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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. pasnownut
    I think cad will at some point tick SN/Ip line a bit further SE but it may not be till after it adjusts a tick (or2) further NW really hope further WAA intrusion is stopped at 0z or 6z
  2. pasnownut
    In state of emergency I can take my sleds on roads legally. Last time it happened I offered cops my assistance and gave number if they needed quick access.
  3. pasnownut
    It’s looking good right now imo. Still think a little upside possible.
  4. pasnownut
    They kno not everyone will adhere, but if your in a Prius and not legit 4 wheel drive, it’s your hint to stay home.
  5. pasnownut
    Based on what’s coming at us I think it a smart move.
  6. pasnownut
    And cad is often under modeled so imo no matter how the sneaky 700 layer taints the slightest adjustments for cad will only show up tomorrow nooners and beyond. primary keeps making its press known, then we’ve got a battle. while this is a tough line I still like that the waa is coming at us and not straight up from the south. Not abandoning what I’ve been feeling for days. If I’m wrong, so be it. Gonna b a great event even if we ping down here.
  7. pasnownut
    Yeah MU can say n do what he wants. 18zs say it ain’t over by a king shot and even if us SErs lose some to taint a pingerfest is what we transition to. I’m knocking table right now. Check.
  8. pasnownut
    yeah somewhere between you and i looks to be "the line". Not sweatin it yet, but if 0z NAM's come in any warmer, it might be time to start rethinkin my thinkin. This event has been largely consistent on most models for a couple days, so I cant imagine big surprises exist, but for as we've been sayin for a couple days, a little means a lot for us in the transition zone.
  9. pasnownut
    Warmer runs you can see the STJ pumping a little harder which helps keep primary a tad more juiced and hangin on longer. Thats my take anyways. GFS really is the best way to win this one and verbatim HH was a tough better once coastal pops as column cools and we are once again safe vertically speakin. With Euro still hangin on as well, I'll roll the dice w/ GFS Euro combo and any B teamers that wanna join in.
  10. pasnownut
    GFS held serve. Man do I wanna believe. NAM's hard not to consider tho. 0z's gonna be boom r bust for LSV. If Euro holds, I'll breathe a little better.
  11. pasnownut
    early on both looked better, then 12k shit the bed and 3k was rather similar to nooner. qpf a little less on both though.
  12. pasnownut
    3k not bad and maybe a tad better gang. I say we toss the 12... Very good point Pa.. column cools when rippin
  13. pasnownut
    primary once again trying to stick its nose where it doesnt belong
  14. pasnownut
    FWIW Notable differences at 42 wrt SLP placement. Like 500 miles off. One needs tossed. Can I pick which one?
  15. pasnownut
    early on 3k notably better. Hoping for every panel of blue I can get for lanco.
  16. pasnownut
    My buddy just called me from Barnes Corners (tuggers) and said he turned around in field. Too deep, and cant see in whiteout conditions. Headed back to Brantingham. Said he got 2' last night and 8'' so far today.
  17. pasnownut
    Been in the back of my mind as well. May have slight warming as CTP introduced ZR into grid forcast. Me no likely. Hoping mesos suppress that fear for HH
  18. pasnownut
    it really does have that feel.
  19. pasnownut
    as weve been seeing, secondary (coastal) is the key for that deformation band to set up. longer the primary holds on, it impedes coastal/comma head development.
  20. pasnownut
    and in truth even if the Euro is right, its still an out and out beatdown w/ me pingin for a couple hours after the hammers already dropped. I'll take it just as it is n be happy. and after looking at 6z, verbatim I'm all snow.
  21. pasnownut
    yeah, this is looking like quite a nice stretch of the "winters of old" coming up. Just giddy about it.
  22. pasnownut
    Thats pure weather porn right there. Props to them for sharing.
  23. pasnownut
    most majors have a 24-27 hr window of snow. If that's what you call quick, your wife must really love you.
  24. pasnownut
    0z euro also looks better. Still has us SE'rs pingin for a bit, but pops secondary a tad quicker. Theres not a model I wouldnt sign for. NMB's snow maps gotta look great right now.
  25. pasnownut
    6z GFS also ticks S and has no taint except for extreme SE corner of Philly really nice to see cold holding its ground, and not getttin bullied by primary. Just a thing of beauty.
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