pasnownut

DT goin whole hog on us. Wow

13.9"

I really think for once, your locale will benefit from being too far east for warm nose intrusion, and far enough west for waa from coastal. You should be all in pal. Were I you, I'd not worry much at all. Huntingon to Skook/Nepa dude still gets my vote for max snow's

700's were a razors edge from column being supportive of all snow. Thats why i stated that just a little bit one way or the other would be a notable diff. Also because taint window was at max qpf timeframe and at 1-2" hr rates, 3 hrs means a LOT for those of us on the line.

Come on....... you were all in well before you said you were........all in. Weenie

For your wish to come true, Euro needs to drop primary quicker.

Just need HH Euro to pop coastal a touch sooner, and I'm all in. Still feeling pretty darn good about MBY seein 12" before any taint (if any), and if not, 16" is my new hi bar. Still dont think well keep hi ratios some are suggesting in southeastern parts of the LSV.

wraps up around noon Monday. F me runnin. Pleasant surprise.

GFS makes dreams come true. Now how many chips do we throw in??

yep. Mauler inbound. I've got a twitch in my jortz

at 78, primary poof n coastal pops 100ish off Chessy bay. Saves us from warm nose. Gonna be a white run for LSV verbatim.

out to 78, HH GFS is tryin hard to win yall over. I know I'm liking what I'm seein...so far.

We dont wanna listen, but to your point, us lower susqu'rs cannot ignore this. to the contrary, this isnt a miller A, this is a B that its coming more at us than up, and with the deep cold entrenchment in lower and mid levels, this is a situ where CAD could/should really show its teeth IMO. If we had a 50/50, this'd b a storm of epic proportions, but based on progressive nature, not sure how big the warm nose will be. Still need to root on quicker secondary pop, or less consolidation w/ primary.

something to be mindful of, is that if/when we taint, its pingerville and not rain. I'd think tomorrow skew Ts can start being considered and will hold more weight once we define primary/secondary SLP placements and timing of jump to the coast. Verbatim, HH Nam is a razors edge for lsv, with 850's still safe through entirety. Thats a pinger signal if we ever saw one, and just a little wiggle south, can keep the pingers right on the M/D line, or if north, up to second tier souther counties. If this look could hold, I'd sign right now and not fret the upside that it doesnt show for us southeasters. A little move back south tonight and M/D line sees a nice bump in snow totals. Really not sure how this cookie crumbles, but at least we've got the cookie firmly in our grasp.

back from philly and morgantown meetings. HH Nam was a touch better wrt transition zone eeking south a bit from 12z. sorta splitin hairs i know, but when your in that battlezones, a little can mean a lot. Primary hangin too tough verbatim.

Well at least I’m in the qpf bullseye. What it falls as, find out in 36ish hrs. Hoping for 80/20 snow/pingers

Im a realist so I’m sticking with my gut down in our hoods and will be pleasantly surprised if wrong. If primary dies a quicker death mitigating waa I’ll tip my hat to his “bullish” call.

Like you I expect it. Climo is hard to argue against down here when miller Bs are being discussed. Just hoping we eek out a good dump prior to it.

Even if we pull off all snow in LSV, gut says 12-13:1 for us. 15:1 likely hills north of the burg and towards waterboy up in da Skook.

Best news if the day. Primary needs quick death or to be weaker to keep thermals safe.

Euro had similar progression. Glad to hear.

I just want that pink below is to stay there. Is that asking too much. lol

Great to hear.

headed out. Keep this bad boy squarely in our sights today gang. Dont let go of the rudder. Have fun model watchin.

I'll not be up at 2am waiting for it to start. I'll get up around 4-5 and hope that we've saturated and turn the snow machine on for the entire day.