tamarack

North (Andover) of Bethel and south (very flashy Wild River at Gilead rose from 20 cfs to about 1,700, down under 600 now.) Edit: 1,700 cfs is peanuts for the Wild River. It reached 37,800 from Irene and 32,200 from the pre-Halloween gale in 2017. Oddly, the great 1987 flood only reached 17,000 - maybe the watershed's snow was gone before the 3/31-4/1 downpour?

Measurable rain on 11 of 24 days here plus 2 more with T, total is up to 2.58". August averages 3.93" here, so a good chance for the 9th BN month in the past 11.

Could hardly be different winters here. 1970-71 trails only 1968-69 for snow and 1917-18 for cold. 2020-21 had the 8th mildest DJFM and 9th least snowfall of 130 winters at the Farmington co-op. Looks like anything from a full-on ratter to a monster snow-cold winter is in play.

My clearest memory was listening to the hurricane center in Coral Gables as they reported a gust of 164 mph, followed by a very audible crash as the radar dome blew over. Several days later, we were supposed to get siggy RA plus storm force winds from the remnants, got some sprinkles and winds 20-30, not enough to cancel a bass-fishing day with fun-only "contest" in Newcastle, all fish released after measuring.

Cocorahs from Bethel reported 1.06". 15 miles north in Andover, 2.85". Big drop to Temple/Farmington, 0.62"/0.58". A few miles east, I'm at 5th place with 0.19", though the 2-day totals for the 3 Franklin County spots are all in the 0.7"/0/.8" range.

I've ranted on this as well. CAR is near the extreme in the Northeast. When we lived in Fort Kent, I recall an ad from an equipment place that promised a 10% rebate of a snowblower purchase if the Caribou WSO had less than 50% of average snowfall. Pretty safe offer, as they've never had below 50% Their least snowy winter was a bit under 60" in 1943-44 while the long-term average is 115". Even their biggest snow year - 198" in 2007-08 - is only 72% above that average.

Saw a report of 8" from there on last evening's 11 PM news, but no others above 4". However, after the TS that parked over CAR on August 17, 1981 dumped 6.67", mostly between 10 AM and 1 PM, I can accept seemingly anomalous reports. 12 miles to the south, PQI had only 1.37" and some town within 20 miles had <1/2". Only the remnants of Edna (6.21") approach that CAR record - 3rd biggest in their 83-year POR is 4.08"

With 103 reports, high end for Maine cocorahs, top is Hollis Center with 4.19". 2nd place is Buxton at 3.95". Both towns are inland York County but #3 at 3.64" is Kennebunk. Next is Standish, southern Cumberland, with 2.39". I've no idea where the 6-7" was measured. Had RA 9P-3A for 0.54" here, would've loved 3 times as much but no complaints, as the 2 cocorahs observers in Farmington had only 0.22".

My favorite case i point: Sept 21. 1966 for the broad NY metro area. Central Park reported 5.54" that day, and though it took several more months of AN rain to confirm it, the 1960s drought in the Northeast was broken that day.

Do the birds nest all over that beach? In Maine, least terns and piping plovers (the latter are US threatened, Maine endangered) tend to nest together in relatively compact areas. Where encountered, those areas in Maine are usually fenced and signed, leaving the rest of the beaches unaffected. On state parks motor vehicles are prohibited on the beaches/dunes and dogs are excluded or required to be on leash, while 95%+ of park beaches are business as usual - attendance has been setting record highs over the past three years. Thus, shutting down whole beaches would seem an overkill. The less restrictive practices here have enabled piping plover pairs to increase from near 10 to almost 200 over the past 25 years.

Or chase a Juan redux in your SUV? Yeah we’d be knocked into the Stone Age if 38 redux occurred. If you take the track and intensity, you’d basically have the whole region as one massive outage. That would be an enormous undertaking for resources to first clear roads and then restore power. Another '38 in New England, especially SNE, would resemble Puerto Rico after Maria.

57-58: Warm and snowy, 3 storms of 15" 86-87: Great January, historic flood for April Fools 02-03: Cold and dry, suppression city though good retention 09-10: <puke> Combine 57-58 precip with 02-03 temps, bumper crop.

We lived in Gardiner Maine then, and Bob dumped 6.41", biggest calendar day I've recorded, 1962 onward. Gusts probably reached 60, ranking it in my "2nd tier" of strong winds, with Hazel, Doria and the 4/82 blizzard. (Top tier includes the 1950 Apps gale and the NW winds behind the BGR blizzard on 12/31/62 - the 5/-8 temp on that day was also pretty cold for NNJ.) Bob was also my only TC experience in which the backside NW winds were equally as strong as the SE front, though about 95% of the RA came before the shift. Thoughts on "ratters" - depends on expectations and variability. I'd guess than getting <60% of an average of 45-50" occurs maybe a quarter of the winters. 60% of the Farmington co-op average would rank 122nd of 130 winters there. At CAR, 60% would land between 80th and 81st out of 82 winters. 50% would set a new record.

If it could combine Nov-Jan 07-08 with Feb-Apr 92-93, wow! However, the local co-op had totaled only 15" snow thru Jan 31 (07-08 had 72") with but a single storm greater than 2". Also, the final week of that month had only traces OG - no measurable in January is exceedingly rare there. Then Feb onward featured 6 storms of 12-18", 109" total and a pack that climbed to 56" as the Superstorm pulled away, tied with March 1971 for 2nd tallest. (The 84" in Feb 1969 is untouchable.)

The St. John has actually been canoeable much of the summer - should be approaching 3k cfs at Dickey to avoid some drags thru shallow stretches. More commonly it's water trickling thru a rockpile in August, at least upstream from Dickey, or as a former co-worker fluent in 'Franglais' would say, "In Haugust I'm put my snowshoe on my feet, canoe on my back and walk down the river!"

It was okay, running at average with no storms over 8", then we got 15" as an April Fools joke.

Had 8 days with thunder so far this year. The June 14 event brought 1.14" including 0.85" in 10 minutes and a few dime-size ice cubes. The other 7 added together brought considerably less than that. Of course, we've just had the nicest garden rain of the summer without a hint of convection.

That season was terrible here until after the equinox. Only 2.8" from the fringe of that early Dec storm and then nothing over 7" until spring arrived - only one winter has failed to produce an 8"+ event, 2005-06. (Topped out at 5.9", my 1st winter that failed to reach 6" since 1967-68 in NNJ.) The first 20 days of spring 2020 produced storms of 10.3" and 8.5", with the 3.2" on 5/9 the cherry on a very modest sundae.

We got nada from that one, then were too far south (0.15") for last week's deluge that dumped 3-4" in places less than 40 miles away - the event that created the infamous 143-mile detour for those trying to reach Jackman from Greenville.

Not NNE - had 1.9" here (month's biggest snowfall ). Most fell at temp near -10.

1.18" thru 7 AM and 1.78" for the month. Baby steps. That 1.18"is the highest cocorahs since 1.32" for July 19, and 2nd highest since mid November. Not much for big precip events recently.

So would I. Despite the frustrating January - significantly colder and wetter than average while dead last for snow in our 24 years here - Dec, Feb, Mar each had a bit over 30" and the winter featured 5 double-digit snowfalls and the oldest March ever at the Farmington co-op. Great retention, too - 3rd most SDDs and one of 6 winters to reach 40"+ depth. The low-snow Decembers are disappointing, with the most recent 4 all BN. However, that's also true for March, and over the past 4 winters the cumulative 16 "snow months" have been AN 3 times and BN 13. The 4 years prior it was 8 up, 8 down. Previous worst for that odd metric was 02-03 thru 05-06, with 4 AN, 12 BN.

Excellent pics. Nice cone crop on the red spruce, too.

And if the serious RA could hold off until mid-afternoon Wednesday, our Tues-Wed forestry field trip in western Maine could avoid a dousing. However, models have been jumping all over, criss-crossing tracks as one model moves west and another moves east, then the reverse on the next run. Confidence is quite low for a D3 event.

Agreed. Saw a new euphemism in the morning AFD from GYX. Looking at ensemble low locations there is now evidence of windshield wiping within ensemble families in low clustering near the coast one run and a miss to the east the next run so overall confidence in the impacts from this system remain low.