Looking warm 7/3 - 7/6. 4th (holiday) in the mid-upper 80s with onshore flow along the beaches (70s) but still oveall great day and fireworks shows should be fine.
Shaping up to be a a warm 4th of July . Coming weekend looks hot Saturday with CF some time sunday with a cooler Mon (7/1) and warming Tue (7/2) and hot wed 7/3) and thu (7/4)
Still need to work out timing with an storms beyond Sunday (6/30)
Still a ways away (15 days) but latest guidance hinting at height rising and 850 temps of 16-18, signalling a warm Independence day. Details and any storms or fronts / timing to be worked out.
About 26 days away and tracking should begin soon enough.
Latest GFS and ECM showing some elevated heights into the east to open July. Thinking, similar to last year and 17 we are on our way to open July with a warming pattern shift.
2019 Predictions
Overall warm summer and continued wet. Peak of the heat book ends June and Aug-Sep.
# 90(+) range
NYC: 19- 22
LGA: 28- 31
EWR: 30 -33
TTN: 23- 25
PHL: 36-39
100+
LGA, EWR, : 1-2 (AUg)