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Everything posted by Jebman
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The winds have been very bad. NWS got that right. Palisades is shut down because of winds. I doubt Tahoe got much more total snow than 10 to 15 inches. Mammoth got one inch overnight. Mammoth is running their lifts, probably because the winds there may not be as severe. The snowfall sure is no problem lmfao. Six to ten feet my @ss. This storm has got damaging winds but it is turning out to be a hell of a lot drier than what that gfs was printing out. Palisades will get 2 to 3 feet by Tuesday. Mammoth might eke out 8 inches by the end of next week. I am just sick with disappointment. I craved a total snow disaster replete with cottonwood canyon style avalanches and huge drifts and people stuck on roads in ten feet of snow. But alas Lucy pulled the football and left me on my ass crying with disappointment. Base state for the Loss. Wow 145 mph gusts. Category 5 hurricane force winds! No wonder Tahoe shut down the entire resort. You would have to have a death wish to be out roaming around in that maelstrom. Not sure even a snowcat would be a good idea. I think there are now about 4 inches of snow on the wooly lot at Mammoth. Snow there is steady. As of 230pm central time, woolly lot camera is showing considerable snow rates with a few rather large aggregates. Snow on the lot looks to possibly be ~ 6 inches deep.
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Not really sure why visibilities are getting so low on woolly camera at Mammoth. Winds are increasing a lot. That wind is beginning to take on a kind of milkshake froth appearance. Not really understanding what I am seeing here. Okay there is some increase in areal coverage of snow on the woolly lot. It is blowing around a lot more than it did at 3am my time. Winds are gusting to damaging speeds. If snow is actually accumulating, it will be extremely difficult to measure because of 90 mph gusts. I am not hugging the gfs. This snow is probably only a brief shower or two. This storm is a day late and one hell of a dollar short! We shall see but I am not fooled by the goofus's siren song of 10 to 12 feet. That is pure nonsense. Maybe a foot for Mammoth over the next 10 days including the next storm later next week. I threw that useless gfs out! It's an outlier.
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Tahoe is getting some steady snow. Mammoth is getting a few flurries. NWS will end up trimming the amounts down some. It is doing some snowing but overall this storm is much much much drier than models have been predicting. That Goofus model is extremely high on snow crack. This storm does not have eleven inches of water. Maybe three or four. NWS has been hugging the GFS like a damned overexcited snow weenie. No, NWS has been outright making passionate love to the GFS! Tahoe might get 6 inches overnight. Mammoth will have a few passing flurries. Damaging hurricane wind gusts are the big story with this storm. Snow amounts, naso much. Actually, hardly any snow at all. Tahoe might eke out 24 inches by next Thursday. Mammoth might get a few inches, barely plowable. I wanted that heavy snow so bad, especially in Mammoth. But the base state won again. Even the Sierra have to abide by it. This Pacific storm is drier than a Texan martini in a successful Bar Rescue nightclub. Damn the base state, and damn Lucy to hell. Poor Mammoth. No snow at all. All that hyping by the media and NWS came to nothing. I would not be surprised if it was sunny and 49 degrees and a spectacular bluebird day tomorrow in Mammoth. I feel sorry for katabatic. He is in Donner Pass amid clouds and crazy high damaging winds and in all likelihood, occasional flurries and not much else. If you listened to the crazy weather reports 72 hours ago and stocked up, you must feel foolish as fook now! This so called total FARCE of a storm has spectacularly fizzled right out. This is now a laughable case of March 2001 for the California Ski Resorts. Meteorologists can write up some papers on the mysterious dried up Pacific West Coast Blizzard of Feb 29-Mar 5 2024, once they get done wiping EGG off of their faces. NWS. You forecast 36 inches in Tahoe for Feb 29. You stated it would start at 10am local time. It did not start until late afternoon! They were fortunate to get maybe 5 inches! Can I have some of that prime hashish you are smoking? RENO NWS is insisting amounts have increased. They insist 10 feet by Sunday Mammoth Mountain. NWS, get off of the damn goofus model! Throw it out! All we have are flurries at Mammoth! The winds are very strong, you got that very correct. Back slowly away from the GFS! It is flat out WRONG!
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This storm may be a fail. Snow is light and sporadic. I think the base state DOES apply to the Sierra after all. The initial push of moisture proved to be very light. NWS will probably need to trend forecasts down by a couple of feet. However, 4 to 6 feet of new snow is still a serious, if not outright biblical magnitude blizzard for the Sierra. Mammoth may end up skating with a lot less snow. It's blowing hard but has been very light all day. I would say 3 feet for Mammoth and 3 to 5 feet for Tahoe. This thing is wimping out at the last minute. Damn. I craved a monumental biblical snowstorm. These things are getting rarer and rarer. Ha ha that ten feet for Mammoth is in trouble lol, they got one inch today uh oh. 2 hours later....... Very light snow at both Palisades and Mammoth. Very breezy. So far this storm has far more bark than bite lol. NWS, your apocalyptic forecasts for the Sierra ski resorts are ALL in dire peril. NWS, quit smokin all that GFS hashish! Would you believe this shoosh? They sent the HURRICANE HUNTERS into the pacific storm! LMFAO x 999 decillion! This storm does not have 11 inches of water. It will NOT dump twelve feet of snow. It is more likely to snow 5 feet in Tahoe and 2-3 feet in Mammoth. Cameras at both resorts show very light snow being blasted by very strong winds. NWS needs to quit the beer bong, right now. The GFS is WRONG. The storm is trending DRIER, not wetter and not colder. The trend, is NOT your friend, Sierra! You might end up dry as a Texan martini on Bar Rescue! LUCY has her eyes on your storm, Sierra lmfao! Damn. I am bitterly disappointed. The snow is so damned LIGHT. I am ready to jump right off the Ledge. Reaper, please reap me again in some offhand way. I am officially giving up on the Sierra Winter. The Base State has won, and WON BIG. I WAS BALLS WRONG. THE SIERRA DOES, AND WILL, LET YOU DOWN. I had my heart all set on watching torrential snows blow across the parking lot on the Woolly Cam at Mammoth. I craved to watch the PLOW bounce right off too much snow on the Woolly Lot. Lucy is a very mean lady. She pulled that blizzard right out from under us! Lucy pulled the rug so hard I smashed my head real hard on a snowless granite ground and got a life-threatening concussion! I am so damn depressed and inconsolable! Mammoth has near zero visibility in blowing CLOUDS of water vapor and extremely light pixie snow! NOTHING on the lot! Wow what a monumental BUST, for all-time! To give you an idea of why I am so disappointed: They were calling for 36 inches TODAY! What a fooking BUST! They were lucky to get an INCH! An INCH all day! That's like the Allegheny Front this winter! Tahoe has light snow. Mammoth has about 24 flurries. Aggregates are having a TOUGH time forming in that FAIL of a so-called "blizzard". Main Lodge camera shows extremely thick FOG, with NO additional snow accums on the black roof on on the deck. This smells like a BIG FAIL. It's EPIC tonight! You'd have a better chance of seeing snow in Falls Church Virginia, than in this rug pull of a storm. Wow Main Lodge has a few flurries! Wow, better rename this place Washington, DC! lmao. Okay, to be fair, Palisades Base at 6200 feet has moderate snow. Maybe they can salvage this massive debacle. They already LOST three feet of snow they never got today. Maybe they will get 48 inches by next Wednesday. Maybe.
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I watch EVERYTHING star trek! The Next Generation, Voyager, Deep Space 9, all of them!
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Its ON! Tahoe is snowing an blowin! It's a mayjah wintah stahm, with a lot of blowing snow! Slow moving, loaded for fucking BEAR with several decillion metric tons of Pacific moisture! Many places will receive in excess of ten feet of fresh snow! Katabatic is up at Donner right now in an airbnb! He could see 10 feet!
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You are at Donner? Wow man enjoy the snow! Enjoy that 8 to 10 feet, take long leisurely jebwalks and dig massive amounts of snow! I will tell ya what that place will look like post storm. You will be forced to dig like a BADGER just to get out of that building. You are about to be DEMOLISHED by snow SO BAD! Hope you are stocked up! Don't end up like the Andes survivors in 1972 lmfao!
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ARE YOU KIDDING ME?????????? 91 inches of snow in a single frackin' DAY! I am jealous as all hell!
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That's at least 12 feet of snow. I am jealous!
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Wow! Just heard that Palisades Tahoe is now expecting five to TEN FEET of fresh snow above 5000 feet! Rates will be 4 inches per hour for possibly 4 days! Local lollies of 12 PLUS feet on the highest peaks!!!!! EXPECT wind holds on the ski lifts, as winds gust near 100 mph at times! Snow loading will develop and avvy dangers will become devastating. https://www.palisadestahoe.com/mountain-information/webcams#tab=alpine Ski Patrol will get PUNKED OUT badly. They will be utterly destroyed because of avvy mitigation and from mandatory snow removal. This storm will NOT spare!
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You should see those dark clouds moving over Palisades! Wow they are gonna get utterly destroyed!!!! Dark clouds are also thickening over Mammoth. This storm means bidness!!
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George BM - I see you readin the thread. March 1 is nearly upon us. Write us up a nice storm in the new thread. Please.
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Better look out. EIGHT feet of fresh snow will annihilate both Mammoth and Palisades starting tomorrow. Two to three feet each day easy. Massive atmospheric river will firehose that entire region with torrential snow. Weather system will be vigorous and laden with moisture and extremely slow moving. This is a recipe for record-breaking snow tallies and utterly exhausted ski patrols. This is also a surefire recipe for folks to make fatal mistakes. I just found out NWS Reno is classifying this as an Extreme threat. Winds at crest will gust to 125mph. My heart is brimming with pure joy!!! Snow will be wet, very heavy and heart attack provoking to the max. Touristas will struggle. Ski patrol will get severely PUNKED OUT. I will watch and absolutely savor. I am a very sick pup, no doubt about it.
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I am absolutely stoked. This is going to be one fun chasing season for the Ages. We are going to get treated to some ferocious THRILLING tropical systems! Just think of the papers that will be written about these weather systems! We got us a developing La Nina! What does this mean, you ask? Well La Ninas PROMOTE hurricane development. If you are a chaser, you better strap yourselves in. This is gonna be one hell of a hurricane season! One thing we better be askin ourselves: Was the 2005 hurricane season a La Nina? Was the 2020 tropical season a La Nina? Because if it was......... uh oh.
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BEE YOO TI FUL WEATHER today here, with 81/66!!! Wow our low was what our high temperature should be! We are in good shape! No ice this season, and we are safely nice and warm! Leaves are comin out! Grass is growing like late May already! Our fig tree has tons of leaves already! Hey, it's only February! I am absolutely LOVIN that brand shiny new fiery base state! It's been damn good for us! Bring on the Hadley Cells too! And the MJO! What we have got here, is a failure to have winter! This is the way we want it! Well, WE GET IT! We are averaging 15 to 20 degrees ABOVE normal as the Nina develops!
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Imma have to go on up in there and show those ski patrol types how to dig snow. They cant handle eight feet of heavy wet snow. Only The Jebman can.
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Speakin of Tahoe and Mammoth, they are getting 5 to 7 FEET of fresh snow Thursday thru at least Saturday! Repeat this after me: You Can NEVER, EVER get too much snow at Tahoe. We are snow enthusiasts. I want 35,000 feet of snow. I want an ice age. I want fifty feet of snow in a single delightful snowstorm with 100 mile an hour winds at 100 below zero. That is verbatim what I used to say in high school circa 1980. Thats one of the reasons I got kicked out the school system: Too fvckin CRAZY. School system threw a kegger once they threw me out and my dad cried. He was so damned embarrassed. I just would NOT shut the hell up about how much I loved the snow, absolfuckinglutely adored people slipping on the ice, loved 2000 mile backups on I 95 and total humanitarian crises! I just get crazier and crazier about extreme weather, be it meters and meters of snow in record cold and ice so deep people can't even get out of their houses! Or super hurricanes with 260mph sustained winds and storm surges that will cover the 6th floor of buildings with horrific waves that I then get to savor on youtube because of courageous storm chasers. THERE IS NEVER TOO MUCH SNOW. EVEN IN THE DONNER PARTY. EVEN IN THE ANDES IN 1972 WHEN YOUR PLANE CRASHES. EVEN DESCENDING FROM THE EVEREST SUMMIT IN MAY 1996 IN BLINDING SNOW, -85 WINDCHILLS, INSUFFICIENT OXYGEN, SHERPAS ARE EXHAUSTED, WITH PROFESSIONAL CLIMBERS TUMBLING OFF THE HILLARY STEP ONTO SHARP ROCKS THOUSANDS OF FEET BELOW. Even if we were getting an ice age tomorrow. Even if it killed 8 billion people. There can never be too much snow. For those who think there can be too much snow, the shiny new fiery base state will take good care of you. Because Global Warming is real. Runaway greenhouse warming is real - and already underway. We hit 81/68 today in Texas. Its February. Leaves are coming out. The lawn is already 18 inches tall in places and I have to use a push mower. I am still crazy Ivan about snow and nearly 60 years old. I wub Alta, because they have this thing called Interlodge. I worship it. Long live the heavy snow at Tahoe. May there always be way too much snow at Tahoe, and ski patrol falls over from too damn much avalanche mitigation. Maybe the ski patrol gets avalanched, because of excessive amounts of snow lmfao! May five hundred record atmospheric rivers obliterate the Sierra with so much snow, they cant even find the ski resorts! May there always be extremely heavy wet snow at Tahoe, dozens of feet of it, and the ski patrol gets to get totally punked out because they have to dig their ski patrol shacks out of so much extremely heavy wet snow, that falls on them again and again and again and again! And the TOURISTA gets to struggle in the heavy wet Sierra Cement, and I get to savor it on YouTube on my beloved 5G tablet! Yeah. I'm a very very extremely sick puppy. YouTube publishers get rich from sickos like myself watching those vids many thousands of times. Isn't this an incredible world? 5G is out and I can watch this stuff EVERYWHERE NOW!!!!!!!!!!! Especially Mammoth getting obliterated by possibly seven or eight feet of snow this weekend!
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The shiny new hot base state has brought south Texas some upper 60s dewpoints today, along with 80 degree ambient temps and some fleecy cirrus! I have to move branches today. I am gonna get a real good introduction to the early inception of full-on Spring to our part of the CONUS. We also already have 5 to 10 percent leafout. This is all quite early for us, even down here.
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If we can hit 60s dewpoints in Feb, maybe we can have 80s dewpoints in July or even earlier! Imagine the heat index!!!!!!! This brand shiny new Base State is so intriguing! Between the base state and the superheated oceans, we should have incredible severe weather and unbelievable hurricanes! We just might have to have EF 6 designated tornadoes and Category 6 designated hurricanes! I ADORE rising water levels SO MUCH! I am so in pure worshipful LOVE with this!
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I hope you get to enjoy ten feet of freshies!!!!!
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It's 81/61!!! We are enjoying low 60s dewpoints alongside brilliant Texas sunshine! Hey, we are waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay ahead of the curve! It's only February! Normal highs/lows are 65/45! We are batting 100,000 up in here! The southeasterlies are getting established!!!!!! Every day I give tearful, heartfelt thanks for the fiery Venusian base state! Hurricane season is gonna be a BLAST! The oceans are gonna be very hot and we will get to enjoy some super wild weather!
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Hope your knee heals up fast.
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What Went Wrong in Winter 23-24/Base State/Will It Ever Snow Again??
Jebman replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Damn that new base state and the hadley cells. If you enjoy summer you are in luck, we are also going into a Nina. Should be super hot with lots of severe hurricanes. -
Change the title to I've fuckin' HAD IT! I GIVE UP! Its NEVER gonna snow again!
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I'm frackin' jealous! You got me beat today. All we got was 80.