Thundersnow12

Me at the local park tomorrow when it’s in the mid 50s thinking about what I’m gonna miss back home

All for this

Naperville’s favorite mom warming up a big I told you so

Best clipper system to hit Chi metro^. I snuck out of pep band that Friday night to get home before it got going and catch Skilling’s forecast. And then also the suburbs got a good amount of LES snow too into that Saturday afternoon.

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 912 PM CST Sat Jan 22 2022 .UPDATE... Issued at 912 PM CST Sat Jan 22 2022 Based on upstream radar trends and the incoming 00Z CAM guidance, we shifted the axis of heaviest snow north by a county. In addition, we lowered snow ratios a hair given a modest warm nose sampled by the 00Z DVN RAOB which places much of the low-level temperature profile just outside the DGZ (new ratios are more like 15:1 to 17:1 instead of 20:1). The updated forecast now features the swath of 3-5" of snow from the heart of Rockford to Chicago, 2-4" from Dixon to Joliet to Wheatfield, and 1-3" from Mendota to Rensselaer. It`s possible we`re still too far south...but at least we seem to be heading in the right direction. Even with a shift in the axis of snow, impacts should remain similar with snow-covered roads within the Winter Weather Advisory area. Regardless, keep in mind actual amounts on the southern side (e.g. La Salle, Grundy, Kankakee, Newton, and Jasper counties) will end up on the lower-end of our snowfall forecast

HRRR bumped north again. Geos magnet still alive and well in 2022.

Trended right into an SPS.

3z RAP continues its trend of slightly more amplified 700/850mb wave and stronger WAA. Really nice look for northern IL/Chi metro this run. Going to have a 10-12kft deep DGZ for a time.

At least a miss means no more blood red world is ending twitter graphics Congrats Carolinas

Continuing to cherry pick one spot, the HRRR is still 4 degrees too warm as of 19z at ARR. 27/24 vs 31/28 in HRRR land. So that low snow totals screw zone that continues to be modeled out the western burbs/srn Kane co shouldn't be that bad.

Poor Alek torching lakeside

Hot returns along the I-39 corridor where temps are in the mid 20's now.

FWIW, the latest HRRR is too warm at places like DKB, ARR and DPA but is too cold at ORD and MDW. DKB: 25 HRRR 27 ARR: 29 HRRR 31 DPA: 28 HRRR 32 ORD: 34 HRRR 31 MDW: 37 HRRR 33

Weird. Joe texted me earlier saying radar looks solid and he wasn't too worried.

lol'd Was able to get up there and get into one of the neighborhoods in Louisville that was completely gone. Nothing left. Worse than any tornado damage I've ever seen. Just horrible and looked like a scene from a natural disaster movie.

Bump or two away from dampening duster status https://climate.cod.edu/data/forecast/animations/NEXLABdpdt-00Z-20220102_NAMUS_prec_ptype-20-100.gif

Maybe they’ll get it after you say it 10 more times lol

“Boy this party really died”

You guys suck *said with love and hope you get buried (except Joe)*

Best run yet of any model for the immediate Chicago metro. Alek sweats. Joe with a sigh of relief

Barb redux incoming. You both move just as slow

Thank you for helping me prove Joey wrong.

Can’t blame him given the mention of a south shift in the AFD lol

Ricky is in my thoughts after those two runs. Brutal