dmcginvt

2001 makes more sense!! Hahah, I remember people further south being pissed

Yes it is funny busting on 40/70 and his feelings this winter, but Methuen gets snow, I feel his pain,

March 4-6 2003 was the best example. I saw 32 in Methuen. Vday 2007, 38. We only got 24 for 1993 superstorm in Stowe. But it came in 12 hours. That 32 in Methuen was the most I had ever seen in a single storm until vday 2007. But I had multiple 18-28 during the 3 years in methuen, north and weest of 495 was in the ****ing zone. Vinateri kicking in 2001, so much snow that year,

I submitted them to him, I lived on the west side, Sugar Pine Ln and the east side, 171 East st, and we had so many huge storms in the 3 yrs I lived there from 2000-2003. I knew him from ne.weather and always sent him pics and measurements. Methuen is a magical spot. I was in Stowe before and after that and only 1993 and vday 2007 really compare to some of the snow I saw in methuen for single snowfall totals.

man what happened to Don sutherland? HE had the best archive. And he had my great pics from Methuen snow in the early days of the new millennium 2001-2003

And us NNE;s don't care because we just nickel and dime our way to way more snow in the long run, seems like the trend is se new endgland nirvana, but I'm hoping for one of those 2-4, 3-6, 4-8 then suddenly its 10-20 all within 24 hours with the euro being right and the gfs coming home, it happens, well more with 90's models but i can ignore that.

Ah Methuen. I loved everyone I met when I lived there. Everyone that lives in Methuen grew up in Lawrence. But moved to the suburbs of Lawrence when it got bad. It's a funny thing being north and west of 495, it gets dumped on. I live in Waterbury VT, I spent most of my adult life in Stowe, VT. But in the 3 years I lived in Methuen I saw synoptic snow like no other. I got so much snow when I lived there from 2000-2003. Let me count the storms. I dont need to, they speak for themselves. I'm sure 40/70 knows of them. You can find pics I took on don sutherlands site. Having lived in the nickel and dime of VT I was totally unprepared by the size of snowfalls that could happen in Methuen. I saw multiple 2 to 3 foot storms in those years. I'm sorry 40/70, your time will come again, it's inevitable. I've followed this whole gang since ne.weather

is this coming our way? Or just getting eaten up by dry air

This afd became: 000 FXUS61 KBTV 140247 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 947 PM EST Thu Jan 13 2022 .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 259 PM EST Thursday...High pressure exists over the area on Sunday for a continuation of dry weather, but below normal temperatures. However, highs will not be as cold as Friday and Saturday. Attention turns to the low pressure system that will be deepening and moving into the Northeast late Sunday night and especially on Monday. At this time...it looks like widespread precipitation is expected with this system and thermal profiles suggest the majority of the precipitation to be in the form of snow with several inches possible. However, cannot rule out the possibility of some mixed precipitation, especially over southern and eastern Vermont depending on the low track, which still has some variability at this time. Will also need to monitor the potential for heavy snow as warm air advection, frontogenetic forcing, and upslope signals exist with this system. Another item to be monitoring with this system is the wind. Strong upslope signal exists over southern Vermont early Monday morning for a burst of steadier snow, but downsloping taking place along the west slopes of the Green Mountains, which could limit precipitation at the onset. The strongest downsloping would then be more concentrated over northeast Vermont Monday afternoon. As the system moves northeast of the area northwest flow aloft develops on the backside and upslope snow will be possible over the higher terrain. Looks like a brief break in the precipitation on Tuesday before a low pressure system quickly moves in for Wednesday and brings some light snow to the area.

Sorry, this was one of the most verbose AFD's I've ever seen from btv, and for posterity sake I am putting it here. 000 FXUS61 KBTV 131740 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 1240 PM EST Thu Jan 13 2022 .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... As of 335 AM EST Thursday...Another cold night is expected from efficient radiational cooling underneath strong surface high pressure, light winds, and relatively clear skies. Another night with temperatures in the -5 to -20 F range will be likely. Still, dress accordingly if out and about late Saturday into early Sunday morning. Southerly return flow will bring highs on Sunday into the teens with single digits above zero for overnight lows Sunday and into Monday. The next system of interest will arrive early Monday morning. Widespread snow is likely, but there`s also the potential for several other weather hazards, including strong, easterly downslope winds for western slopes of the southern Greens, as well as the potential for an interval of freezing rain or freezing drizzle in the system`s dry slot. We will continue to monitor the evolution of this system as there still remains some spread on the low track, but the probabilities of receiving at least 4" of snow is around 60 to 70 percent. Additionally, given the dynamical nature of this system, we will have to monitor for the potential for any mesoscale banding. With that said, let`s dive into the meteorology. Sunday night, a compact upper low in the southern US will begin to lift northeastward ahead of an amplifying ridge across the western Atlantic. The upper level wave pattern will become negatively tilted and surface low pressure along the US East Coast will begin to deepen as it gains latitude Sunday night. The warm frontal boundary will lift into the North Country near or before dawn on Monday. A coupled upper jet structure with excellent upper diffluence and strong isentropic ascent will support widespread snow. Additionally, a band of lower SEPV will lift northwards alongside vertical omega on the scale of -15 to 20 ubars/sec, which is quite vigorous. However, it appears the preferred area of highest omega may be outside the DGZ. Combined with increasing mid-level flow, this may result in more fragmented dendrites since well below freezing boundary layer temperatures would likely prevent much riming. These factors may make for lower SLR values as the warm front lifts north. NAEFS climatology places the 850hPa low in the 99th percentile of low heights. On the other hand is the mesobanding potential associated with the warm front. Forecast soundings depict hodographs that favor a laterally translating band that would lift north in tandem with the warm front. However, if the low track remains to our south causing surface northeasterly flow across the valleys, then a pivoting band could be an alternative scenario. Given the conditional nature of this time, we will wait for more mesoscale models before honing in on this potential. Yet this feature would promote an area of moderate to locally heavy snowfall. At this time, the translating band appears the more likely scenario, in which case the interval of higher snowfall rates will possibly be a short window. Again, we will refine these details once we get in the range of mesoscale models and start honing in on an hourly temporal resolution over the next couple days (this system is still 4 days out after all). By mid-Monday morning, the situation will begin to change as a low- level jet lifts into the region. The result will likely be FGEN or deformation band that is a bit fragmented, with some terrain shadowing taking place in the lower valleys, but upslope enhancement along eastern slopes of the southern Greens and Adirondacks. Additionally, dry air will be filtering into north of the surface low, as the cyclone will already be matured by the time it lifts north into the area. This could result in a transition to freezing drizzle, as the dendritic growth zone becomes unsaturated. The low track will also impact how far west the low-level jet reaches. If the low tracks east of the region, we will lie at the nose of the jet, and not see its worst impacts. However, if the low tracks into Vermont or northern New York, we could see 850hPa winds up to 70 to 80 knots into southern Vermont and the Adirondacks on the north side of the low. Although conditions are not highly favorable for mixing, these winds are quite strong, and the easterly component is near record values of the NAEFS model climatology at this time. With the strength of the warm advection, we could also see temperatures climb above freezing. So a brief interval of drizzle or rain, mainly across southern Vermont, is also a possibility. The next evolution in the system comes late Monday afternoon as the system begins to lift towards Quebec City. The northwest flow and additional shortwave energy, coincident with wrap- around moisture, will result in some upslope snow on the backside. This should also close out the potential for any freezing drizzle with the DGZ saturated once again. Expect snow to taper off to the mountains by Tuesday morning. Then behind the system, we should receive another surge of cold air. However, the flow aloft remains west-northwest, which may keep the coldest air north of the international border. Still, temperatures below seasonal normals appear likely. Then looking at the end of the extended range forecast, it seems a clipper system will cross nearby next Wednesday. $$ SYNOPSIS...Boyd NEAR TERM...Boyd/Neiles SHORT TERM...Haynes LONG TERM...Haynes AVIATION...Banacos

I mean any of the glades off of nosedive also count. Once you come down the first 3 steeps (so it doesnt count) the woods especially skier side left are fair game for intermediates. Bolton has amazing backcountry, but the whole of smugglers notch accessible from a few simply traverses and way more from a short hike? Sorry, there's nothing better. Sigh, it's not a competition but my ex lives up there in the bolton condos so...Stowe always better

Wow that sucks man. Always hard to tell but that sore throat seems to be the hallmark of omicron. As with any covid have someone get you an oximeter!! If breathing gets tough and the o2 is below 90 on all fingers, seek help pls. I had covid before the vaxx was available and what I learned is it's really the o2 that counts. Some fingers might have better circulation than others so it's important to test them all for an average. You just dont want to get the pneumonia that thrives in that low oxygen environment. I had access to a cpap that helped me immensely. But I know from er friends that oxygen saturation in the blood is everything in their triage. Dropping below 90 on multiple extremities is when you seek help.

HA, so wrong I now see the trail signs, embarrassment ensues

That is a sick picture!! WOW. Top of national? My best guess because it drops off so sharply and then national goes to the left down at the bottom of the pitch like that, as it crosses over liftline

flip flop the models go. Who knows. Whatever happens happens. I think this one is magnetically attracted to me and coming this way. 100 % wishcast. But my confidence is 50 % +/- 20 with a confidence interval of 95.

Confirmed accident. But 89 Northbound traffic was "way worse" so that's interesting!! Sent: Saturday, December 4, 2021 4:47 PM To: DPS - Roadway Alert <[email protected]> Subject: I89 Southbound - Exit 12 Press Release – Highway / Traffic Notification I 89 Southboud is Down to One Lane in the area of Exit 12 due to a Motor Vehicle Crash Motorists should expect delays in the area, or seek alternate routes.

Just want to add was coming back from Btown to h20center at about 5 when it hit French Hill. It snowed hard, froze instantly, and Man what a shitdown (i'm leaving that typo because I like it, but I meant shutdown). Shitshow traffic and accidents on both sides with backed up traffic and cops lights everywhere. It was as if this was not forecasted and they could do nothing about it. Maybe put down some brine next time AOT? I mean I recall reading someone here or maybe an AFd yesterday saying a slug of snow around 4 pm. Totally avoidable. But in the Vermont way, 97.96% of the people were totally patient and slow once they realized the whole area was a sheet of ice.

Man to be a hiker who hasn't made it to shelter at Mt Ellen or Mansfield!! That cell over sugarbush is the real thing.

nice little ditty coming on through snowing very nicely here in h20bury center

-15F here

gonna try and get this shot again tomorrow,...first pic is 15th, then 17th

What a delightful week, it's just unreal what a difference a week makes in the nickel and dime world after 1 synoptic with NO WIND! I put my xmas tree on the deck

The Walt Drag AFD FXUS61 KBOX 042114 AMD AFDBOX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION..FINAL AFTN.. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 414 PM EST SUN MAR 4 2001 ...SEVERE STORM COMPARABLE OR WILL EXCEED THE BLIZZARD OF 78 FOR SNE WITH 60 HR DURATION OF SNW AND MAX INTENSITY OF WORST CONDS 18Z TUE-00Z WED AND HURRICANE FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE HIGHLY LIKELY TO OCCUR PARTS OF E MA COAST... KEY IS SLEET IN I 95 CORRIDOR...OTRW ITS GOING TO BE EXCEEDINGLY DIFFICULT HERE FOR AT LEAST 3 DAYS. FOR US HERE IN SNE A SLOW FADE OF STORM WED AM...SNOW QUITS NW TO SE FIRST THEN THE WIND. SFALL: 1 TO 3 FEET IN THE ALL SNOW AND SLEET REGION. WSW WILL GO AT 5 PM...ZONES HOPEFULLY AT 6PM. THANK YOU FOR YOUR PATIENCE ON DELAYED ZONES. WE/VE GOT 140 PM ZONES THE WAY WE WANT FOR NOW AND WE WANT TO GET THIS NEXT PKG DECENTLY ACCURATE. BLIZZARD WARNING WBIS AT 430 PM MA 4>7 12 14>16 AND NH 12 (MHT-LWM- ORH). REQUIREMENTS FOR THIS DIRE PREDICTION ARE 3 OR MORE HRS <1/4MI S+/BS AND G>30 KTS). 18Z ETA SAYS WE CAN INCLUDE BOSTON...ITS ON THE CUSP WITH SLEET BUT WE ARE GOING FOR WORST CASE AND EVENTUALLY BLV WE CAN HIT THIS. ETA TENDS TO RUN A BIT TOO WARM. HIGH WIND WARNING WBIS MA 19 22>24 FOR MON AFTN THRU TUE. COASTAL FLOOD WATCH WBIS AT 430 PM FOR POTENTIAL DESTRUCTIVE FLOODING TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAYS HIGH TIDES. ANTICIPATING NNE WIND DIMSHG AT 44013 TO 35 TO 45 KTS AT 12Z WED. ANTICIPATE 3-5 FT SURGES AT HIGH TIDES BOTH TUE AND WED. HERES BOSTON TIDES TIME ASTRO PREIDCTION WITHOUT SURGE AND WAVE 3/5 640 AM 10.2 727 PM 8.9 3/6 743 AM 10.6 829 PM 8.9 3/7 845 AM 11.0 927 PM 10.0 IT IS MY BLV NEAR RECORD WAVE HTS PROBABLE 44013 AND POSSIBLY 44008 ...TUESDAY A KEY DAY FOR DAMAGING COASTAL FLOODING. MAX WAVE HTS OF 30 TO 35 FT EXPECTED FOR THIS EVENT TUESDAY AT BOS BUOY AND 30 TO 40 FT FOR 44008. POWER OUTAGES: SCT PWR OUTAGES FROM WIND AND OR SNOW PROBABLE ORH TO BOS AND PVD AND CC. WIND: FIRST PULSE 40-55KT 18Z-03Z MONDAY AFTN AND EVE THEN I THINK IT CRANKS FROM THE NNE ON TUESDAY WITH SEVERE BLOWING AND DRIFTING WHERE >6 OF SFALL. 65 KT GUSTS POSSIBLE PYM-PVC TO ACK. REFIRE A SECOND WIND MAX..POTENTIALL STRONGER 50-65 KT TUESDAY. SFALL: 1-3 FT XCPT MIX ZONE 3-12 TOTAL STORM BY 06Z WED. WORST AXIS FORESEEN SOMEWHERE ALONG OR JUST NW OF A HFD-BOS LN. MAY NEED TO ADJUST THIS IN FUTURE RUNS. RDF: DOES NOT NECESSARILY REFLECT ZFP WORDING... PLS DONT LOCK US INTO RDF YET. JUST CANT GET IT DO WHAT WE WANT. EVENTUALLY IT WILL THEN IT WILL PRODUCE PICTURES ETC. YOULL LIKE IT. IF YOU USE THIS PRODUCT...WE WANT TO KNOW AND YOUR IMPRESSIONS. GWAVE: WATCH IT FOR EXCESSIVE MODULATATION OF THE QPF FIELDS INCLUDING 4-5/HR SNOWFALL RATE IN SNOW REGION (MAYBE SOMETIME MON) AND CUTBACK ON QPF IN SLEET REGION SE MA AND RI. TX FOR COORD T0 LOUIS UCCELLINI ON POTENTIAL AND HAVE OFFERED ITS POTENTIAL IN THIS PGH PER MY OWN CONSIDERATION. HAVE NOT CONFIRMED ONE WILL HAPPEN HERE. BATTEN DOWN AND ROUND IT UP NOW. THIS IS GOING TO BE HUGE AND LONG LASTING. WE WILL TRY TO GET A STMT OUT ON PREPAREDNESS NEEDS AND COMPARISONS TO PAST BLIZZARDS SINCE 1978. OUR TAKE (TX RMT) IS THAT THIS WILL B VLIZ OF 78 EVENT BUT FURTHER NORTHWEST MODELS: WE HOPE NOT TO LET YOU DOWN ON THIS BUT HAVE CONSIDERABLE CONFIDENCE IN THE ETA ON HUGE EVENTS THO WE KNOW A SURPRISE WILL OCCUR SOMEWHERE. PER HPC...ETA MODEL HAS BEEN EXCT ON BIG QPF NE USA N OF 40N ...BUT WOEFUL BUSTS DC REGION..POSSIBLY BECAUSE BCS OF GULF STREAM WALL SPINUP PBLM. ETA IS PRIMARY GUIDE QPF: WE ARE GOING TO FCST A CT RVR VALLEY SHADOW GOING ONLY 1-2 WE THERE...UPSLOPE THO WATCH OUT. WE ARE GOING 3 TO 5 W.E QPF E MASS. 3-5 QPF PVD-PYM-ORH-LWM-BVY-BOS-PYM. DRY SLOT MAY IMPACT SE NEW ENG FOR A TIME LATE MON? CAVEAT: SOMETHING GOES WRONG WITH THESE BIG STORMS EVERY TIME. DONT KNOW YET WHERE IT WILL B...BUT CONFIDENT WE/RE ON TRACK. IF YOU KNOW...WHERE WE/RE LIKELY TO BUST. CALL ME BY 430 PM. SKYWARN STARTS HER EIN OFFICE 4AM MONDAY. A LONG SEIGE CHH RAOB: 18Z RAOB IS IN. FURTHER INTERIM CHH RUNS SCHEDULED 06Z AND 18Z MON AND 06Z TUE. ALTERNATE SOURCES OF ENERGY: BE PREPARED FOR POWER OUTAGES. DONT USE CANDLES FOR LIGHT...CAUSES FIRE IF KNOCKED OVR. TRAVEL: NOT RECOMMENDED BY OUR OFFICE IN ALL SNOW REGION MONDAY- TUESDAY THO THERE WILL B PRDS OF RECOVERY AS WE GO INTO BANDED PCPN ALTERNATING LIGHT AND HVY. REMEMBER JUST A COUPLE OF CARS IN ACCIDENTS CAN CLOG A ROAD AND IF ITS SNOWING 2/HR - CAN BE BAD NEWS AND BASICALLY NOT GETTING HOME. WARMEST QPF RROUTE...COASTAL 95 MONDAY....BUT WATCH IT WHEN YOU GET INTO CT IF YOU CATCH THE DRY SLOT RIGHT.. YOU GET HOME AOK. AUTO SURVIVAL KITS: SUGGEST HAVING EXTRA CLOTHING AND WATER...PLUS FLASHLIGHTS...BLANKETS...DONT RUN YOUR CAR IF STALLED...AT LEAST NOT WITH WINDOWS CLOSED. ENVISION LONG DURATION OF AIRPORT CLOSURE AND FERRY TRANSPORT SHUT DOWN. COASTAL FLOODING: PYM..PVC-CHH..ACK/MVY PARTICULARLY VULNERABLE TUESDAY WITH MINOR XPCTD MONDAY AFTN/NIGHT HIGH TIDE. ROAD CREWS: ARDUOUS LONG DURATION EVENT...SFALL POSSIBLY LASTING 48 TO 60 HRS HOURS WITH POST STORM CLEANUP LASTING THRU ALL OF WEDNESDAY INTO THRUSDAY. STREET FLOODING: POSSIBLE URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING PARTS OF SE MA AND SRN RI ALONG OR 20 SE SE OF A PVD-PYM LN IF MOSTLY RAIN. FRZN GROUND A PBLM. RECOVERY: WED/THU. ASOS: AFN AND BOS FIXED. AFN ASOS MAY GO BAD AGAIN BY MON MORNING ...BUT ASOS FIXES IN SNOW REGION NEXT 2 DAYS MAY BE NEXT TO IMPOSSIBLE. LR: A NOTE...SUSPECT 1 OR POSSIBLY 2 MORE MDT OR GRTR SNOWSTORMS FOR PARTS SNE BY 4/15. NAO STAYS NEG AND OTHER PATTERN INDICATORS THAT OVERALL NORMAL WINTER TEMP PATTERN AND ACTIVE SRN STREAM WITH SOME BLOCKING MAKES IT FAVORABLE AGAIN SOMEWHERE ROUGHLY BTWN 3/14-21... HAVE NO ENSEMBLE SUPPORT AND NOT TIME FOR THIS NEXT 72 HRS. FYI: I WORKED A STORM LIKE THIS IN MKE IN 1982... DOUBLE SHORT WAVE ROTATOR...WAS IMPRESSIVE GRB TO LSE .BOS...BLIZZARD WARNING NH 12 MA 4>7 12>16 WINTER STORM WARNING CT 2>4 RI 1>5...MA 2/3/8>11 17/18 NH 11 WXA TNGT AND MON AM MASS 19>24 RI 6/7 THEN WATCH FOR LATE MON AFTN THRU TUE NIGHT FOR POTENTIAL LARGE BACKLASH. CFA MA 7...14>16 19 22>24 TUE AND WED HIGH TIDES. HIGH WIND WARNING MA 19 AND 22>24 MON AFTN THRU TUE WITH HIGH WIND WARNING IMPLIED NE MA COAST IN BLIZ WARNING. MARINE: STORM WARNING MON-TUE. DRAG

Oh that was a goodie, I was in Methuen back then.

2 different trees down in Waterbury Center VT