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Everything posted by wxeyeNH
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31.8F light freezing drizzle
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Scott, hope you feel better. For all of my other NNE friends Happy New Year and stay healthy!
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My high was 49.1F About 3 or 4" of glaciated snow remains from my Dec 17th 19". 27" of snow so far this season. Around dusk we were visited by our Bobcat for the 2nd time this week. The weather cam caught him walking by.
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Historic Christmas Lake Effect Blizzard
wxeyeNH replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thanks guys for answering my question about lake temperatures and lake effect snow. I guess the next challenge for communities that are digging out will be the rain coming. A lot of weight for some peoples roofs. -
Historic Christmas Lake Effect Blizzard
wxeyeNH replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I live in NH but just checking out this thread. Wow. So sorry for all the people that lost their lives. It must have been a horrible way to go, slowly freezing in your car or outside. I know we talk about climate change and events. I am curious as to the lake water temperatures this fall. Were they above normal which would lead to heavier lake events? If so I wonder if the lake water was closer to normal might the snow bands be slightly weaker? Of course a storm of this magnitude would produce heavy snow no matter what but warmer lake water temperatures in the future may increase the likely hood of heavier lake effect. Snow -
Looking at the 12Z GFS for snow. No snow through 384 hours.
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Thanks! The other thing and we talked about it a long while ago is I wished the NWS could have stripe colored lines or some way for the public to look on the main page and see multiple advisories, watches warnings in a given area. For instance right now if you look on the map it is just shaded for the wind advisory for much of NH but not for the flood watch which is in effect too. I still have 12" of snow on the ground and with 2" of water inbound that may cause it's own problems
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With this storm it is the wind I am worried about. Our house has an unlimited horizon view to the southwest and west south west. Being at 1100 feet the wind may really roar if it mixes down. Our power source comes over our mountain so I am preparing for a long power loss. We can heat by wood but people that rely on electric to run their furnace might be in trouble with temperatures dropping to below 10F and staying in the teens for a couple of days. Our snowcover is down to 12". We might get a quick inch or two at the begining but it will be interesting to see if we lose all of it. Whatever is left will be like a glacier like. All and all it will be interesting storm for sure up here. More interesting to me than a run of a mill all snow event.
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Alex, I'm guessing you will be fine as far as flooding is concerned. It is a quick 12 hour warm sector then within an hour or two back into the deep freeze. I think the snowpack at elevation can absorb the heavy rain before it gets down to the river. With a flash freeze there is going to be a lot of ice around. Ski areas are going to have to work fast making snow or the trails will be hard and fast for sure.
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Alex. That is a good question. The highest wind gust I have ever recorded on my Davis station is 61mph. That brought down a lot of trees around here but we have lots of big maples, ash and oak. Up in your area I think there is a lot of small spruce trees that are built for wind and snow. With your funneling effect maybe you do get that kind of wind but it is very rare that I have seen actual 60mph gusts on the official ASOS reporting stations. Of course a heavy wet snow or ice storm is worse. Long story short is I don't know?
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Below are the maximum wind gusts forecasted (Weatherbell products) from the EC and GFS. GFS is a bit faster but you get the idea of the speeds as they pass through. I don't believe we will widespread 60-70mph gusts like the GFS is showing. When was the last time that happened? but does anyone remember the last time we had a 970mb low just NW of New England? I am curious as to anyone's thoughts? One thing is for sure, if there is widespread outages it is going to be a cold Christmas for many.
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After the snowstorm the other day it has been perfect icicle growing weather. Near freezing during the day and 20s at night. With the Christmas lights on in our sunroom and the snow outside it looks like a movie set.
