SACRUS

It looks like any moderation by Easter (4/4) is short lived and cut off / ULL backs down into New England, it wont be nearly as cold as 4/1 - 4/2 but onshore flow looks likely NE o ENE persistent flow in the 4/5 - 4/8 period keeping daytime highs cool to chilly.. Would have been an otherwise warmer pattern with a deep trouh into the WC and strong ridge into the GL but the ULL is forced down under the ridge. Thats' why some models had the stronger warmup once passed the 4/3 but its looking more like ULL disturbs the warmup through the 8th or so. Id be surprised if the warmer scenario comes to fruition. I think April is back end warm to hot.

April 2 - April 5 looks like the peak of the chill, then moderation beyond there. Could be backdoor/onshore city for a period though so the warmup may not be that warm during the day.

http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

Something tells me that 3/29 - 4/4 is probably much wetter and it wouldn't surprise me the prior period trends a bit wetter too once past Tuesday.. Beyond there some stronger ridging into the east towards 4/4 or 5th.

91 days till the summer solstice / sun angle now on par with mid September. Made it down to a cool radiated 26 last night now up to 47 and expect to be guidance again and top out mid/upper 60s

I see a 71 (2007) On January 6th Jan 26: 69 (1950) Feb 27: 71 (1997)

100 Days to the summer solstice. Some larger breaks in the clouds working from the north to the south. 61 here. Arctic blast peaking Monday with 850MB temps -15c to -18c. Brief warmup Mar 18/19 ahead of the next cooldown. Cooler overall the next 10 days or through march 23.

Made it up to 74 here. Clouds into CPA may arrive by 2:30/3:00

Some clearing working its way east now

peak of the next arctic blast mar 15 - 16. 850 temps -15c to -18c . Could be tough to crack 40 next tue.

Last 70(+) readings for the area was Nov 11-12. 43 on the way up once we clear later this morning. Sep sun angle

snow showers and flurries building in PA http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/WXTYPE/loop25ne.html

Snowpack on the 'real time' visible satellite http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

22 / 21 mod - hvy snow 3.5 on the ground.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/fxg1/WXTYPE/loop25ne.html

Believe the core of the cold was also centered a few hundred miles east of this event. 1989 was truly impressive before it warmed up in early Jan 1990.

What a map for historical reference.

30 / 29 mod - hvy snow (big flakes in CNJ)

EWR 18.7" comes on 1.86 LE Rutgers in New Brunswick recorded 14 inches with 2.17 LE

will add TTN,ABE and ISP today. Need some CT sites too and NWNJ

Heavy snow between 7 - 9 OTG from a nephew in East Brunswick a mile away. May mix with sleet for a period as the intensity lightens up but heavier snow building back NW again,

sunrise on the vis satellite

BWI, Baltimore 1. 29.9 inches (Jan 23-24 2016) 2. 28.2 inches (Feb 16-18 2003) 3. 26.6 inches (Jan 6-8 1996) 4. 26.5 inches (Jan 28-30 1922) 5. 26 inches (Feb 5-6 2010) 6. 22.8 inches (Feb 11-13 1983) 7. 22 inches (March 29-31 1942) 8. 21.4 inches (Feb 14-151899) 9. 20 inches (Feb 21-22 1979) 10. 19.5 inches (Feb 9-10 2010) 10. 15.5 inches (Feb 16-17 1958) 11. 14.9 inches (Jan 27-28 2000)