pasnownut

and to further that disco....just looking at 2m loops on 3k...there's about a 8-10 hr "window" where we get above 32 w/ 35 max at my house....so I'd say that roads n stuff should eventually be fine, but some spots may sturggle...especially if that 35 becomes 33. Gonna depend on how much icing accrues.

sorta yes n no. If you look at thermal progression, models have different depth of cold, so we need to look at winds to "scour" the valleys out. Verbatim IF cold holds (which if the gfs verifies (but is often a couple degrees too cold) we'd likely see the ice make it through as there is a brief window of warmth before the cold raced back in. If cold is shallow, ice accretion may be lost before said cold hardens up whatever we have otg. Here is my point we've lost 850's so one says....oh no big deal...what ice you talkin bout Willis?. This is "warmest" panel. Buutttttttt....Willis forgot to look at 2m temps at same timestamp. Verbatim thats deep enough surface temps to warrant concern. Sounding show how "deep the cold is...or isnt. As you can see the layer is very shallow (picked Lanco for soundings). Look at bottom of graph and chalk a line from the 0 straight up. We dont have much cold, but for this situ...its all about the surface and how long it takes to erradicate that little cold layer. Hope that helps a bit.

Yep, consensus has been growing for sure. Now that we got last night outta da way....I'm ready for the next one (beyond Sundays ice-which is nice cause it serves as pack retention agent...

This ones for you Bubbs....looks like we'll have the cold. Lets find some vorts n chat it up...

fwiw for sunday, gfs showing deeper cad signal. ICE ICE baby!

FYP....

Ditto in Akron. That last band added 1" to my early am obs. I shoulda measured, but my yard has 4-5" when walking through it.

very little drifting over here while driving into office. You can see it starting in exposed spots as wind is picking up.

yes

Pixie dust was falling here for last hour, but rates picking up a bit. Steady light snow now. Spitballing 3-4" here. Not sure where the heavy rates are?? NBD, I'm happy as a lark and if we can score another 1" before the snow gun shuts off...thats just fine, but I'm not convinced. Congrats all.

On phone for last 30 min so not sure when we started.....but we're in the game. Light snow and not yet sticking to paved surfaces, but everwhere else. Have fun all.....Now I go enjoy evening w/ wife .....and watch it snow as well.

Truer words............

Your alright dude. Props for stickin w/ us. Back at ya.... schedule it and maybe one of these long tried but never materialized GTG's could be centered around your visit. Just picture you n Mag surrounded by a bunch of 's drinking beer and getting barraged w/ questions about weather. Hope that didnt scare you away

While were rather focused on bringing this one home....like trainer said, we may have a poke at it sticking around....and next week into wayouttherville looks like we should have more chances at padding stats (for you stat guys n gals). I just want snow on snow damnit. I'm easy like that.

TBH most peeps dont see a difference in 3-5 vs 4-6" If you like snow, its never enough....If you hate it...its still too much. Know what I mean? I think its just us weenies looking for backyard posting rights that really get in a dither. Maybe I'm wrong though.

We miss having you as a regular, but thanks for not "forgetting where you came from". We'll send pics

Nah....but they can add an inch to totals and be rather safe based on latest guidance.

Then you'll enjoy this one as well. Glad for all of us, and we've been chatting about ratios being 12-15:1 for this event. Hope you guys enjoy and thx for stopping over . Good luck.

wow...weve said it before....we do think alike....

I was just looking at 18z and was WOWed. Good ol' NAMin in process.. I'm giddy w/ that map. Almost dont wanna look at anymore and just role w/ it.

I know I know. That was a fun comment for the masses.

I hope the HH runs go all over the friggin place for any that do. Take your stand and take it now!!

I'll try to be an overachiever for once. 3.4 w/ .24qpf holds. Thx for doing this.

3.4" with .24qpf