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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Baroclinic Zone
    Yep.
  2. Baroclinic Zone
    Such a broad circulation though. Yuge bust potential
  3. Baroclinic Zone
    2-3”
  4. Baroclinic Zone
  5. Baroclinic Zone
    Lol
  6. Baroclinic Zone
    Looks Pretty close to 18z Euro looking at dumb snow graphics.
  7. Baroclinic Zone
    CT gets some snow out the v16 GFS. Just inland from the coast.
  8. Baroclinic Zone
    It’s garbage. Barely dropping 1/10” over SNE.
  9. Baroclinic Zone
    ICON did back in the main CCB from 18z run, but not to the level the Euro has it. Non “event” for SNE
  10. Baroclinic Zone
    My gut is leaning against Euro over eastern areas. Think it’s overplaying it’s hand, interior SNE looks good for advisory snows.
  11. Baroclinic Zone
    We’re not talking major differences in the ULL layout by much either. That lead vorticity needs to curl up closer to the coast IMO
  12. Baroclinic Zone
    It’s as if there is a huge subsidence zone created from this broad ULL and that lead vorticity then the ULL tightens up and tries to draw/snap back in the baroclinic zone. Not a huge confidence forecast for sure. I’d be leery of any ensemble mean right now that will smooth over this.
  13. Baroclinic Zone
    It’s like the Mesos are chasing that lead vorticity offshore
  14. Baroclinic Zone
    Indeed it does.
  15. Baroclinic Zone
    3-6” here vs a foot or more in Maine?
  16. Baroclinic Zone
    Wrong.
  17. Baroclinic Zone
    This storm is a PITA. Modeling has been horrendous, but I guess that’s to be expected with the developing block. I’d still lean on the Euro as it’s still historically been a lock for storms this close in but the meso models like the NAM and RGEM do make you question it.
  18. Baroclinic Zone
    Maine jack
  19. Baroclinic Zone
    Suns out, guns out. 48F. Beautiful day for January 2nd.
  20. Baroclinic Zone
    Potent vorticity on the RGEM.
  21. Baroclinic Zone
    That’s what I’m saying. I still think your area up into coastal NH could get clipped by CCB. The WCB is a lock IMO for N and W of PVD/BOS line.
  22. Baroclinic Zone
    If weenies want the glean a positive out of that is the elongation of the ULL may be able to pinch on S of LI and slow the storm enough to back the flow
  23. Baroclinic Zone
    Nope
  24. Baroclinic Zone
    12z NAM shifted S.
  25. Baroclinic Zone
    V16 is a viable solution too.
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