pasnownut

Not for me it’s not. Verbatim it’s rather painful….but that how it goes. #makinbelieversouttaheathens

And if it’s not…. I’ll be your pal no matter what the friggin weather does.

Posting snow maps. You rebel I like it

Just a reminder of all of our spring snow events when its 50 the day before and a winter wonderland the next day. Not saying I like getting snow that way, but I'll take my chances in prime time climo w/ a storm south of our latitude...no matter the result. While its not south on every model, there is a trend in that direction. Guess we'll find out soon enough....or when the 18z GFS has it back in the UP of Michigan. flipppidy flop the model goes....

Thats the big reason many are here...correct. Rug may once again be pulled out....but if so, it wont be for the same reasons, as the PAC is starting its transition away from trough to ridging. THATS my takeaway, but for some, it doesnt matter how you fail...its still the same (and rather understandable).

and if thats not enough, same areas that get hit on the Churchgoersunite special...go look at the GooFuS for mid next week. verbatim you get shellacked mid next week. Again, its nice to see better looks and thats all I'm taking from it for now.

and furthermore, the GFS in the last 4 runs has trended notably further SE on each run. Go loop for yourselves. Nice nooners. Been a while.

True Central approved of the Kanook model as well. As stated earlier, I'm on the outside for this one, but if I were in central/northern pa, i'd be watchin this bad boy. Im not parsin over specifics at 4 days, but there's enough decent looks to not throw this one aside...and compared to where we've been its a refreshing change.

If this is wrong....it feels so right. edit: map already posted but his non heathen will leave it up.

as we try to decide if we are gonna take sleigh or boat to church, the normal upslopers look to get a fresh coating of white stuff in advance of it. (map shown for visual appeal and NOT a forecast). Cant believe we still have to type a disclaimer so deep into weather discos, but some think we print out pics of snowmaps and tape them to windows waiting to verify.

or is that the coffee just doing its thingy.........

and thats why I said yesterday that we may not be good for the "church" storm, but while it's creepin the wrong way, its still getting a lot closer to being good for us. thats they point I've been trying to make.

Nice work Blizz. You're all over this one, so keep up the good mojo and bring it home for us (well us as in most of the forum, as I'm likely in trouble down here).

pattern change we've been looking at has been slated to start later this week, so as we all should know, that doesnt mean we flick a switch to snow TV. May have a cut or 2 left before we stop the bleeding while canada cools and starts to feed us some 540s that get below us for once. Good news is like you shared, GFS is becoming more of an outlier in it's presentation. Pac reshuffle is step 1 and wouldnt surprise me if that 23 deal gets better but maybe not quite there yet.

that is a nice look. nice to see op runs staring to latch onto the changes upstairs.

just bustin your stones. I drive by rock lititz every day and today was a tad more busy. didnt know that's where he was getting sworn at...I mean in.

some might suggest you are a sicko for just attending.....

Looking at overnighters, I'm increasingly encouraged by the changes showing up aoa 100hrs+, as the PAC regime change starts to show and we get ridging popping up around the Aleutians which likely holds the key for better times as we can tap into the cooler temps. This isnt quite the look we want, but once we get out to 144 and beyond one can see that cause/effect in the conus. By 180 pattern becomes established...and chances should come. Lets hope it holds. Better for the show to start late than never.

having the Euro/CMC/Icon showing colder solutions is good to see. It'd be nice to see the GFS go back to being useless like we once knew it to be...

yeah us lower susqu folks are not looking to good right now. Plenty of time for changes....better or worse, but hoping the GFS is on crack n we can find a way to score.

Like i said, better for true central/northers.

German house model now has similar look for this opportunity as well. GFS is an unmitigated dumpster fire. CMC is workable for much of true central/northers for next week. I'll be back in a few days.....in hopes that our pattern change thats been looking to start later this week starts throwing some better looks up.

as was I

well thats what the board is here for....glad you enjoy it. Some of us actually make an effort to add value to it...even when it doesnt work out.

Speaking of LOL's, I always find it funny how people act like they "knew this was coming", especially when they dont go out on limbs and share that early on. For every poster that thought this was a ratter en route, one can easily find another poster that suggests "not so fast". It surely could have gone better than it has....so far. From what I've seen and read, many knew it wasnt a great look, but not a ratter either, and while we have lacked in the snow dept, we've had cool/cold periods to make it feel normalish. Yes, we have been on the wrong side, but reasonably close on a couple events that could have yielded a notably different tone in here...I wish we had other LR posters in here, but as I check into NE thread every month or so - and on rare occasion the MA thread, enough seem to share similar viewpoints, that there was no overwhelming consensus on this being a dumpster fire....even though it bye an large has been for many in the LSV. Some need to stop acting like "they" knew this. If they did, they shoulda spared all of us the misery of thinking otherwise. It isnt that easy, and we've all read from the "good ones" that also were wrong once in a while. It happens.