tamarack
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Everything posted by tamarack
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Super! Your area really got pounded during the day. We had 6.3" by 7 AM and I was pleased with another 3.8" to reach double digits and a 24" pack, but you must've had 9-10" after 7.
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Trace at PQI thru 1 PM, nada CAR/FVE but at least they're cloudy - 2 hours ago they were partly sunny.
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SSTs off the Maine coast at 45F today (50 at Georges Bank), and while I don't have the 100-year data, I'd guess the current temps are ~5° AN. Probably awful for the coast, maybe more snowy qpf farther inland?
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Much better than today for the far north.
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Back up to moderate at about 1 PM, now at 9" but the back edge may leave us below 10 - still an overperformer. Over 20k outages in southern Maine, chiefly York County, with perhaps the worst in Wells. Noon news showed a pic there with a large tree across a road, another with a tiny twig fatttened to at least 1/2" by ice. ZR+wet snow for the loss. Farther north, Versant listed 3 customers (Why me?) w/o power.
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Note that the stake has acquired a slight lean thanks to the 12/23 deluge. Therefore, a pack touching the 2-foot bar is actually only 23.92"
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Advisory upped to warning overnight. Started about 8 PM with a bang - 1.3" by 9, then backed down to moderate, 5.0" more by 7 AM, another 2"+ since then. Near the 2-foot mark at the stake though the high (14:1) ratio means siggy settling.
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Getting close to 2 feet.
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6.3" of 14:1 pow by 7 AM, 2"+ since, currently lgt SN and mid 20s.
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Hoping for a bit of real winter cold - maybe enough to kill off some hemlock wooly adelgids and moose ticks. Minus 3 (currently season's coldest) won't get it done.
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6.6" with 0.55" LE, lots easier to snowblow than the 9:1 dump last month. 16" at the stake and deep blue sky with a few tiny clouds. Spectacular day
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6.6" of 12:1 pow. The final 1.5" was especially fluffy. Brings us to an inch above YTD average.
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Still wondering if we ever get deep winter cold. Least coldest winter temp here was -10 in 2005-06 and 19 of 24 winters has gotten down to at least -20. 2001-02 had its coldest max at 16, 2nd least cold is 12 in 2005-06. So far, our low here is -3 (may challenge that Sunday morning) and coldest max 20.
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Still some tiny flakes in the air but accum is done, 6.5" with ratio of 12.5-to-1. 1st 5" was 11:1 but daytime feathers added 1.5" of 21:1 fluff. 17" at the stake. Edit: Good to see the Maine coast getting into the act. Also saw 6.6" at the Jetport, time of obs not shown.
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We ma be almost done here, as the best echoes are now moving ESE rather than east.
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What stands out to me is that every single day had AN max and AN min - only one low was <5° AN.
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Started here a bit before midnight and had 5" of 11:1 pow by 7 AM, maybe 1.5" since with continuing light SN, safely in the 5-9 forecast. Trees are loaded thanks to little wind (increasing a bit now) but no danger to trees thanks to the good ratio.
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We're in the 8-12 color, too, but P&C adds up to 5-9 and Farmington 90/50/10 percents are 5/8/11. Lots better than yesterday's estimates.
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Here it's just over 10:1 for 98-99 thru 21-22. It was 10.5 going into 18-19 and that winter plus the next 2 have the lowest ratios of any of the 24. 20-21 was the nadir, at 6.5-to-1. The season's biggest storm, 9.5" on Feb 2, was all snow at mid-upper 20s with 1.35" LE for a 7.2:1 ratio. Lousy dendrites or something; places to the south (including NNJ and NYC) had better ratios.
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Not for here, and the NAM map that PF posted shows the good stuff remaining to my south, leaving the Route 2 corridor with advisory snows, maybe 3-4". All snow is good snow, but that amount would be right on the threshold for snowblow/no snoblow. (Unless it's 6:1 paste, which would need to go.)
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Very similar here, with some latitudinal advantage - total was 142.3", tops here since 98-99. Only dd's were 12.5" and 10.7", with 19 other events 3"-9.5".
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This date in 2018, it might've been closer to 18". Had 7-8" on Flying Pond on 1/9, expect to see 9-10 if I get out there tomorrow - fish might be hungry with the falling bar.
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Last 2 seasons totaled 119.6", or 59.8" per year against an average of 89.5" - almost exactly 2/3. According to the snow table, Mt. Tolland had 113.3", or 56.65". I suspect that's more like 90% of average. This year may draw our percents closer, thanks in part to the mid-Dec dump here.
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Same 2/5/9 - not often when we're both progged for the same 3 numbers. Tops is N.Conway with 3/7/10. Pit 2 has 2/6/8, PWM 3/7/8.
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If p-type is the issue, I'm even happier. When it's QPF, it's maybe - latitude is more often good than bad, but jackpots in south or central NH generally translate to 44.7 being too far north. Latest odds from GYX for Farmington are 2/5/9, a bit higher than this morning's 90/50/10% numbers. The spread between 90% and 10% says there's still considerable uncertainty.
