pasnownut

HH GFS joins the maybe it snows in CTP party. Sorta wonky evolution, but it gets snow here.

GFS....yeah you can laugh at that one CMC qpf distribution sounds close to euro AI??? Huhh Regardless...plenty of time for changes that will happen, for better or worse.

cliff notes/summary please?

Yeah based on 500mb flow, safe or too safe is more likely for this one. I 80 souther special in the makings with northers still getting warning level. Only about 19 more model runs to go....lol

sounds north of 6z and in line w/ nooner trends...agreed?

just told co workers to be on the lookout for a potential event this weekend and one gal told me she heard 11-15" already being posted. Friggin clickbait "artists"

I wonder how much potential weighs? Cause there sure is a lot of it looming in the foreseeable future.

If anyone wants a flush hit from the GFS, 312 should make them giddy. Hate that I have to say it, but we are just having fun while eyein the prize. No "its happening", till....its happening.

No matter how it shakes down, this looks like a rather awesome stretch of winter coming up. In the infamous words of Mr. Bob Ross..... "think happy thoughts" Feel bad for my son as he'll be plowing lots of snow if the trends keep up.

Nice.

CMC warnin level 80South.

oh, and verbatim, I80 South 30hrs of snow. As shown, I'd sign, even knowing there in notably more for the winners. good trends for this 6hr episode of modelwatchology.

yeah its giving the MA forum one rather large pants tent right now.

CMC is 1 tick away from a BOMB. LOVE that move. This IS my kinda chess baby. QPF shield WAY north and CTP gets closer to a beatdown

Or it creates a powder bomb. I know youre snakebit, but waayyyy tooo early to debbie this deal.

also energy left behind. Need to see what else it has cookin.

@138 GFS slp about 200-250 WNW of 6z. I'm ok w/ that move. Thats 2 +'s so far.

Yep, legit concern. Just remember that things usually tick north and west of late as we close in, so keep in mind when we are sniffin cirrus on models. Cold is more stable, so it gives added credence to the worry tho.

Nooners start off well w/ ICON notably north of 0z. SLP about 200miles N of 0z run. Couple more of them and its boom time....but it is the ICON, so lets just look for trends right now.

its gonna be a big dog for many. Just hope that includes us

suppression depression. dont wanna think of it, but ya have to. 1048 HP is stoud and likely the bully on the block. Hopin it has a little give and as we see things trend back north that we get back into the goods.

Happy Monday. Happy to report that my area got 4" sat morn, 3" sunday morn, then 1" sunday night. Looks like 2-3" more than what they have here in Etown. Roads in Akron to Manheim, snow/icy but as i drove west twds Etown, roads were clear (yet school looks to be closed in Etown - pansy asses). Looking forward to next weekends wintry fun, to add some (lots?) on this beautiful wintry landscape. Had the sleds out w/ my son/DIL last night after he spent the weekend plowing in New Holland. 8 degrees on digi car thermo about 1 mile from house. Here's to a good week of trackin.

just glanced as mesos and hi teens at midnight into low/mid 20s early am. I'd think that'd be enough to let whatever falls get to the surface. couple looks at skew t's for lanco not bad imo.

I didnt check dp's but thats a good point to consider. quick look and low/mid 20's dp wise from midnight on (when qpf starts to pop), so not too much should be wasted.

shows up on mesos as such. midnight to 3 then 6 to 9-10 am ISH