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Baroclinic Zone

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Everything posted by Baroclinic Zone

  1. Baroclinic Zone
    That's what it looks like for now. But my skepticism of the pattern actually flipping for us are low.
  2. Baroclinic Zone
    Wut? Long range modeling showing pattern changes to a wintrier pattern have fallen flat every time they've shown up. It's the winter of modeling showing a pattern change perpetually in the 10-14 day range.
  3. Baroclinic Zone
    How’s the long range worked over the last 6 weeks?
  4. Baroclinic Zone
    Aren’t we on or around the date DIT said the pattern change was?
  5. Baroclinic Zone
    Given antecedent airmass and tenor of the season over the last 6 weeks, this has felt like a C/NNE threat to me. This is not to say western and higher terrain of SNE can’t score some love but nothing noteworthy to me.
  6. Baroclinic Zone
    Summer EF-3
  7. Baroclinic Zone
    Would be a nice front end thumper if the antecedent was there.
  8. Baroclinic Zone
    For hinterlands is a nice solution.
  9. Baroclinic Zone
    Dryslot approved solution.
  10. Baroclinic Zone
    It really is. Nice rounded ULL hits that confluence and gets squeezed
  11. Baroclinic Zone
    It isn't. ULL rides west of us and we are flooded with warmth.
  12. Baroclinic Zone
    high to the north is a bit further south so we get the squeeze play.
  13. Baroclinic Zone
    I like the early ULL look.
  14. Baroclinic Zone
    We'd be talking prolific totals for just about everyone if we had some semblance of an Arctic air mass. As it current;y stands, we are lying all the dynamics of the storm to draw in the cold air aloft down to the surface.
  15. Baroclinic Zone
  16. Baroclinic Zone
    I'll defer to the masses but given how strong a storm signal this upcoming one is, I'd be fine with a separate thread at this point, even though we are 4-5 days out.
  17. Baroclinic Zone
    Doesn't appear as though people will be able to pond skate around these parts this year.
  18. Baroclinic Zone
    It's why we have/use Ensembles. With the increased resolutions, you need to have the different permutations to smooth out a mean.
  19. Baroclinic Zone
    Few inches of rain? We'll see, but the Euro was only about 1" of rain.
  20. Baroclinic Zone
    Still puling out hope that we can score a few inches down this way.
  21. Baroclinic Zone
    9F has been my low on season back on December 8th. Am at that now. Also one day of 10F as well. Pretty meh on the cold for a radiator.
  22. Baroclinic Zone
  23. Baroclinic Zone
  24. Baroclinic Zone
    No can do.
  25. Baroclinic Zone
    Seriously, looks like Spring cutoff season.
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