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Everything posted by pasnownut
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Too bad you cant go to Woodys and have a pint while waiting for it..... (even though you may not be in Northeast Md....and just somewhere in N E Md.....
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LIght rain here in Akron. MAAYYbe .1-.2" if lucky.....so far. Showtime still in front of us so we'll see.
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IMO that looks to be east of us when it arrives in our area. Gut says eastern Chesco and points N and E get it.
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wow. I'll bet you a beer we dont get that here in Lanco... I'll bring a boat to deliver if I'm wrong.
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that makes sense.
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north of here i'd assume??. cant see how south could verify (unless from totals that may have already fallen.)
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I'd only say that with setups like this, we dont have the forcing mechanisms that others in the mtns/hill and valley regions do IMO
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Looks like back edge is rather close for you but thats a solid few hours of precip for sure.
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First drops started about 5 min ago.
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LOL. I havent been looking much at all....so i'm glad they dont think I'm off my rocker............. Now you guys thinking that......well......
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x2 Hi guys. Hope all is well. Sitting here bored sending emails and hoping business starts to pick up. NOONE wants to talk right now......... Enjoy your soaker. Winds are ripping pretty nicely here in LSV. Not convinced things hold up once east of mtns for high end 3" to verify. Looks like a solid 1-1.5 w 2" lollipops IMO. Mind you I like Voyager am merely looking at HRRRRR for short term. Looking at winds, best dynamics/qpf look to be Voyagerville and N to IPT and east. East branch susqu likely most affected IMO.
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Just got an update from eastern tioga. 8”
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http://www.swedenhillsnocam.com
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Sorry to hear that man. Yeah this will get ugly quick when peeps start running out if things. I agree with everything but have a little prob with the Cowboys. Hehe. Just kidding. You do you and I’ll be glad to sit next to you drink a brew watching them play (Lose) to the eagles. I’ll buy first round. btw peeps snowing nicely in the north woods. Here’s to better days gang.
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Sorry pal....if anyone deserves snow....its you. Models have seemed to jump north again (seasonal tendency), but hey....it snowed today....so why not tomorrow? Man I hope we can be back at it next year. I miss the good ol' days. GFS seemed a tic warmer, but it appears that 80N crew could get a shot at ground whitening w/ rt 6 crew doing best with Allegheny and NC mountains having the winning tix. Thermal profiles seem to point to areas suggested being most capable of getting late season surprise. Wish i was headed to cabin. BTW, my son had 3" up in Tioga last Saturday. I saw pics. It was legit.
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You always speak so eloquently. So well stated...especially the testing part. Can you imagine how many cases have gone "untested"? THAT is what some of us are wrestling with, and using for any counterargument to how bad it really is". "My " side says that for what we do know...there is far more data that we will never know....and that variable likely would have a great skew to the mean. That said, with CV19....Early mitigation was essential...no doubt.
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4 people is surely tragic. No doubt about it. Sorry to hear of it and for the losses bud. Glad you're niece is part of the 20% that got off the ventilator. On the other side, I also know of many that don't know anyone or very few that have been affected.....and I'm in Lancaster...the local "hotspot". I'm sure you can understand why they feel the way they do.... I personally have heard of of a husband and wife...through a friend of my wife. He a cardiologist who gave it to his wife. Both are ok . While it is undeniable that mitigation and social distancing are effective....we can do that while at work . THAT is the big rub right now. My son works in heavy equipment. His stance....''noone can get 30-50' from me because of my equipment....and yet i cant work ''. See my point? Current solution isnt applicable to everyone.
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Guys its just getting hard to sit and watch this happen. Not for one second do I (nor any that share my feelings) discount the legitimate concerns, but we are allowed to dislike some of what is happening. That does not mean we don't agree w/ certain aspects. If we are all friends, then we need to be able to be honest w/ one another, and as iv'e been here for many years, I consider you all good friends, and yeah, I talk freely. Remember gang.....Agreeing w/ people is no prerequisite to friendship. One can learn the most from those we disagree w/ , as they can open ones eyes to the "other side". Think about it. We are in this together. If you disagree w/ me, then friggin have at it. I'm not perfect, but I'm not gonna sit back and sugar coat sh!t. And that's just what some of this is. I care about every one in here....and that's not debatable. My opinions....well....maybe so.
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really.... second hand smoke being hit by another vehicle suicide caused by societal stresses/work....etc I can keep going if you'd like me to but i dont want to get into an argument and parse over details. The problem with your "highly contagious and asymptomatic" statement is that if that IS the case, it would only further skew the argument against your concerns as some "experts" think this may have been here long before the first case was diagnosed, or test was available to classify it. To be as blatant as possible, we are doing something that no matter what the real numbers are (and from what we all are hearing - are still highly debatable) to protect a relatively small percentage at the expense of 100% of us.... For many of us, this was NOT the choice we would have taken. If you (rhetorically) are scared and wanna stay home....stay home. I'm not scared whatsoever....and I'll use my social distancing skills and get back at it.
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its just an F'd up year man.....
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This has been my biggest worry from early on. You could see how everyone has bought into the pandemic to epic proportions. Again, not diminishing ANY loss of life, but like i stated a few weeks back, many people die every day from things that can and cannot be avoided, and many of those deaths are far worse/lengthly than CV19 imo, but to me dead is dead. I dont care what the cause...its out there, but its called life...and before this mess.....we were all living and accepting it. Smokers make a choics Drinkers make a choice People who are around smokers make a choice.(second hand smoke related lung cancer - #1 cause btw) people who are around drinkers make a choice (drunk driving) we all used to drive to work and for play...and make a choice welders make a choice........ soldiers make a choice first responders make a choice truck drivers make a choice (just for you voyager) greasy hamburger eaters make a choice just eating poorly folk make a choice I can keep going if y'all want me to....... Point is.....we cannot stop or control everything, and we elect to take risk by doing what we feel is worth it/necessary. Having a job is a must for 98.3% of us, and while I've got my nest egg, I/we cant wait for a vaccine/testing 12-18 months. That will take far too long, so we are going to just have to buck up and add the risk onto whatever your personal risk list is.... and get back at it. Sorry guys, but hearing that we are likely extending, is petrifying me as to what it does to so many individuals/businesses. I feel so sad for how this will ruin so many lives - let alone the stresses it will create societally. God help us.....
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Just saw my flizzard (just light snow shower), so yeah, get it outta and get it warm here so we have one thing working for us to get the craziness outta here
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Not even close down here in Jipville......
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so well stated... Dont like his persona,( I mean i literally cringe sometimes), but I respect what he is trying to do from a governance perspective. Running a govt It isnt a job for a sissy. There is no "one size fits all" approach to the diversity of businesses affected. it people are scared....let them have the choice to stay the hell home. For those that arent scared, let us get back at it (using our new social distance skills weve learned/perfected). This HAS TO HAPPEN, and for those that say not....where do you think the funding comes from for the burden that is about to come as a result from elongating this pandemic? You seriously have to have a valid answer for that statement to respond.