gravitylover

3.2 so far 

24 minutes ago, TriPol said:

I just don't understand where alll this rain is going to go go to. We've had 2-4 inch rainstorms almost every week since September. I cannot imagine getting yet another storm like this. Yes, the winds are going to be bad and there will be Hurricane Gloria level power outages on LI, but I'm extremely concerned about the flooding potential with this, especially since it's going to melt all of the snowfall from the past week. I just don't understand how this isn't a bigger story.

My wife told me to stop with the doom and gloom. She thinks everything she's seen about this is totally overblown. She said 'they're always wrong about the wind'. Then a little later she asked if we have gas for the generator . 

35/33/SE7 with flurries 

Looks wintry, sounds good and crunchy when cars drive by. After the whole day and a fair bit of overnight sleet and ice pellets the grass is finally (mostly) covered and stuff is weighted and matted down so next time it snows it won't take as much to cover it. That's good because I don't seem to get more than a few inches at a time  anymore. I think I'll spend some time today taking stuff out of the basement again and getting the rest off the floor in preparation for the upcoming flooding 

8 hours ago, Will - Rutgers said:

i love global warming, over the last couple years i take a drink every time i read “record breaking PWATs” in an AFD, really hoping the hospital has a generator and my liver transplant on wednesday doesn’t get cancelled

Did we know? Damn dude. Sign in on Thursday and let us all know how great things are and how well you're feeling! It sounds like we're going to need the good news. 

33/32 with some of the heaviest white rain I've seen in a long time (ever?). It's funny, I cleaned the cars off earlier and even though it's snowing pretty hard it's not accumulating on the cars. Sun angle? 

32/32 with white rain grains and tiny ice pellets. This shit is Dense! It's white on top but quickly starts turning grey. I guess it's a good thing there's only about 3" of this paste   You guys are all welcome, I gave up the needed dynamics for the greater good of the community 

I fell asleep and missed it all I heard heavy sleet on the window and woke up for a minute, looked outside and it was pouring rain and sleet that had washed the street clean so I rolled over and went back to sleep disappointed. Now it's mostly over and it looks like I have maybe 3". Blah

I've got heavier than flurries starting to accumulate. Not liking the ESE wind. 

29/25/ESE8 SN- 

Yeah it's a whole different weather scene as you get over by Holiday Mtn. I see huge differences over a few hundred feet here. It'll be white rain in town, maybe coating car tops, and I'll have an inch or 2 at home a mile and a half away. 

Even lake effect zones are changing and becoming more altitude based, particularly in the North Country. 

1 hour ago, Dark Star said:

I think if we start looking at the present physical data instead of the models, we might actually see what is happening?

Meteorology rather than modelology? Good luck with that. It seems most people would rather spend twice as much time analyzing models. 

1 hour ago, rclab said:

Gravity that, by far, is one of the more interesting takes on Patrick Henry’s statement. Stay well and calm. As always ….

I knew you'd appreciate that 

6 minutes ago, ForestHillWx said:

The second storm is all about the possibility of the first locking in that monster hp the models have flirted with. 

 

That's the trick right. Get high and stay high

1 hour ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said:

You can still score really well in the greens of Vermont above 2,000” were real estate and amenity’s exist. I mean they had a 40”+ storm last year and the snow banks were mind boggling due to the tremendous water content. And then of course there’s the good old tug hill, but that’s about as isolated as it gets. So if I were to choose a spot that’s only a few hours from Boston and 4ish from nyc it’s the southern greens. 

Yeah but the random biggies in between stretches of ice and mud isn't what to move for. 

IMO the only way to ensure that you see consistently snowy winters over the next few decades will be to head to higher altitude away from the ocean influences. I think that somewhere above 7k feet and north of about I70 ought to do it. That obviously takes the east coast off the table. 

I'm dreading the thought of hot rain falling into a bunch of wet snow. Gimme winter or gimme drought!  aargghh

47 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said:

I have been very quiet lately not wanting to jinx us, but I am thinking we finally have something coming. I honestly think this could be 6-8 our area of Putnam County, but we'll see. I hiked up Ice Pond trail today and it felt wintry out there minus snow. 

Yeah you're pretty likely to be on the higher side of that. Enjoy it! I used to love rock climbing at Ice Pond. There's some tough stuff in there. If you get a chance to do some snow hiking on Sunday go into Mike Ciaola from the bottom on Havilland Hollow Rd. 

56 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said:

I'm cooked here in northern Ocean Co

Time to make that move towards Danbury. I'm looking at 4-6 about 13 miles from KDXR. 

An added bonus is with the ground surface freezing up it's holding the surface moisture in rather than some of it drying as it evaporates on days like today. The creeks and rivers may go down a bit though as the water in the ground gets locked in. There's still water pumping out of some hillsides here. :eek:  

51 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Try being a snow lover before the weather Channel and the internet lol. 

I took 2 college meteorology classes in 84-85 at Nassau Community. The professor was a real weenie and he looked like Al Roker. It was great 

@Albedoman and I are on the same train. Good post dude.

Snow is the least of my worries at this point but I'll be the first one to stay home and let everyone else go bumpin' into each other because they're no good at driving in the snow on nearly bald summer tires. Any moisture, whether from rain or melting snow, has nowhere to go and I really don't feel like dealing with a wet basement for a third time in less than a month. It's the cold, freezing already soggy trees and breaking branches off and more ice slicks across streets (and my driveway) that could be another pain in the ass problem. The Croton River is still really high, all of the overflow dams are jammin' and there are minor logjams all over and I bet that the feeders are also messy and the Housatonic is the same without the logjams (with what I was able to see) so river flooding is definitely a thing. What's the FFG around here right now? It's gotta be under 2".

I dunno, maybe a few sorta dry days with a breeze will dry things out a bit and relieve just enough of that pressure. 

Tree branches with wounds have soaked up water and are soggy, a little freeze and a little breeze and they're coming down. Will they fall on your house or the cars in your driveway? Better go take a look and do something about it before next weekend. Driving around this afternoon I saw a bunch of water still coming out of hillsides and storm drains at the bottom of valleys so it's obvious that we're saturated. That's gonna be a lot of ice as the new moisture runs off so if your driveway is like mine be prepared, go get some sand. The couple of dry days coming up won't do squat to help especially if the surface freezes at night. Hoping for not too cold and not too windy.

Going into this next storm cycle when everything is so wet and soft is a shitty situation. I can't help but to picture trees and branches down on powerlines while it's 28* and windy. Yuck. I was hoping for a few sunny days but until that actually materializes I'm not getting excited.