wxeyeNH

For a big storm in New England (wind) the storm center has to stay west. The other factor is that a storm starts weakening north of the Carolina's so you need a strong trough to the west to yank it north very quickly. At least this is something to watch although what could go wrong? Dry air, wind shear, islands with mountains, high pressure and trough location and only 270 hours out.

12Z GFS is beautiful if you want a strong New England hurricane. Storm intensifies as it moves north over the gulf stream High pressure to our east blocks it from escaping out to sea. Trough comes in from the west and yanks it northward. Long Island up the Connecticut River. Only 270 hours away.

Thunderstorm winding down. Approx .90" in the Stratus of which about .70" in the thunderstorm line. Highest rain rate I saw on the Vantage Pro 2 was 7.78"

65/63 Frequent lightning to west. .18" on the day. We will see what this line brings with it.

Exactly the same here. 64/61, cool refreshing air. I would think severe would have a hard time getting here unless the warm front can make some progress north in the next few hours.

https://www.cbsnews.com/losangeles/news/death-valley-127-degrees-record-hottest-september-day-on-the-planet/

Maybe this was already mentioned in the thread days ago but on Sept 2nd Death Valley's high of 127F was a record high for September and a world record high for the month. That is very impressive. (and scary)

This summer people kept saying drought begets drought. The Dallas event and this event shows that areas in very series drought can still get inches of rain in a few hours. Rain is over here 1.42" final

57F Light rain 1.32" biggest rain event since I put my Stratus back out after frozen season.

12Z GFS

The tri state area of Mass/RI/CN is just getting pummeled.

I just made a new thread for this heavy rain event. It should have it's own thread if some of these totals come to fruition.

Looks like some areas could receive many inches but where exactly will the heavy rain set up?

The wagons must be getting dizzy .38" through 945am

Off to the races, or not? .25" in a quick heavy convective shower that woke me at 6am

Yeah, just watching the cells form just SE of me. Frustrating to say the least

GFS brings the goods for Brian and me.

I will take anything that is wet. It will be yeah or nah within the next 10 minutes.

Looks like a soaka... I'm right on the north edge of the goods. Trends are inching back north it seems

This is the map from the AHPS site for the past 90 days

I'm not sure how accurate my Davis rain gauge is but I just went back and checked. Assuming Concord NH averages 3.5" of rain per month I have not had an above normal qpf month since last October's 4.89". I can't say what the qpf for the winter months were but my snowfall was about average.

You were my Bahama Blues go to guy. Now instead of raining cats and dogs it can rain pigs. Love it

12Z Euro southward ho. Another nickel or dime situation for CNE? Glad SNE is getting the goods. If this keeps up I will be where SNE was a few weeks ago.

Here's GFS through 72 hours. Maybe a bit more to go after this for southern sections. Time to go out and enjoy the day

I know a fair amount about aviation and it would be very hard to do with a plane all things considered. It would much easier to do in a a car than a plane. Better yet and real easy is to just to put governors (is that the right word) in cars so they couldn't go way over the speed limit but keep police type vehicles able to go faster. People would balk like crazy of big brother interference. Getting back to weather 12Z GFS coming in is putting down some big rain totals. I will have image in a couple of minutes.