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tamarack

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Everything posted by tamarack

  1. Assuming that "all of us" refers to SNE east of the Berks plus Maine/NH coastal plain. My little 6" pack has 2" or so LE and points in Aroostook have 15-20" OG. If we get enough warmth/rain to take out all of that, we'll have some flood headlines to go along with it. My guess for here is that the torch leaves the yard with a bulletproof 3". Early Grinch isn't a true GRINCH.
  2. Thanks. Didn't want to think I was adding stuff for nothing.
  3. My 7A-7A measurements are for cocorahs, while I've been doing obs at 9P since moving to Fort Kent on 1/1/76 and wish to keep that data as uncorrupted as feasible. For the snow table, I pick the snowiest and/or most impactful date of a multi-day event to add to my record. That retains the depth of entire storms. Last April is illustrative: For my 9P obs on 4/8 I recorded 3.5" with 0.2" falling soon afterwards. Then came 3" in 2 hours the evening of the 9th with another 0.5" coming after 9P. My daily records show 3.5" for the 8th, 3.2" for the 9th, 0.5" for the 10th, while my entries into the snow table show storm #1 at 3.7", labeled as on the 8th, and storm #2's 3.5" called the 9th. May seem more complex than necessary but it works for me. Edit: Just read Kevin's "combining" post (after posting the above, of course.) Since that's how my entries are made, such combining should not be needed.
  4. The bottom half of my 7" is like armorplate - the grandkids stayed on top and sometimes Idid too. The period Nov. 18-24 brought 2.02" precip and 1.6" snow with only one day getting milder than 34 - the 21st with 38 and no precip. Toss in the Thanksgiving event and it's 3.01" precip and 4.1" snow, with almost no melting but some settling. The 2.8" Tuesday is the fluff coat that could quickly vanish in a warm rain, but the stuff beneath is a lot tougher.
  5. That's how I've recorded my "SnowLiquid" spreadsheet for my years in Maine, though I haven't included the smaller events, mainly those 2"+. Full winters have run from a high ratio of 13.62-to-1 for 1981-82 in Fort Kent to the low of 8.33-to-1 last winter.
  6. 06z GFS op shows Augusta with RA and 60° at 00z on the 11th. Blecchh! GFS is infamous for showing cutters (or blizzards) at 10 days out and beyond, and which then disappear, but the mess for 10th-11th has been there for several days now.
  7. Despite my location's ability to build and hold pack, it's currently (and mapped accurately) surrounded 360° by deeper snow, one level more to the south and 2 levels to the north. (Farmington's "square" lies almost exactly centered between the N tip of NH and the head of Penobscot Bay.) We finished with 2.8" from 0.25" LE, ratio 11:1. First all snow event this season other than a 0.1" dusting. Had a smattering of graupel near the end, but that's a snow form IMO.
  8. About 3" at my place, with one more small patch upstream. Two-thirds came noon-3 PM. Interesting trip to Augusta during those hours - light snow as we set out, to moderate within 5 miles, then S++ coming out of Belgrade Village with visibility about 100 yards, could never see 2 utility poles at the same time. That lasted to Christy's Irving, another 5 miles or so, with 6" snow piles in the not-recently-plowed road to add some challenge. Back to light snow in Augusta, then very light for the trip home.
  9. Apologies for meanness, but I hope not, at least until noon or later. Family heading home to SNJ should get to LEW about 11:20 or so, were entering I-95 in Augusta at 10:40 and I advised them to stay on that road rather than take the usual 295 thru PWM. In between bands atm, not quite to our 1st inch. Grandkids enjoyed the feathers we saw around 9.
  10. 0.1" at 7 AM with no flakes in sight, though light snow resumed about 7:30.
  11. Family/grandkids had scheduled their trip back to SNJ for tomorrow in a large (there are 9 of them in total) 2WD van. Journey starts at the flakeless-to-date foothills, thru Augusta then 95-495 (probably skip ORH)-Pike-84. They're wondering if they ought to wait a day. Once they clear the hill here in New Sharon, where the 2" of fluff (my guess for their getaway time) shouldn't be much of an issue, the non-290 route has essentially no real hills until DIT country.
  12. lol. Would not be pleased to see Hiram with 30" while I'm in that 1-2" snow hole NW from Augusta.
  13. Fallen firs got cut out of the trail segment on our woodlot last Saturday, and there's a couple tracks made since Thursday morning. Given the rocks and wet holes, hope it was their old sled.
  14. Climo asserted itself last year (Farmington averages 90", LEW closer to 70") but previous years with KevinMA's table have seen your snowfall essentially the same as mine - 0.4" difference. Might be returning to the patterns before 18-19?
  15. And if mets need the sample sizes required of medical testing, we're about 10,000 years or so from having anything useful. Yes. I keep saying it, in El Ninos, we're strongly negatively correlated. If I get to my seasonal total in an El Nino, it's very rare for the Boston to DC corridor to all hit theirs. Haven't looked at DC-BOS, but in my neighborhood the data shows that weak ENSO is generally good for snow while mod-strong Nino and strong Nina are bad.
  16. GYX not too enthusiastic, except maybe for the far south/SE parts of its CWA. Even the 10% chance at Farmington is only 3" and the "most likely" is <1". 06z GFS op is a whiff Augusta and points N and W. Still lots of time for jigs and jogs. Stake showing 4" and it's high LE and solid, so we're not whining too much here. Especially since this last event was showing up as a 50° torch-deluge on models several days earlier.
  17. Storm total 2.5" from 0.53" LE (some of the 0.58" noted in previous post was rain-soak) with trees looking quite nice until the wind picked up. Only 0.02" came from the 0.4" of light snow falling 7-11 AM. At the first good snow-dislodging gust it sounded like a herd of giant squirrels were pitter-pattering on our roof, as the snow was a bit crusted so the stuff hit the roof in chunks.
  18. After losing several indoor-outdoor cats to the local predators (coyote/fisher), ours now are inside only. Of course, our bit of lawn is surrounded by hundreds of acres of forest full of small rodents, so we could never place enough TP-roll permethrin baits to have much effect. My lawn mower would just laugh at those 2" TP cores. If your lawn is grass-to-grass with your neighbors, the mouse-nest "trap" tactic is out of play. If there's forest edge, a yard or two inside would be the place for those TP rolls to be placed.
  19. Last year I read about a way to control ticks in a yard without spray. It involves adding permethrin to cotton (or dryer lint -cheaper and just as effective) and cramming the stuff into cardboard rolls - TP centers work fine, paper towel cores should be cut in 2-3 pieces. The devices are then placed at about 10-foot intervals around the lawn/yard, preferably sheltered by a piece of bark/wood, etc. so the rain doesn't ruin them. Mice and voles love that stuff and carry it back to build their nests, where the permethrin cleans the little rodents of all ticks. (Of course, if your yard covers an acre, you'd need about 100 of the things.)
  20. 2" overnight after a slushy tenth before 9 PM, with 0.25" total precip by then. Haven't melted the rain/snow bucket but the 2" on the board held 0.58". Trees nicely frosted for the grandkids from SNJ. Still some light snow, probably will continue most of he morning, might pick up another tenth or two. Several reports of thunder in the area, but not here so November remains my only month here without it. Sw a report from GYX of 8" in Carrabassett Valley.
  21. Frosty mid 20s this morning, 2" of armor plate merely softened yesterday and got harder than ever overnight.
  22. Looks very similar to the map we saw Saturday evening. Busted high for most of the foothills and points S & E, but that map had 6"+ for N. Maine, which verified. Trend has been favorable, as last week was offering a torch-deluge, but I'm still underwhelmed by our prospects from this one.
  23. Except when real cold arrives, liquids and produce might want to come inside quickly lest they suffer hypothermia.
  24. Maybe in NNNE Had 1.36" precip and 1.5" of stuff. Light snow 10-noon dropped 1/2" but changed to IP/ZR/RA continuing thru 6 P. An hour of fatties brought another inch, followed by moderate rain thru 9 PM, 1.28" total by then, another 0.08" after. The 6-7 snowburst dropped about 1.5" in Farmington, and the road into town from church was freshly plowed outbound but full of shush heading to town center. With traffic oncoming I had little choice but to challenge the slop, and even at under 15 mph I lost steering for a bit due to "slushoplaning", though the front tires regained contact with something solid before trouble occurred The 7 days 18-24 includedd 5 with max of 33 (including yesterday) and one 34. Those 6 days featured 2.02" precip and 1.6" snowfall. Hope that's just a preseason thing and not an augury for the rest of the snow season. On the positive side, yesterday's mess brought November's total to nearly an inch above my average.
  25. BGR to Milo- nice little 12+ nugget. Lock it in.
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