wxeyeNH

I had pretty much discounted this storm up here. 12Z runs very encouraging. Arrghh on the time change. We need to change this like the way it was a few years ago when I think it happened later in March...

Watching it on Weatherbell. Out to hour 30 seems a bit north with the lower Miss basin qpf

Lots of people saw it all over New England. My neighbor swears it landed just behind his house! He said it went down just behind his trees. Highly doubtful. I told him he should take the day off and go into his woods and find it. A 1 pound meteorite is worth about a million bucks!

Looking at that shot I am trying to figure out the city light sources. To the extreme right must be Berlin. Maybe Littleton on the left? Then on the far horizon that must be Montreal. Years ago I did a winter overnight edu trip at the summit. A noreaster was developing down in the mid-Atlantic and the cirrus shield had made it over SNE. Boston's lights were quite visible reflecting up to the underside of the clouds. Actually, this would be a neat question to the observers. If a cirrus shield was over NYC would they be able to see the cirrus lit that far away. I think it would be possible. For some reason the "how far can you see" question has always interested me. Edit. Maybe the horizon lights are Burlington?

KP index a 5 so I went to the top of the hill for a look. Definite brightening on the north horizon but with the naked eye I could not make out any detail. Need to be able to see to fairly low to the north to notice. Moon rises around 9pm which will probably kill anything after that....

I went up to the top of my hill last night and couldn't see anything. My friend Dave setup at the foot of Newfound Lake and with a time exposure caught them very faintly. Like the ones I briefly saw last week they are usually far on the north horizon. The key lately is you really need to have an unobstructed north view without any city lights in that direction... Here's the pic he posted on his site...

The Gulf Stream comes up from the Florida area. NC sticks out to the east. So basically the warm waters of the Gulf Stream move NE well out east of the east coast north of NC. So take a look at the water temperatures and you will see a quick large drop off of water temperatures.

These are the 12Z runs. The 18Z have more models bending west.

Until helicopters can survey damage it is impossible to know exactly how bad this storm was. my guess is that it is going to be catastrophic. The media has been camped out at the best hotels in San Juan. When I visited Puerto Rico and toured the countryside there were so many poor towns with crappy construction. These vast areas are where the real damage will be. Power is out so information will be very spotty for a couple of days. Also the power grid is so exposed. Unlike the US mainland with Irma you can't just bring in crews from other areas. Power will be out for many weeks, months.. Also lets not forget Dominica. I haven't even looked today to see what exactly happened there.

I'm guessing the cell towers might be out on the SE side of the island where he was. This will probably be one of his more unpleasant chases. Might take awhile for him to get back to San Juan. Getting a flight out of the island might take awhile too.

Watching the live news from San Juan. Winds are quite light. Are they in the eye area? I'm guessing the wind will come back ripping from the south?

Recon about to go through the eye again...

Recon 919.6mb?

With the eye looking so good on infrared Im surprised the vis. shows a low cloud cover. We will know very shortly what's going on, recon getting close...

Roseau the capitol of Dominica is on the SW part of the island. Sure looks like a beautiful town. Looks like a roaring west wind with a large storm surge that will come in as the eye passes just northeast. Dominica is a tropical paradise. Forests will be basically gone tomorrow..

Maria's small eye is amazing. The pressure has to be so much lower than the last recon. When is the next plane due in? The eye is so small that the exact path of the eyewall will be crucial. The 5pm track over PR is also the worst possible. Puts San Juan in the right front quad with screaming winds from the east right off the ocean. Most of the 3 million people live in the northeast part of the island....

Hebert... Jeez never caught that too. I'm so lame thanks

As a total side note when Gmail started I took out the name herbertsbox. So my email address is [email protected] After signing up I realized it should be herbertbox not herbertsbox. People always ask me what herbertsbox means. No one knows but a true tropcial weenie like me... Okay, back to Maria....

Well for the moment I don't see anything so it was fleeing or maybe it will start back up again but bed time for me.

Yes, the 03 event was like "wow what is going on" . Spectacular. Going to drive up to the hill one more time right now...just to see if its brighter...

It was all below the Big Dipper angle. Only 2 or 3 times living here full time since 2001 have I seen AB near overhead. I know you have Tilton's lights to your north too...

Just got back to the house. It's really like 25 degrees or maybe 35 degrees above the horizon. From my house with trees to my north I can't see anything. If I drive up my road 1/2 mile to the hilltop and look to the north horizon over the S Whites its very clear. The hilltop is pitch black with the Milky Way blazing. So unless you can see to the north (assuming no towns) you miss it. Between me and the Whites there are almost no lights. (Downtown Plymouth to the NE). If they get brighter and I can see them from the house I will repost. They seem to change in brightness minute by minute. When I just left they were very dim again....

Watching the Aurora Borealis right now looking North from Newfound Lake. Was a pretty good arc across the sky with some pillars a few minutes ago now it's tied down changes minute by minute

Skies extremely bright to the north. Damn clouds!! KP index 8!

I'm up on a Hilltop right now looking North in the sky looks extremely bright. About 75% covered by clouds but in between the clouds its very bright