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Everything posted by tamarack
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Though your overall pack retention isn't quite as good as here, yours begins earlier. Only 7 of 24 T-Days have been white here (29%), with 4 being within continuous cover. Average date for permanent pack works out to exactly 6.5 and median date is 12/5. Range is from Nov 10 in 2018 to Jan 7 in 2011. Last day of continuous pack averages April 6 with median the 5th. Earliest is March 15 in 2016, latest April 23 in 2001. Average length of continuous cover is 117 days, median 120, range from 81 in 15-16 to 163 in 18-19.
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That was the case here. We reached peak during the first few days of October but still had great color a week later. Then the hard freezes of 10/9-12 had leaves rattling thru the branches even in calm air, and the RA/wind of 10/14 brought down nearly all the rest. Now it's stick season with some brown leaves on oak and beech. Overall, it was a fine display, with near normal to slightly early timing.
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3rd Moderna booster last Friday, had the most shoulder soreness but not all that bad. The #2 Shingrix stick - same day - in the opposite shoulder was worse, but still relatively minor.
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Three in a row here, though 19-20 was only 4" shy thanks to having the season's two biggest snowfalls post-equinox plus the May surprise. (It was well forecast, but any May measurable snow is a surprise.)
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Only 24 years here, but Dec has averaged 18.7" with coefficient of variation 63% while March runs 16.4" with CV 78%. March is a bit odd because it's had 5 years with 30" but no others above 19.3". The "more big storms in March" has held true here even though December has had storms of 24" and 21" while the biggest in March is 19.9". That said, March has featured 9 events of 12"+ and December only 4.
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Just as fake as Kev's oak-infused dews. In Maine's St. John Valley the inversion would generally start about 200' above the ground - smoke from the cedar mill's cone burner across the river in Canada would layer at about that level. When I turned toward the north on the way to our office by the river and saw that layer, I'd know that it would be 10-15° colder there than at our back settlement home 450' higher.
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We'll be almost exactly on the average after today's slightly BN temps, and should likely finish in the +1 range, possibly +2 if we get 2 more warm rains instead of one. I don't mind a mild October, as long as it's not followed by an AN November.
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Stations in NW NJ from which I've downloaded data average 40-45", topping out at +/-100" in 1960-61. Unfortunately, nearly all of those sites blinked out a few years after the millennium.
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I think that red oak got its name due to its heartwood color when freshly cut. Most of them, including the ones here, offer auburn brown at best. For reds from oak, the planted pin oaks in Farmington (they're not native to this area) are the best. They color late, when the native hardwoods (except aspen) are sticks.
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Was that 14" event on Jan 14? We were fringed a bit for that one, 8" at my place and only 5.5" in Farmington but 15 in AUG. Radar had a beautiful yellow banana arching from IZG thru LEW and AUG to about Belfast. Started about 9:30 AM in AUG and when I left work at 2 PM (that's another story) there was 10" of fluff in the parking lot, easily parted by my little pickup. Driving between fields in north Augusta was interesting, as the low visibility and flat light made the road and snowbanks look the same - I had to use the black phone cable as a guide, hoping that it wouldn't cross the road. By the time I reached Belgrade, snow rate was just moderate.
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The winter when SWFEs went wild. Like you, one each of 10"/12" plus 8" or less but scads of events, total 142.3". Pack reached 48" on 3/1 and never went below 35" that month, SDDs tops by far in our 24 winters here with only 2018-19 with its early and often November snows even coming within shouting distance.
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Last time we installed was probably in 2013, and with the heat pump in place, we'll never need to do it again.
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The high latitudes are warming fastest, at least in the N. Hemisphere, which does reduce temp gradient. That's probably overcome by the greater energy in warmer oceans/atmosphere. Barely got below 50 this morning as clouds/fog hung tough. Not often will my frost pocket have a morning low about 20° milder than in CT.
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Might be decent, if it doesn't go silly like "Twister". Up here we have little earthquakes, little tornados, little hurricanes and some big snowstorms. That's a nice combo.
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The pessimist is never disappointed (but always miserable).
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Or 150 miles northeast, so we might get something more than clouds and gales.
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Tallest cocorahs report is 2.87" at Pownal, about 15 miles north of PWM. There's pretty good density of recorders in that part of the state, though a small but intense cell from last night's TS show might've snuck between all the stations. Had 1.23" thru 7 AM, with 45 minutes of dog-scaring thunder (none particularly close), from 1:45 to 2:30 AM. At least another 1/2" since with RA- and mid 50s currently. This storm plus 3.37" from last week's has October above 5", though there's still a few more tenths to hit the 5.63" average. Wettest month since July of last year.
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55.5" here that month; only Dec. 1976 (61.5") in Fort Kent have I had a snowier month. Farmington co-op recorded 58.3", their 4th snowiest month in 130 winters - the other 3 were all in Feb. They measured 14" in the early March event while we had 9.5", which was a bit odd. The 2 storms during the month's final 10 days brought 35", with the 19" on 30-31 bringing the pack to 48". Even in our northern Maine winters there was never 4 feet OG at the end of March, and only 1984 was close. The April 1-2 Newfoundland blizzard had been forecast for another 12"+ here the day before it was to hit, but that one got away to the east and the snow season was done. There were dire flood forecasts due to the tall and dense pack, but April turned dry and cool until the 4th week, so all that snow went downriver without even sniffing flood level.
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At the long-term Farmington co-op, cold Octobers are only good news if November is also cold. And while seasons with measurable October snowfall average somewhat AN, the Nov-May totals show essentially no difference. Sprinkles arrived here about 3:30. Might add another inch by late tomorrow night but would still be well short of the October average - it's our wettest month at 5.63" (median 5.32") and we're at 3.46" before precip started this afternoon.
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Even with last week's 3 cloudy day period, this month has had 62% of available sunshine. Top October to date had 56.5%, in 2017. Keep it coming.
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If we'd already had propane/LNG, our 13kw Generac (plus the required electrical work) would've cost closer to $6k when we took the plunge in April 2020, but buying tanks and filling them kicked it over $10k. We're happy to have been able to acquire the setup (at our ages, "camping out at home" was a drag) but in 2.5 years it's run less than half the time of our outage on April 9-10, 2020. And we'd already had a half dozen other blackouts in 19-20 before that storm.
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MP outages got up near 70k, and I'm confident that there were additional folks in the dark northeast from their service area. Event total was 3.37", with more than half (1.82") coming in 6 hours, 11:30 AM to 5:30 PM. Yesterday's 3.30" is 7th highest here for a calendar day, though the total wasn't in the top 20 events. Carrabassett River came up 11 feet though its flow has dropped by half since that peak. Had a pretty wild 15 minutes 2:15-2:30 with RA+ and house-creaking gusts. I would not be surprised to find some newly fallen fir, exposed by nearly bare hardwood neighbors.
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Looks (Stratus is 50 feet away) like almost 2.2". I've dumped 0.87" and from that distance there's maybe 0.3" overflow from a full inner tube. Still some moderate-plus showers but the wind became just a breeze about 2:30.
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Sandy at Mercer up to 194 cfs, at Madrid 2,020.
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Southwesternmost Maine for the win. 0/14/2022 8:40 AM ME-OX-14 Bethel 1.9 SSW 3.22 NA NA NA NA NA NA ME Oxford Active | Static 10/14/2022 8:30 AM ME-OX-34 Andover 3.8 W 2.86 NA NA NA NA NA NA ME Oxford Active | Static 10/14/2022 8:20 AM ME-YK-46 Parsonsfield 3.9 NE 2.61 NA NA NA NA NA NA ME York Active | Static 10/14/2022 8:00 AM ME-YK-57 North Waterboro 1.2 NE 2.52 NA NA NA NA NA NA ME York Active | Static 10/14/2022 7:45 AM ME-YK-65 North Berwick 5.3 W 2.45 0.0 NA NA 0.0 NA NA ME York Active | Static 10/14/2022 7:00 AM ME-YK-25 Parsonsfield 4.2 NE 2.43 NA NA NA NA NA NA ME York Active | Static 10/14/2022 7:00 AM ME-YK-8 South Berwick 4.2 NE 2.35 NA NA NA NA NA NA ME York Active | Static 10/14/2022 8:00 AM ME-YK-75 Buxton 2.8 W 2.35 NA NA NA NA NA NA ME York Active | Static 10/14/2022 7:00 AM ME-YK-68 Berwick 0.5 N 2.28 NA NA NA NA NA NA ME York Active | Static 10/14/2022 7:00 AM ME-YK-3 Hollis Center 5.4 NW 2.17 0.0 NA NA 0.0 NA NA ME York Active | Static 10/14/2022 7:00 AM ME-OX-26 Oxford 5.3 SW 2.15 0.0 0.00 NA 0.0 0.00 NA ME Oxford Active | Static 10/14/2022 8:00 AM ME-YK-63 York 4.7 NNW 2.06 NA NA NA NA NA NA ME York Active | Static 10/14/2022 7:41 AM ME-YK-80 South Berwick 1.3 E 2.05 NA NA NA NA NA NA ME York Active | Static 10/14/2022 8:12 AM ME-OX-29 Sumner 1.1 N 2.02 0.0 0.00 NA 0.0 0.00 NA ME Oxford Active | Static 10/14/2022 7:00 AM ME-YK-18 Wells 3.5 SW 1.96 NA NA NA NA NA NA ME York Active | Static 10/14/2022 7:00 AM ME-YK-67 Cornish 5.6 ESE 1.94 0.0 0.00 NA 0.0 0.00 NA ME York Active | Static 10/14/2022 7:00 AM ME-CM-54 Windham 3.9 NW 1.85 0.0 0.00 NA 0.0 NA NA ME Cumberland Active | Static 10/14/2022 7:10 AM ME-OX-35 Porter 2.6 N 1.81 NA NA NA NA NA NA ME Oxford Active | Static 10/14/2022 8:00 AM ME-OX-2 Hartford 1.4 N 1.81 NA NA NA NA NA NA ME Oxford Active | Static 10/14/2022 7:00 AM ME-YK-5 Kennebunk 1.8 WNW 1.75 NA NA NA NA NA NA ME York Active | Static 10/14/2022 6:00 AM ME-CM-156 Raymond 0.7 ESE 1.70 The Wild River, 9 miles west of Bethel in Gilead, has climbed 8 feet, flow going from 22 cfs to 11,900, though it's nearing peak. It reached 7k about 5 AM, dropped a bit below 5k a few hours later, then the 2nd charge of rain hit. I'd not be surprised to learn that Bethel/Andover topped 5". (Just like on the maps, though probably the extent of the 4-6" color will verify for a much smaller area than was portrayed.)