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Everything posted by pasnownut
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Stopped in to see how interesting things got last night as I had some Tboomer action at my house, but doesnt sound nearly as exciting as Canderson and JNS and others had. Nice morning read. Well done boys @candersonand @Jns2183. About 1/2" in my hood. Happy for it. Have a nice weekend all.
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Hoping the GFS is right for tomorrow night. While there is support for something, the consensus isnt overwhelming regarding other globals and mesos.
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yeah we got some thunder and a brief shower. Still dry under the big trees but lawn got a sip of water. I was up at 3 and that cell did pop a bit when overhead.
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FYP Send some of your rain south please..(and west from what I've just read). Since its the lawn thread, my lawns ok, but would like a little more qpf please and thanks. Last 2 weekend were a lot of hype w/ little in the way of fanfair (regarding the broad wet looks that were being touted on some of the models (moreso in the mid/short term- which doesnt bode well for upcoming winter shenanigan's). I even cancelled a trip to WVA on the bike w/ my wife as we were leary of too much rain being advertised. Hope ya'll r having a dandy summer.
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Thx pal. It is what it is and I'll get through. Wishing you lots of pool time and Champagne of beers while doing it.
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Sure is challenging to deal w/. Wishing you all the best w/ yours.
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Happy Summer all. Hoping the spring was enjoyable. Been a rather challenging one for me (parents), but they're still here, so I'll still consider myself lucky. Just hoping to get through it w/ a tinge of sanity left in my soul. Here's to the start of shorter nights and the lead up to autumn and winter "fun" - or lack thereof. Cant wait to see how big the Nino gets and what it leads to here. FWIW My grass is cooked, but I mowed for fun last night as I'm getting away for a long overdue weekend (as much stuff has been put on hold due to the parent thingy). My sons wedding's gonna happen no matter come 9/16 - and I'll get to see my daughter for the first time since Christmas (cancelled trip due to above mess). Cant wait. Have a good one.
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The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
We'll... you're wrong, Back er down 20. I'd wager you (and your pal of course) are the only 2 that took offense to it. Like EVERYONE does in here rather frequently, it was a joke and in this case in reference to 3 little piggys as bubbles posted. Thats all...nothing more. Funny how some in here question or call out others at will, yet when called out..undies get wound a bit tight. Poor form. Jabs are give n take....not one sided. Like others, I get my fair share. NBD. Some in here need to remember that. Hope everyone elses stick shack like mine is ok. My cousin lost a huge tree in middletown n took out his garage. I'll offer to bring chainsaws over to help him tomorrow if needed. Believe it or not I'm nice like that. Ok, like the wind, this blows....I'm done with it. Heres Maytowns stats. Max 52mph. 01 22:56 NW 26 G 40 10.00 Overcast and Windy OVC055 49 31 50% 41 NA 29.62 1003.0 01 21:56 NW 29 G 39 10.00 Overcast and Windy BKN060 OVC150 50 33 52% 42 NA 29.58 1001.6 01 20:56 NW 35 G 45 10.00 Overcast and Windy SCT050 OVC090 51 35 54% NA NA 29.53 1000.1 01 19:56 NW 32 G 52 10.00 Overcast and Windy SCT046 BKN120 OVC150 55 43 72 54 64% NA NA 29.47 998.1 0.03 01 18:56 NW 24 G 33 10.00 Light Rain and Breezy SCT050 OVC070 54 46 75% NA NA 29.45 997.4 0.03 01 17:56 NW 18 G 28 10.00 Overcast FEW070 SCT090 OVC120 66 43 43% NA NA 29.35 994.0 01 16:56 SW 15 G 29 10.00 Overcast FEW080 BKN100 OVC200 71 37 29% NA NA 29.30 992.1 01 15:56 S 14 G 26 10.00 Mostly Cloudy FEW050 SCT120 BKN200 72 39 30% NA NA 29.31 992.5 01 14:56 SW 8 G 24 10.00 A Few Clouds FEW050 FEW120 72 40 31% NA NA 29.36 994.0 01 13:56 SW 15 G 26 10.00 A Few Clouds FEW120 70 44 70 56 39% NA NA 29.42 996.1 0.14 -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
yeah looks to be a few more hours anyway. If you need a big weight for your trashcans, I'll come sit on em for ya. -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Start something.....LOL. I guess the logic in me thinks it wouldn't be shaking at sub 50 mph wind and after reading some time ago about how well your house was built, it just sounded a bit surprising. That's all. I'm sure some damage will be reported, but our December fropa was notably more IMBY. And I ALWAYS hope for everyones houses sake, they faired just fine. Once again, why I'm no big fan of "severe". to all you severe lovers, enjoy the rest of your fropa/whatevs. I'm not here to ruin it for you, but I'm happy it wasnt worse. Winds sustained at 30+ over here, but so far the limbs that are ready to fall out of my big oak, are still dangling above. -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
huh. Your house built of twigs? Just a decent fropa here but as anticipated, but meh compared to what I've been reading the last couple days. post frontal was stronger than pre frontal, but not by much. NWS saying max gust was 48. That's comparable to a decent Tboomer to me. No biggie. -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
although Im no severe fan, all of this wind chatter has my intrigue, so I took a peek. Ok, I'm impressed...if it verifies. -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes, we struggle to keep insects from getting at them first, but we are looking for less harmful treatments options to keep them at bay. Wow, you know your stuff. Way way above me. I'm just starting to take a little more interest in managing this tree, as the pears are just great. Thanks for the info. -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
just did my pear tree for the very same reason. I want good fruit this summer. -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
GREAT pics man. You have a good eye for the camera. -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Interesting yes. Will the wind blow....yes. Am I worried.....no. Whats gonna happen is gonna happen. I'm no severe lover, but as a weather guy, I can understand the fascination that some have for it (and yes I love me a good Tboomer - just no damage to ANYONE please and thanks) That said, alot of what we see on SM or Youtube, and even sometimes in here... as most of us know...is just clickbait. -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
and as its almost April fools - don't be fooled, that's really not anything special or anomalous for last nights winners. I know you know this, but I guess I need to remind some that in any given year, you'll see snow and white on cams into early April in these regions. As always, good for them. -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
trout season opens Saturday silly -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
already growing, and many are mowing down here. Green up is well underway. -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah we see it. Same ones that bust others for winter talk. Cool summer would be nice. Don't do anything to Ruin it. In the infamous words of Bob Ross....think happy thoughts. -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Glad you got to see some snow. You deserve it. Despite the beating you took in here, you are fully deserving. Hoping next year is a snow bonanza for you bud. Looks like north country has a white landscape this am as well. http://www.swedenhillsnocam.com/PCSC.jpg -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
No...youre not off at all. No met status needed to verify your statement. Happy Hump Day to you as well. -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
So...for the sake of disco, go to nooner GFS and look at the height lines. Then loop back a few runs. You'll see the 540s retreating and HP is no longer anchored and too far east. Then look to the west and see the big and all too familiar bulge pressing north. No reason for that to scoot off to the S coast w/ tellies progged as per my earlier disco. If you are correct, it'll be the NAO that would do it, but IMO it's not enough to hold things back w/ MJO losing amp at same timeframe, so likely it comes north. I'll say hello and give you a beer as I walk by you out on the weather limb. -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Boone NC will take the snow... -
The Ides of March end of Winter 2023
pasnownut replied to paweather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah, yesterday was a nice event for NE and the Poconos, but thats really not surprising (in a normal year). Cams looked meh yesterday afternoon, but hey it was something... for the 23rd event, AO looks to rise around that timestamp. NAO still neg, and MJO losing amp thru 1 would suggest to me that this one has a chance, as the boundary could come north. ENS guidance has varied looks at 500mb. One less pronounced trough and other showing ridging. My gut says another rainer down here w/ the normal elevations scoring. IF the look holds. My thoughts are really just based off current looks/guidance, and not much more than that. Quite frankly I'm about "wished" out for something to happen, but thought I'd throw my .02 in.