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tamarack

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Everything posted by tamarack

  1. "Dud" is too kind by far. Cold w/o snow is a plus in December - good for frozen ground timber harvests and making safe ice. Cold w/o snow in March is a big negative, and match that with historic lack of snow and it's the worst March I've had anywhere, with only 2010 within shouting distance. October snow curse strikes again for New England Zero OCT snow here (and at the long-term co-op in Farmington it's been a neutral - 32 Octobers with 1" = 1" AN for season total but 1" BN for NOV-on.)
  2. 12z GFS says nothing thru 4/4. Couple of RA events late net week so at least something might happen.
  3. Agreed on all counts. And while this month is running slightly BN for temps (though soon to be AN), it's going to be the sunniest March by far of my 23 here. For 1999-2020 March has averaged 8.6 sunny days. Today is #12 this month and the most so far (14 in 2015) should be passed early next week. Hope this doesn't presage a pattern switch to cold mank for April-May.
  4. SR is rarely bashful about firing up the guns in the early season. Their relatively low base elevation (for a major NNE ski area) sometimes limits natural snow in bad seasons.
  5. That last is surprising, given how much snow that April brought, even at low elevations. The storms of 4-5, 12-13 and 16-18 racked up 32-35" total at my place and the 2 nearest co-ops, though the last one also had a pile of cold rain. (And an estimated 4-5 feet at Sugarloaf summit where it was all snow.)
  6. Agreed. I give twice weight for my snow/pack grade than for temps. And after choosing grades and looking at the results, there's usually some subjective tweaking - big snowstorm, up. Grinch storm, down. Unless we get some serious white surprise, this season is in D-level at best. If March finishes with the current 0.1" snow, I'm not sure if "F" fully describes it - maybe an "R". At present, total snowfall is 22nd of 23, between 15-16 and 05-06.
  7. My only duckpin experience (one laughable frame) was when I worked at Curtiss-Wright's NNJ resort, which had an outdoor alley. First ball hit square on the head pin, taking it and #5. 2nd was a bit left and cleaned out 2 and 8. 3rd ball was centered on the path cleared by the first 2.
  8. Just far enough to rain out my plans to look at the recent timber harvest at Dodge Point (midcoast), while continuing the snowless March.
  9. Maybe the same reason many folks hate TB12.
  10. 2/16 here. The 6-10 forecast dropped to 5-8 just before precip began, and it verified as 2" of sleet. Only 4 warned events so far, only 15-16 had fewer in 23 winters. Looked like a good start with 12-18 forecast on 12/5 but we got 6" of ultra-paste from 1.38" LE. Jan 2 had 6-9" forecast and verified right at 6.0, then Feb 2 had 9.5" after a 8-14 forecast. If one adds the low and high ranges, it comes to 31-49" from the 4 storms and verified with 23.5. Sad.
  11. So far this snow season I've yet to be fooled by the north cutoff - disappointed, frustrated. But it's been the story since snows began. And anything less than 12" in SNE would likely be torched off driveways by Saturday noon.
  12. Not that bad for NNE while CT/MA/RI all recorded their driest year in 1965. Also DE/NJ/PA. NY only missed because the record was set in its western counties where climate is significantly drier. NYC in 1965 had 6"+ less precip than the 2nd driest, which came the year before. I can't say how bad the municipal water supplies were in SNE, but Gotham's reservoirs were down to about 3 weeks' supply when the 9/21/66 downpour effectively ended the drought (though that termination only became apparent in the succeeding months.) Met summer 1966 remains NYC's driest, and also hottest until eclipsed by 2010.
  13. It's happened here in 2001, 08, 12 and 17, all but 2012 in April. 4/24/01 needed to reach 80 to wipe out the final 4" of pack that spring.
  14. Only if 1963 thru August 1966 gets wiped off the records.
  15. Couple months back I read that #1 gave 40% immunity and near 100% protection against severe cases. Must be a lot more data now.
  16. 2010. But nobody got much that month after a bit on the 1st, leftover from the late Feb thing. Would be a fitting end to calendar winter if SNE got advisory-plus snows while we enjoyed partly cloudy. One good thing about a dry spring this year - would be 2 in a row and might knock back the needlecast fungi on white pine enough for the damaged trees to recover. Unfortunately I don't think it will hurt the ticks at all, maybe the opposite as dry conditions can make for high reproduction of small rodents. Hit -1 this morning, last subzero of the season, probably last sub-10 as well. Already into the 20s now.
  17. Jus the facts, Ma'm. We have a box full of ~50-year-old vinyl somewhere downstairs, but the closest we got to the artists noted above was Carpenters and Mama Cass.
  18. Our 15.5" fell at temps upper teens to low 20s, dendrites were decent-looking considering the wind, yet the ratio was only 7.3 to one - 2.12" LE, with not a trace of anything but snow. Had 14.0" with 1.90" LE at my 9 PM dog-traumatizing obs time and 1.5" with 0.22" LE after, with accum ending before midnight. Wind pack? Certainly had some deep and solid drifts.
  19. I don't recall a blizzard warning for my area, but we had 5 hours of prime blizzard criteria 4-9 PM - gusts 40+, 1/8 vis in S+, 10" in those 5 hours. And it terrorized our rescue Lab from TX that had arrived here on Feb. 4. None of the 5 storms/45" in her 1st 2 weeks here bothered her much, but I had to drag her off the porch that evening for her to do her business. That event was the 4th and most recent storm to fit the criteria in 23 winters here. (12/6-7/2003, 12/21-22/2008, 1/27-28/2015 the others, though I missed that last one.)
  20. And you can look at MWN where the WCI was -68 last hour.
  21. 1° at 7 this AM, probably the low. Sitting at 0.1" for the month and that may be my final answer. If so, it will be the lowest March snowfall at my home since 1954 (zero) in NNJ. Not a record I wish to set. And dry windy cold on the Ides of March is bad in so many ways.
  22. Especially if the wind quits - gusts tend to limit sap flow somewhat. Yesterday morning watched a gray squirrel lapping up sap from a small maple after nibbling holes in the thin bark.
  23. One flurry about 1 PM, might have dropped vis below a mile, didn't stick even for a moment. Since 1/28/2010 we've not had a squall here that dropped more than 1/4". Not sure if it's topography or what, and wonder if our no-hail shield is due to the same things. Lower singles this AM with gusts in the 20s. Dry windy cold in mid-March with no snow in the 16-day; awful.
  24. One flurry here that didn't whiten anything. Radar looks better than here in every direction except upwind. This area is great at eluding squalls, summer and winter. In more good news, the big western storm dies before getting here, the late week storm is OTS and the 12z GFS offers a whopping 0.05" QPF thru 3/28. Maybe we can set a near lifetime minimum for March snowfall - NNJ had none in 1946 and1954 and here we had only 0.6" in 2010 - and we're at 0.1" so far. That run also has some brutal cold out at day 14-15, which usually means nothing but since that would be the worst possible solution, maybe it has a chance? On the good side - despite today's windy clouds, March has been unusually sunny.
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