tavwtby

some nice looking returns downstream, looking like it's filling in also, decent breeze here too, 11, gusting near 20 in the last hour

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

CT was pegged 8-9:00

ALY had this area starting between 6-8, later further N and E...

ripping pretty good here now, starting to stick to the driveway, hope yet...vis just over 1/2mi, if we can pound 1/4mi with good growth here for a few hours, we should be ok to at least hit 4".

38/22 now ..felt the first drop of something, we gon start an obs thread, or just post em here?

apparently snowing over head here, nothing falling yet, 38/20, wetbulb around 28...

ALY afternoon AFD suggested the 700 warm tongue gets as far north as the VT/MA border with mostly sleet, and ZR for my hood up to maybe PIT, I'll take pingers, I loathe ZR though

2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

 

Matches pretty well with BOX map.

 

 

 

man, can I buy 60 miles! always amazed me just how different the weather can be in the northeast, only a few miles can determine a foot or 4" of snow, minus the big region wide KU events that get every in on the goods. Really noticed just how much when I moved to Winsted from Waterbury, avg like 30" more a year, and Norfolk probably gets a good 10" more than I, and I can walk there in about an hour or so... crazy

meh for my area, nice SVT and north of ALY though, should cash nicely in up there

1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

You want the best lift to line up with the snow growth zone (and be saturated). So on Paul’s sounding you see these bars sticking out horizontally from the left, those are omega bar which denote lift in the atmosphere….we want those to be at the same level as the SGZ but they were below the SGZ which means you’ll get crappier flakes. It does improve the next hour (as he showed in a later post). 

thanks Will, I've never really dug into how the sounding plots really work, suppose I should get into it, useful info.what determines where the DGZ is, is it always at the same level, or does it change based on the lift, and dynamics of the levels? sorry for the elementary questions, just trying to get a grip on what I see.

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Would love to know what model the Wunderground app is mostly based on for their app snowfall algorithm.  Has me at 8-12 tonight and 3-5 tomorrow.    GFS ?

I've been wondering same... had me with about 10" leading up to yesterday where it began dropping now at 5".

40 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

8 or 9 to 1 sugar there. 

I've always struggled trying to decipher soundings, don't we want the dgz to be around the 700mb level for best snow growth? and does the temp line go up to the right or left? tia for the lesson

28 minutes ago, Connecticut Appleman said:

Well we do have a little bit of DP to work with as it is currently 19 here, so if we can shed a few degrees before the precipitation starts, we might have a window to see some wintry stuff.

probably best this is happening overnight, honestly if it was during the day it'd probably be rain, only good thing I see until this starts to wrap around close, by that time though I think it's too far east, hopefully I'm wrong.

was just looking through some old pics with my son who's now 11, think it was the winter of 13-14, could have been the next year, but man did we have some massive man size snow piles on the side of the driveway, taller than I, with me and him trying to make an igloo, hopefully next year we can get back to that type of pack

gonna be hard to overcome this warm antecedent airmass, we're close to 45 with now muted sun, but we'll see what happens, expectations not high with this one...

man we gust tonight, out of nowhere...40+ gusts

still sticking with 4-6" in NWCT, with some higher amounts N and NW of my immediate area, unless we happpen to get in on some banding or the CCB good, which may be too late in developement for my area, but look good for ORH over to BOS, but temps marginal still in SNE.

31 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Still on the colder side of guidance. Never really changes over north of CT/MA border. 

think my area has a shot at staying all frozen through Sat afternoon?

4 minutes ago, BrianW said:

you can see a nice little axis from about Newport up towards NAdams, where that good early banding set up, and I was on the bottom of that here, too bad that didn't rotate and pivot through the area

looking at the reports coming in, a general 3-6 with lollies looks like it, radar filling in west, but doubt that amounts to much during the day with marginal temps now

7" here, appears accumulating snow is about done, ripped nicely over night, vis was down under 1/4mi at times, nice to see winter again, almost 2' on the year now, a few more inches and it won't be officially the worst winter, snow wise here.

28 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Should be a good week for us. 4 to 8 with lollies in Ct

the way this winter has been, I'd be happy with this week just getting me more than 11", to surprise the lowest ever recorded here of 27.6", 15-16... currently sitting at 16 even after yesterday 1.3", this week does look good as currently shown for us in CT

1.25 on the day, like Will said, very sparkly in the light at night, nice little perfect dendrites too, i keep trying to get a pic of one but they're so dry they vaporize on contact with anything not very cold

cracked an inch here on the day and still lightly snowing, awesome feel out there...

2 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

Didn't we say it would do this yesterday, when it didn't align with other guidance.  And no doubt more waffling to come

someone mentioned how the NAM nailed the small event we're seeing today, I don't recall seeing it on other models, perhaps it's onto something, I mean we're closing in on 48hrs or so from go time, so within range

fwiw, there's some pretty good growth this go around with the pixie dust... very nice wintry feel outside