tavwtby

I know it's been explained before but indulge me here... what's the difference between the Op run and the ensemble mean, is the op just a member that has more weight, or is the mean of them all factored into the op? that aside, this has a great look this far out, and has for days now, doesn't hurt to mention some of our biggest and best systems have come during the Ides of march, just before equinox seems to be a good time for major storm development. let's hope we hold serve and enjoy tracking something

so any more snow here and I'll pass 15-16, and if by some luck I get 9.8" or more, surpass 19-20... setting goals man...

1 hour ago, weathafella said:

Seems like that’s been missing most of the winter.  The mid December event had it and the one which broke snowier a few weeks ago are the only ones I remember-maybe the previous swfe but that event crapped out in MA after giving most of CT the goods.

yeah, we have yet to have a good antecedent airmass leading up to a s/w, and when cold was present, there was nothing around... this winter in a nutshell

35 minutes ago, NSwx said:

#Yore

yore indeed! nice pic, and that's exactly what I was talking about and wishing for.

Just now, SnoSki14 said:

I remember when miller Bs featured secondary transfers offshore NC/VA or the Delmarva that gave everyone a good hit not just NNE. 

yeah from a primary that got as far as maybe Cincinnati before the transfer, tracking right up the BM and bombing along the way

6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

winds have been stout all day.  30-40mph

I was surprised to see some of those wind reports from the coast, other than the onset and until around midnight, winds were not a factor in my area anyway, what I would give for a long duration stalled bomb, with drifting etc.. yore!

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yep. And I’d expect that if people do not want to worry about the storm until closer, take a break from this particular thread and come back in 3 days. 
 

For those who enjoy tracking the changes or watching guidance slowly converge on solutions, then that’s what the thread is for. 

absolutely well put

as it's been stated many times, the ensembles should be the focus, with an eye on the atmospheric mechanics, until we get within 72 hours where details are ironed out... just happy there's s/w's to track at this point, compared to that horrible stretch from just after Xmas to mid February, although I was gone for most of it. I leave again 3/17, so hoping we get one more before we call it  

25 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

What’s your total at nearly 1k in NW Ct 

30”?

27.5

good to see that some north areas actually got to climo and it wasn't a region wide rat, still bad, only need an inch though to get to second worst, maybe next weekend we pass the rubicon...lol... I just want spring and planting season at this point

so my dad finally got to use the blower this morning and discovered what I did the other day... ariens had to go and fix something that didn't need fixing...the clutch is so sensitive and first gear so fast, it just bounces unless the driveway is flat and smooth... gonna take some breaking in I suspect. Also, their smart turn technology is garbage, found myself fighting the steering the whole time, when my old one was simply a zero turn blower and was great... my dad didn't like how they moved the shoot adjustment to the middle of the blower instead of behind, but that didn't bother me as much as the clutch and steering... regardless better than shoveling of course it hasn't seen a really big storm yet, so we'll see how it does then HA!

3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Yeah could be

was hoping it would hold together for just a little more, push my season total over the 15-16 total this winter is currently tied with, but no dice...if nothing else falls this season, tied as the worst winter snow wise in the recorded history going back to 1887, wow.

radar looked like it tried to fill in, then just fizzled out as it moved east, probably do it for this one minus some flakes and showers... officially even with 15-16 as the worst winter ever, hopefully we can pull something until full spring to surpass

6 minutes ago, Connecticut Appleman said:

Looks like a bit of everything falling out of the sky here in New Hartford with 3 inches of concrete on the ground.  31 degrees right now.

This should be interesting to snowblow…

just went out and shoveled a path to the stairs and it's definitely concrete, measured almost 4 though, can't imagine much more falling as radar looks like garbage upstream

was there any lightening reports around Winsted Torrington area? I swear I heard a rumble, but I saw nothing and thought it was plow, but it was different... little lull right now but just before it, it was a good burst, I measured 1.4 at 1015

you guys got me at the window waiting for thunder now, it wouldn't surprise me with how hard it's snowing right now, Jesus!

edit: just measured an inch otg.

Just now, dendrite said:

Collapsed back SW a bit. 

thanks, that's what I like to hear

has that sleet line progressed at all? I don't have weathertap, my sub ran out the other day so I'm relegated to wunderground radar. just took a quick measure and it was .8 so far and still SN+, my 1/4mi marker has disappeared..

roads are fully covered now, as is that spot I shoveled about 20min ago, vis is way down, although the growth is not as good as before, flake size little smaller, but still wow, impressed

Just now, FXWX said:

30 degrees... steady light / moderate snow; coating on all surfaces... noting snow covered roads on DOT road cams across parts of Litchfield County...

 

yeah, I just heard the plow go by on 8, seriously it's barely covered

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Here’s the current mix line aloft

is that weenie mt tolland??

not sure if this pic does any justice, but...

absolutely pouring snow right now, this was 10 minutes ago, over 1/2" already and under 1/4mi vis, nice winds too

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Snowing hard . Road quickly snow covered 

yeah, I'm impressed how hard it came in and stayed if not gotten heavier... closing on 1/2" on the board, just coating on roads and driveway

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Snow has begun . 

almost on the nose with 830...vis down to just over 1/4 here atm, nice growth too, and everything coated, except roads