SACRUS

Overall looking like very warm 4th of July weekend from this far in advance. ECM is hotter than the GFS but both imply above normal to hot conditions. Believe the onshore flow timing is more 6/30 - 7/2 or 3. But being that is has been a reoccurring theme this past 2 months, something to watch as we go through the next few days. 276 hours to go...

6/22 LGA: 93 EWR: 92 New Brnswck: 91 TEB: 91 NYC: 90 BLM: 90 TTN: 89 PHL: 89 ACY: 88 ISP: 88 JFK: 87

Last few runs of the GFS, Euro / ensembles showing strong ridging building into the region by 6/30 but flow could be onshore before going more NW/WNW by Jul 3. Looking hot by the 4th right now.

360 hours away and starting to show up on th elong range extended guidance. ECM / GFS show warm above normal into the east and most of the country for that matter. Will see how it progresses.

6/10 New Brnswck: 91 PHL: 91 TTN: 90 ACY: 87 BLM: 86 EWR: 86 TEB: 86 NYC: 85 LGA: 85 ISP: 79 JFK: 79

6/9 LGA: 91 EWR: 91 TEB: 89 BLM: 89 New Brnswck: 88 PHL: 88 NYC: 87 TTN: 86 ACY: 85 ISP: 83 JFK: 81

first 90's of the season. 6/6 EWR: 91 PHL: 90 LGA: 90 New Nrnswck: 89 ACY: 89 BLM: 88 TEB: 88 TTN: 87 NYC: 86 JFK: 86 ISP: 82

Dont think we are too far from our first 90s of the season / near memorial day weekend. 2020 projections Hotter / wetter version of 2008. Bookend hottest temps of summer fist half of June and early/mid August, Jul longest stretch of heat.. Possible century mark heat in Aug. Thinking near normal to wetter overall. If things go to one way would argue more chance of warmth underscoring temps 90 degree (+) days PHL: 30 - 33 EWR: 31 - 34 NYC: 17 - 20 LGA: 27 - 30 New Bnswk: 26 - 29

10/2 EWR: 96 ACY: 96 New Bnswk: 95 PHL: 95 JFK: 95 TEB: 95 LGA: 95 BLM: 94 NYC: 93 TTN: 93 ISP: 89

9/23 EWR: 93 TEB: 92 PHL: 92 BLM: 91 New Bnswk: 90 ACY: 90 LGA: 90 NYC: 89 TTN: 89 JFK: 82 ISP: 81

9/11 TEB: 93 EWR: 91 LGA: 91 New Bnswk: 90 PHL: 90 BLM: 90 TTN: 89 NYC: 88 ACY: 88 JFK: 84 ISP: 81

Or next week Sep 11 - 17 period.

9/4: TEB: 94 ACY: 92 PHL: 92 New Bnswk:90 EWR: 90 TTN: 89 LGA: 89 BLM: 88 NYC: 87 JFK: 81 ISP: 80

8/22 LGA: 93 ACY: 93 TEB: 92 EWR: 92 New Bnswk: 92 PHL: 92 ISP: 91 JFK: 91 BLM: 91 NYC: 90 TTN: 89

8/21 ACY: 92 PHL: 92 LGA: 91 BLM: 91 New Bnswk: 91 TEB: 90 EWR: 89 TTN: 89 NYC: 87 JFK: 88 ISP: 85

8/19 EWR: 94 LGA: 93 TEB: 93 New Bwnswk: 93 PHL: 93 BLM: 92 ACY: 92 TTN: 92 NYC: 90 ISP: 86 JFK: 86

8/18 TEB: 97 New Bnswk: 92 LGA: 91 PHL: 91 NYC: 90 ACY: 90 EWR: 90 BLM: 89 TTN: 89 JFK: 87 ISP: 87

8/7: PHL: 91 TEB: 90 New Bnswk: 88 ACY: 88 LGA: 87 TTN: 87 BLM: 85 NYC: 84 EWR: 84 ISP: 84 JFK: 84 8/8 LGA: 92 ACY: 90 PHL: 89 TEB: 89 New Bnswk: 86 BLM: 87 EWR: 87 JFK: 84 TTN: 84 NYC: 84 ISP: 83

8/4 EWR: 91 TEB: 90 New Bnswk: 90 PHL: 90 BLM: 90 JFK: 89 ACY: 89 TTN: 89 ISP: 88 LGA: 88 NYC: 87

7/31: TEB: 92 PHL: 92 ACY: 91 LGA: 90 New Bnswk: 90 BLM: 89 EWR: 89 NYC: 87 JFK: 86 TTN: 86 ISP: 85

7/30: PHL: 96 TEB: 96 LGA: 95 EWR: 95 ACY: 95 BLM: 94 New Bnswk: 94 TTN: 93 NYC: 92 ISP: 88 JFK: 87

7/29 TEB: 96 EWR: 94 LGA: 94 BLM: 94 ACY: 94 New Bnswk: 93 PHL: 93 TTN: 91 NYC: 90 ISP: 89 JFK: 89

7/28: LGA: 93 EWR: 92 TEB: 92 ACY: 92 BLM: 92 New Bnswk: 91 PHL: 91 TTN: 90 ISP: 88 NYC: 88 JFK: 87

7/22: ACY: 96 BLM: 93 TEB: 93 New Bnswck: 93 PHL: 93 TTN: 91 LGA: 91 NYC: 90 EWR: 89 ISP: 89 JFK: 87

Many today New thread should be predict the next month with less than 3 inches of precip.