: 46 °F. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

70 / 68 clouds (day 5 hour 108). Should see some breaks and with the sun temps spike low to upper 80s in the hot spots. Storms later this evening along the boundary as the warm front comes north further. Tomorrow a shade hottter than today and again pending on clouds some get their first or next (2nd/ or 3rd) 90 degree reading. Friday drier transition day before the heat builds in Satruday. Euro keeps the mini MCS into New England Sat night into Sunday and the GFS gets rain here Saturday night and lingering debris clouds Sunday keeping the rainy weekend consecutive streak hope alive for those few hoping for more rain. 850 MB temps are >18c Sunday and then >21C Mon - Wed , peak heat Mon - Wed, Tue the century mark most probable. We'll see if the wind / flow keep the N/W component and how hot it'll be. Looking like starting tomorrow 8 of 10 90 degree days to close the month in the hot spots / wamrest scenario otherwise 5-7 of the next 10. In the way beyond Beyond there heights look elevated with ridging into the EC with an overall warm - hot but continued wet look.

Looks like the GFS has some minor MCS into the area while the Euro has it into northern New England on Sunday.

Latest cold period Jun 14 EWR: 71 / 61 (-6) 0.31 NYC: 68 / 59 (-8) 0.23 LGA: 67 / 59 (-10) 0.13 JFK: 66 / 60 (-7) 1.00 Jun 15: EWR: 65 / 59 (-11) 0.19 NYC: 64 / 59 (-10) .03 LGA: 65 / 59 (-11) 0.03 JFK: 63 / 59 (-9) 0.07 Jun 16: EWR: 70 / 62 (-7) 0.03 NYC: 69 / 60 (-7) LGA: 68 / 60 (-10) JFK: 70 / 60 ( -5) Jun 17: EWR: 71 / 63 (-6) NYC: 67 / 62 (-8) LGA: 68 / 62 (-9) JFK: 66 / 64 (-4)

Up to 70 for a high today some breaks in the clouds but rain into NNJ

Up to 68 - 70 in reach