SACRUS
Members-
Posts
15,715 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by SACRUS
-
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
SACRUS replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
You can see the onshore pushing in through MA and into RI on loop above. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
SACRUS replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Hope this loop works -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
SACRUS replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Thanks - there is some cache issues when you post a link in the thread it defaults 24 hours prior. Going to be close today and f we get enough clearing, off to the races and some fuel for storms later. Next week Mon - Wed look solidly hot with pm storms, need to watch ULL Wed PM - Fri/Sat. See if its on todays guidance. ECM more emphasis on it and more north and sticking around the Carlonias/ Mid Atlantic. Would bring the humidity and keep coastal onshore. Will see . very hot period for large sections of the country. ECM also builds 600DM ridge into the Mid west way out in the run. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
SACRUS replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
81/65 with mostly cloudy skies. Some of the clouds are breaking up and burning off a bit and should shoot temps into the 90s. With enough sun ahead of storms later this afternoon and early evening, it should push temps to or beyond yesterdays maxes. Cooler NE flow for the 4th of July and Sun, will produce gorgeous weather both days mid upper 80s, cooler california like beach weather. Heat returns next week Mon - Fri. Need to watch cut off setting up over the Carolinas by Wed PM/ Thu otherwise the heat is on and looks to continue beyond into next weekend 7/10-12. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
SACRUS replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
7/2 EWR: 95 LGA: 95 TTN: 94 TEB: 94 PHL: 93 NYC: 92 ACY: 92 New Brnswk: 92 BLM: 91 JFK: 90 ISP: 87 -
Locked in . Hot Fri, warm but cooler (splendid) Sat and Sunday. Enjoy the fourth! Heat is poised to return on Monday and really sizzle the rest of next week.
-
7/2 EWR: 95 LGA: 95 TTN: 94 TEB: 94 PHL: 93 NYC: 92 ACY: 92 New Brnswk: 92 BLM: 91 JFK: 90 ISP: 87
-
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
SACRUS replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
1PM Roundup EWR: 90 New brnswk: 89 TEB: 89 TTN: 88 LGA: 88 NYC: 88 JFK: 88 PHL: 88 BLM: 87 ACY: 87 ISP: 84 -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
SACRUS replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Agreed , sunnier than i thought and also impressive heat around. tomorrow barring clouds arriving too early should see the hottest of the year so far. -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
SACRUS replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
77/67 and mostly sunny. Surprised we cleared as well as we did, so temps may exceed prior thoughts and be on forecast near or low 90s. Friday still looks like the hottest day of the season (so far) pending on clouds and any afternoon or early evening storms. Fourth of July weekend looking down right splendid. Sunny warm and manly dry aside from a stray storm. Beaches look cooler (70s) by Saturday and Sunday is very californi-like. By Sunday the heat is building just outside the area, and starting Mon (7/6) to at least Sat (7/11) queue Glenn Frey - The heat is on. Potential for strong heat (no records expected yet) peak heat looks tue - fri. DO expect routine pm t storms. Beyond there in the long range does look like a cold front arrives 7/11 weekend. Ridge is building into the southwest and expanding east again into the Plains by mid month. Overall much warmer than normal 7/6 week, warmer than normal 7/13 week and progression should see a hotter 7/20 week. Happy fourth. -
Locking in now for a mainly dry fourth of July weekend. Starting hot Friday cooling by Sat afternoon especially along the beached to more Southern California type weather Sat PM and Sunday. EWR: LGA: Fri: 93 Sat: 87 cooling by the PM Sun: 86 NJ shore (Belmar, Lavalette) Fri: 89 Sat: 82 Sun: 77 Happy 4th.
-
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
SACRUS replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
7/1 PHL: 87 TTN: 84 LGA: 84 ISP: 83 New Brnswk: 82 ACY: 82 EWR: 80 JFK: 80 TEB: 80 NYC: 80 BLM: 78 -
July 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
SACRUS replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
75/68 and a trace of rain so far. Some breaks in the clouds but like yesterday storms and showers should develop more of the same and perhaps a bit more widespread than then. Warming tomorrow but i m still have a hard time with forecasts of mostly sunny verifying, would go partly or mostly cloudy for Thu and temps low to mid 80s vs upper 80s or neat 90. Fri the heat is on and pending on any onshore NE/Flow or storms - it should be the hottest day of the season so far. The rest of fourth of July weekend looks spectacular. Warm inland mid to upper 80s perhaps a stray 90 and cooler but nice along the beaches. 7/6 - 7/11 heat rebuild and pending on storms and clouds and a low pressure off the south east coast tht could led to some easterly flow Tues, the area should see widespread 90s and first strong heat potential/ heat wave in the period. Overall looking warm to hot but wetter as storms should occur frequentlyly. Next Thu (7/9)- Fri (7/10)look to sizzle at this point and Tue could as well if a low off the southeast coast is quicker or more south. Half way point of the year -
Forecast looks to be locking in. Friday the hottest day with pm storms (scattered). 4th of July warm but cooler in the evening and especially in the PM along the beaches. Sun looks beautiful mid - upper 80s.
-
No real changes other than Saturday is looking warmer with less onshore flow. Overall looking dry the whole holiday weekend. Still need to watch any changes with possible onshore flow by July 4th evening and Sunday. Beach areas in NJ may be warmer than thought on Sunday but will keep forecast as is.
-
6/29 ACY: 92 EWR: 91 PHL: 90 TTN: 90 JFK: 89 New Brnswk: 89 TEB: 89 LGA: 89 BLM: 87 NYC: 87 ISP: 85
-
Holiday weekend starts off hot Fri 7/3, still warm Sat but 'cooler' air via N/NE flow likely to build in by the lat afternoon Sat and Sun. By Monday the flow is going back west and the week looks hot.. Forecast currently dry EWR: Fri 7/3: 92 Sat 7/4: 89 (cooler by late afternoon) Sun 7/5 : 85 Belmar/Lavalette: Fri: 87 Sat: 80 Sun: 77
-
6/28 ACY: 95 LGA: 93 EWR: 93 PHL: 92 BLM: 92 New Brnswk: 91 TEB: 91 TTN: 90 NYC: 90 JFK: 86 ISP: 85
-
Holiday weekend looking warm and relatively rain free aside from stray showers. Fri (the 3rd) and Saturday in the park for the 4th of July look to be the hotter days before Sunday where winds may go more NE. Will need to watch the progression of the ULL to see if it does move out by Fri.
-
Just about a week away. ULL looks to push out by the fourth but linger off New England coast. Flow goes N/NW and warming by later Sat and the 5th. Looking overall dry and warm with cooler along the beaches and NJ shore Sat. Sunday looks to begin a hot stretch that looks to linger beyond the first week of July.
-
6/26 ACY: 90 LGA: 90 EWR: 89 BLM: 88 PHL: 88 New Brnswck: 88 TEB: 88 TTN: 88 NYC: 87 ISP: 86 JFK: 86
-
220 hours to go. GFS continues with bringing the flow more NW by Sat the 4th, while the ECM hole the ULL / onshore through Jul 8. We'll see if this a run that went too long or a trend. Either way looking warm and dry for most on the 4th, beaches may be a bit cooler. Once the flow turns, the heat is on.
-
244 hours to go. A matter of clearing the weakness / ULL within the ridge. ECM a bit longer into the 4th with the GFS quicker to move the ULL cutoff out. Overall once flow goes N/NW the heat is on. Ahead of that 6/30 - 7/3 onshore and may become wetter on guidance. But the holiday weekend looks to warm.
-
260 hours to go. Guidance still varying on when the flow goes more NW/W but still looks like after a few days (6/30 - 7/2 or 3) of onshore flow we heat things up the fourth of July weekend. Still need to watch if a ULL fully cuts off and is pushed southwest similar to May and last week but the weekend may prove to get on the warmer flow of the ULL whether pushing inland (SW) or pushing east.
-
Overall looking like very warm 4th of July weekend from this far in advance. ECM is hotter than the GFS but both imply above normal to hot conditions. Believe the onshore flow timing is more 6/30 - 7/2 or 3. But being that is has been a reoccurring theme this past 2 months, something to watch as we go through the next few days. 276 hours to go...
