wxeyeNH
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Everything posted by wxeyeNH
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Isaias is starting to look better to me. Deep convection is wrapping around the eye feature. Still moving slight west of north but the turn soon to help with shear. Recon had pressure at 1001 and now back down a bit to 1000.
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Recon having fun doing loops around center. 996.4 so far
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Recon is just going center. If Im reading it right 999.1mb Sure not strenghtening
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Doesn't look too bad on first vis. CDO has expanded west. On radar some nice rotation around center. Surely doesn't look like a classic cane but have seen worse TS's
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I never do good with NW gusts because of my hill and trees but I have unlimited to horizen exposure to the south. No trees around the house that can do damage so it will be fun. Just need to get gas for the geny. At least comfortable weather later this week. We have not had any big thunderstorm wind in my area for a few years so even 25-35mph with lollies to 40mph can cause power outages. Unlike a quick gusts front a few hours of winds like this are going to lead to scattered power outages.
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Recon just went through 996.3 if Im reading it right
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I see 995mb from recon flight
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Yeah, Euro is SE and stronger. Pretty close to Jersey shore then over NYC and up to about Worcester. 993mb (29.32) over NYC. That would be a pretty strong TS if it verified.
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Yeah, what specifically are you looking for with Isaias?
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Me too. I'm in a better position than you. I don't care about a few 35mph gusts just a 3" soak. I'm excited for that but some of the trends are so far west it may be VT/NY. It would be interesting if Isaias could relocate under convection. Then the center has a much better chance of staying offshore and a stronger storm
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Looking at the Euro there is a strip of rain through New England while Isaias is still way down the coast. Would this be considered a PRE and are models like the Euro able to pick up such an event? Euro ends at 12Z Wed but there is still more precip to come. Looks like 3-5" Western CN, West Central Mass into NH
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I've checked this cam out a few times today. Surf has really come up Ft Lauderdale Also look at some of those dews 78-79F! https://www.earthcam.com/usa/florida/lauderdalebythesea/?cam=windjammer
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First outer bands coming ashore MIA/FLL Looking forward to a couple of inches of rain up here. 996/1000mb low coming up from the tropics should give some good rain to the west of the track.
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Okay, he's naked. So what should the NHC do? Immediately change Hurricane Watch/Warnings to TS warnings? I hate the cry Wolf stuff. Even if Isaias refires convection I very much doubt hurricane conditions anyplace in Florida. Still 1-3" for New England and a change the storm will get its act together somewhat but with a weaker storm a westerly track and more change inland over Florida vs over water. Next.....
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Recon just went through the center. If Im reading it right pressure down to 985.1 from 991 last recon.
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It's perfect for us. Maybe for the weenies we can get a quick spin up or two over SE New England.
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I really like the Euro track since it gets me into the heavy rain as the storm moves through New England. A good 2-4" soak. Thankfully there seems to be enough dry air and wind shear to keep Isaias from becoming something much stronger as a track like this would not be good for the east coast.
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Quite the Euro run. Storm comes right through SNE. On my Weatherbell gust product (FWIW) it has 70-95mph gusts coming right through Eastern New England from CN to Maine. Just west of the center 4 or 5" of rain falls. Take it with a grain of salt but quite a storm on that track
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Up and down year for my lawn. Started out great. Brown out by the end of June. Then a quick 3.25" of rain and it looked great again. Now with lack of rain it's starting to brown out. I wouldn't mind the tropical system in the Atlantic to come up here as a strong depression and give New England a few inches of water. Lots of haves and have nots this season.
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Nice trends today for the tropical low. It's over land right now but the GFS and Euro bring it up the coast and possibly to the west of New England late week. Not expecting a tropical storm or anything like that but the Euro has it at 1005mb as it comes up the coast and deepens it to 1002mb in New York state. That would give us high tropical humidity, downpours and a nice south breeze. Good for areas that have missed convection rains the past week or so.
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Lawn question..... if your lawn turns completely brown from drought will it come back? I don't mean kinda burnt out but totally brown. I am loosing the battle even with watering and the well can't produce enough water so parts are now completely dead. I guess the answer is yes because that is what it does in the winter. We always get periods of dryness and had that drought several years ago but this year the drought has started earlier. Thoughts?
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May 8-9 mid-spring rain, snow, cold, wind obs
wxeyeNH replied to CT Valley Snowman's topic in New England
34.7F Sun, snow, sun. Icicles still on the north side of the house. High was 37F but when a squall goes through it briefly drops below freezing. -
May 8-9 mid-spring rain, snow, cold, wind obs
wxeyeNH replied to CT Valley Snowman's topic in New England
It's intense you can see on passing by me on the webcam -
May 8-9 mid-spring rain, snow, cold, wind obs
wxeyeNH replied to CT Valley Snowman's topic in New England
We just had a nice squall. Wind gusted to 35mph. Quick drop of vis to 1/4" and temp drop fro 36.3F to 32F then full sun. 32.0F at 130pm which is about the higest the sun gets in the sky is super impressive for May 9th. Also noted Mount Washington is 9F with 75mph and snow at this hour. Wow
