hobbes9

Euro GraphCast is what he's talking about. You can also read more about it here.

National Problem Gambling Helpline 1-800-522-4700 The National Council on Problem Gambling operates the National Problem Gambling Helpline Network. The network is a single national access point to local resources for those seeking help for a gambling problem. The network consists of 28 contact centers that provide resources and referrals for all 50 states, Canada, and the US Virgin Islands. Help is available 24/7 and is 100% confidential. The National Problem Gambling Helpline Network also includes text and chat services. These features enable those who are gambling online or on their mobile phone to access help the same way they play. One call, text, or chat will get you to problem gambling help anywhere in the U.S. 24/7/365. Help is also available via an online peer support forum at www.gamtalk.org.

GEFS snow mean progression. Didn't realize 6z was as good as it was?

Generally I'm a lurker as well, but that was 21 years and multiple versions of the models ago. Impossible? No. But less likely than such things used to be. A few years ago, you could ALWAYS count on the west trend and knew where the "good spots" were 2, 3, 4, and 5 days out. Computing, our understanding of atmospheric dynamics, and all of that put into the models, have almost all gotten better. If I'm gonna hang my hopes on something, it ain't gonna be that.

986mb over HGR at 18z. Interesting when compared to 12z.

Jan '96 no matter what.

While waiting on the 0z GFS, I haven't found anything else that puts things side-by-side like this. Helps compare the models QPF outputs (as I've always been a visual person).

Euro complete whiff on Wave 2 for EZF and north...

Yes please and thank you.

Had a rookie/lurker question to ask looking at the 500mb map. It looks as if the true cold is kind of walled off at/above the great lakes which would make the "source" of cold the no man's land between the lakes and the system as it moves through the area? If I'm reading this right, that would mean there's not much to stop it from drawing in more warm air if the system continues to amplify as it moves up the coast and temps would at best be marginal? Thank you all for the knowledge you continue to provide.

I found the ice interesting as well.

Mixing along 95 on the UKIE looks to keep totals down on the clown maps from 78-90. QPF looks quite good and uniform. Generally 1-1.5" for the forum?

GEFS trend pushing QPF a bit farther south as well. 1" line goes from central PA to almost the M/D line over the last few runs.

Para only really shows the WAA with no coastal? ETA: some backside, perhaps .1-.2" QPF? Decent WAA QPF though.

33.6/31.8 with sleet mixing in over the past 15 minutes. 0.04" of liquid until now.

37/30 w/drizzle

40/29 in Fairfax Station. Higher than I'd prefer but I always expected slop.