wxeyeNH

Doesn't look too bad on first vis. CDO has expanded west. On radar some nice rotation around center. Surely doesn't look like a classic cane but have seen worse TS's

I never do good with NW gusts because of my hill and trees but I have unlimited to horizen exposure to the south. No trees around the house that can do damage so it will be fun. Just need to get gas for the geny. At least comfortable weather later this week. We have not had any big thunderstorm wind in my area for a few years so even 25-35mph with lollies to 40mph can cause power outages. Unlike a quick gusts front a few hours of winds like this are going to lead to scattered power outages.

Recon just went through 996.3 if Im reading it right

I see 995mb from recon flight

Yeah, Euro is SE and stronger. Pretty close to Jersey shore then over NYC and up to about Worcester. 993mb (29.32) over NYC. That would be a pretty strong TS if it verified.

Yeah, what specifically are you looking for with Isaias?

Me too. I'm in a better position than you. I don't care about a few 35mph gusts just a 3" soak. I'm excited for that but some of the trends are so far west it may be VT/NY. It would be interesting if Isaias could relocate under convection. Then the center has a much better chance of staying offshore and a stronger storm

Looking at the Euro there is a strip of rain through New England while Isaias is still way down the coast. Would this be considered a PRE and are models like the Euro able to pick up such an event? Euro ends at 12Z Wed but there is still more precip to come. Looks like 3-5" Western CN, West Central Mass into NH

I've checked this cam out a few times today. Surf has really come up Ft Lauderdale Also look at some of those dews 78-79F! https://www.earthcam.com/usa/florida/lauderdalebythesea/?cam=windjammer

First outer bands coming ashore MIA/FLL Looking forward to a couple of inches of rain up here. 996/1000mb low coming up from the tropics should give some good rain to the west of the track.

Okay, he's naked. So what should the NHC do? Immediately change Hurricane Watch/Warnings to TS warnings? I hate the cry Wolf stuff. Even if Isaias refires convection I very much doubt hurricane conditions anyplace in Florida. Still 1-3" for New England and a change the storm will get its act together somewhat but with a weaker storm a westerly track and more change inland over Florida vs over water. Next.....

Recon just went through the center. If Im reading it right pressure down to 985.1 from 991 last recon.

It's perfect for us. Maybe for the weenies we can get a quick spin up or two over SE New England.

I really like the Euro track since it gets me into the heavy rain as the storm moves through New England. A good 2-4" soak. Thankfully there seems to be enough dry air and wind shear to keep Isaias from becoming something much stronger as a track like this would not be good for the east coast.

Nice thunderstorm passed right over. Weakened just as it got to me but still some gusty winds and .30" . Another shower now approaching

Quite the Euro run. Storm comes right through SNE. On my Weatherbell gust product (FWIW) it has 70-95mph gusts coming right through Eastern New England from CN to Maine. Just west of the center 4 or 5" of rain falls. Take it with a grain of salt but quite a storm on that track

John, I think of you with the words Bahama blues. I love this when it happens. The sparkling visibility and white sharp Cu towers.

Up and down year for my lawn. Started out great. Brown out by the end of June. Then a quick 3.25" of rain and it looked great again. Now with lack of rain it's starting to brown out. I wouldn't mind the tropical system in the Atlantic to come up here as a strong depression and give New England a few inches of water. Lots of haves and have nots this season.

Still some light but with a few second time exposed the comet was visible above the house.

Newfound Lake surface water temperature was 82.2F. That is about the warmest I have ever seen it.

Watching those storms to my north. I received about .80" in heavy showers earlier this afternoon. Have not had a strong thunderstorm hit my direct town the past couple of years. Perhaps in the next hour or two a nice squall line will be coming in.

Nice trends today for the tropical low. It's over land right now but the GFS and Euro bring it up the coast and possibly to the west of New England late week. Not expecting a tropical storm or anything like that but the Euro has it at 1005mb as it comes up the coast and deepens it to 1002mb in New York state. That would give us high tropical humidity, downpours and a nice south breeze. Good for areas that have missed convection rains the past week or so.

This is great. Thank you

Happy 4th NNElanders.... Question. I happen to look at the Mt Washington webcam and noticed that there is still quite a bit of snow in Tuckerman's Ravine. I remember as a kid in the 1960's that there was an article in the Boston Globe about the fact that some snow made it all the way through summer up there. I wonder what the usual "snowout" day is on the mountain? Anyone have a clue? Oh, I noticed that sunset tonight for my region of Central NH is 832pm. Tomorrow we loose a minute with sunsets. Sunrises have been getting later for a couple of weeks now. Still a couple of weeks away from the climatological peak of temperatures.