SACRUS

Clearing working through NW/N-NJ and should see sun in most places in the next hour or by 3.

Some of the darkest (greenish) clouds ive experienced in many years with strong thunderstorm developed just north into N-Middlesex and Union

68, cloudy and light rain. Clouds and light rain back to CPA and looks like if we get any clearing it'll be in 4 - 6 hours (1 - 3 PM). Thu - Fri similar to Tuesday highs low to perhaps mid 80s and cooler less humid nights. Warmth returns this weekend with chance of 90s starting Saturday *8/22) and Sunday (8/23) in the hotter spots. By this coming Monday (8/24) a piece of the heat regime has pushed east into the plains and mid west ,and arrives by Tue as the WAR builds west and lingers through Fri (8/28) or Sat (8/30), peaking Wed and Thu (that 2 day strong heat that been tracking the potential) as it looks now with near or >20c 850MB temps. That furnace out west is impressive and still think we may challenge the seasons hottest temps. Storms will be likely in the period and the caveat to how hot we can get. Beyond 8/30 in the longer range back towards normal for a few days before riding follows the Plain - MW and east progression.

8/18 ACY: 87 LGA: 86 BLM: 86 EWR: 85 PHL: 84 New Brnswk: 84 TEB: 84 JFK: 84 TTN: 83 ISP: 83 NYC: 83

Later update 83/59 - gorgeous day. Looking ahead at a very nice and seasonal few days with highs in the low to perhaps mid 80s. Heat dome lingering a few more days out west before shifting a bit east towards the Plains. We warm things up 8/22 - 8/27 with next chance of 90s in the areas as 850 MB temps >16c and with a piece of that strong heat >18c pushing etast into the area by mid week (8/25-26) possible with storms becoming possible during the peroid.. Also need to watch topics. Flow is flatter towards the end of next week and once we clear or get through any influence from the tropics it looks warm overall.

8/17 EWR: 84 TEB: 83 New Brnswck: 83 LGA: 83 PHL: 83 TTN: 82 NYC: 81 ACY: 80 ISP: 79 BLM: 79 JFK: 78

75/60 amazing out after a dreary Sunday. 0.22 in the bucket. Aside from some storms later today and Wed looking dry this work week. Highs generally in the low to mid 80s Mon - Fri (8/17 - 8/21). Rockies Heat Dome in place through 8/20 before slowly nudging east into the plains. 8/22 - 8/24 The western Atlantic ridge expands west by Friday and into the weekend allowing heights to come up and warmer air to produce th next opportunity for 90(s) in the area. Looks like piece of stronger heat is shooting across from the west into early next week. Have to watch the progression of the western ridge and if we get enough ridging to keep things on the hot side next week 8/24 and beyond. Tropics coming to life in the Gulf later this week too. Still think we see piece of the tremendous heat building out west eject east for a 2 day period.

67 and 0.17 of rain so far. Coolest day overall since Fay (7/10) likely daytime highs below 70? Sun is about 100 miles west into C- PA. Rockies heat dome locked and loaded the next 7 - 10 days. Overall near to slightly above normal around these parts once past today for this coming week 8/17 - 8/21 with lots of low - mid 80s. Storms possible Mon and Wed PM but the week looks good overall. Pending on any storms next weekend (8/22 - 23) offers the next opportunity to reach 90, especially in the warmer spots before trough pushes into the east. Beyond next weekend and into the final week of August 8/24, Rockies ridge nudging into the plains and piece of that heat is heading east should allow for much warmer close to the month with chance of 90s and perhaps a piece of the stronger heat gets here for a 2 day window. Beyond there have to watch for Plains ridge to establish and WAR pushing west.

Whether the heavier rain tracks north once developing or not, this may be a typical faster than guidance storm and we clear out for a bit of the later afternoon. Already saw the clouds deck clear into OH before the visible went into IR mode. Following the trend Thu below guidance/ Fri warmer / today more cloudy / perhaps tomorrow later PM highs if we get into the sun.

8/15 EWR: 85 JFK: 85 LGA: 85 TEB: 85 NYC: 84 New Brnswck: 84 TTN: 83 PHL: 82 BLM: 81 ISP: 81 ACY: 79

Lets see if caching issue persists. Edit yes it reverts back 24 hours on any live image. Seems to only be in new threads as the storm tracking one still shows the updated loop when you enter the thread or hit refresh.

75/71 mostly cloudy and some light drizzle earlier here. Those mostly sunny forecasts today look tough with clouds back to MO, onshore high pressure trying to clear things out but may only be successful later this PM. Will see how much we clear. Highs today low to mid 80s pending on sunshine. More clouds and rain tomorrow, pending on northwards extent of storms could be 0.25 or > 1 inch of rain. Rockies ridge goes to >600DM with record heat into the west coast and PNW. WAR blunted south 8/15 - 8/21. Mon and Tue look beautiful with Tue being the warmer day highs mid 80s. Somewhat cooler air Wed (8/19) - Fri (8/20) low 80s highs and lows 60s/ 50s. Looking like a back and forth starting next weekend Sat (8/22) and Sun (8/23) with brief warm up and perhaps the next shot at 90s especially in the warmer spots. Then a cool down for a day or so before trough into the west coast pushes the Rockies ridge into the Plains. Hotter finish to the month with potential strong heat for a couple of day as ridge centers into the plains and MW and WAR nearby looking to hook.

While clouds kept temps below forecast thursday, today saw more sunshine thanks in part to Josephine., allowing temps to beat guidance.

8/14 EWR: 89 ISP: 88 LGA: 88 TEB: 88 JFK: 86 NYC: 86 New Brnswck: 86 PHL: 86 TTN: 86 ACY: 83 BLM: 83

Never say never with weather but could be. That strong heat building in the west would challenge past highs if/when it shifts east towards the end of the month. These period of persistent onshore flows were followed by period of heat this summer.

80 / 72 here. Sun breaking through. Today looks to feature more sunshine than Thu and allow temps into the low/mid 80s. Saturday strong onshore flow should allow for dry and sunny and low to mid 80s. Sunday more clouds and storms which linger into the start of the work week. Tue looks to be the warmest (driest day) next week in mid perhaps upper 80s. Wed - Fri more low perhaps mid 80s pending on any storms developing with associated clouds. Next weekend (8/22 - 8/23) looks much warmer at this stage. Rockies ridge is shifting into the Plains by the week of the 24th and pushing the stronger heat into the Plains / Midwest and east towards the last week of the month. Some of that very strong heat may arrive for a 2 day period by months end. WAR lingering and need to watch to expansion west and any hook with the Plains Ridge.

Wait till that ridge shifts east into the plains with the WAR lingering by the last week of August. Think we havent seen the last of the stronger or maybe even the strongest heat yet.

8/13 ACY: 86 LGA: 82 EWR: 82 BLM: 81 ISP: 81 PHL: 81 JFK: 80 TEB: 80 New Brnswck: 80 TTN: 79 NYC: 79

71 and raining. 0.16 in the bucket (C-NJ). More of the same the rest of today and tomorrow. Clouds and storms will keep a lid on temps the next two days. We also continue the Friday rain theme this past month and /half. Saturday onshore flow but better day of the weekend under sunny skies. Sunday more storms and clouds lingering into Monday. Stagnant flow could produce slow moving heavy storms over the area. Work week again near normal / humid with highs in the 80s. A warming trend is likely by the end of next work week into the weekend of the 8/21 as the western Atlantic ridge is nosing west and the Rockies ridge is expanding east. Still favoring a very warm finish to August with some of that strong heat building in the plains ejecting east for a couple days before months end.

8/12 PHL: 93 TEB: 92 LGA: 92 EWR: 91 ACY: 91 NYC: 90 New Brnswck: 90 BLM: 89 TTN: 89 ISP: 87 JFK: 86

8/12 PHL: 93 TEB: 92 LGA: 92 EWR: 91 ACY: 91 NYC: 90 New Brnswck: 90 BLM: 89 TTN: 89 ISP: 87 JFK: 86

Storms firing in South Jersey Ocean Cty area. Up to 90 here DT 74.

84/76 steamy. Storms timing will determine if places reach 90. Dew point overdose alert. Thu - Fri more storms and clouds keeping temps down and keeping the Friday streak for rain th past month or so. Weekend onshore flow warm and humid but near average by way of higher minimums. 90s interruption 8/13 - 8/20ish. Mon 8/17 pending on storms could be the lone warm day of the work week otherwise more Florida-ish pattern stagnant with some real rain makers possile Cooler air may be blunted to the north into NYC/NEw Engalnd 8/18 - 8/20. Last week to 10 days Rockies ridge nudges east into the Plains with WAR expanding west. Timing may push strong heat to close the month? Have we seen the highest temps this summer yet?

8/11 PHL: 90 New Brnswck: 90 LGA: 89 TEB: 89 NYC: 88 ACY: 88 EWR: 88 BLM: 87 TTN: 87 ISP: 82 JFK: 83