WxKnurd

Temp rose above 32 around 9 pm last night, apparent that the heavy returns were what cooled the column all the way down to the ground. Once they were gone back up to 36 she shot, above 4-4100’ was the ticket for staying below freezing the whole event I believe on our side of the spine of the Apps. Definitely had a bit of melt overnight but back down below freezing again. Guessing we already had our high for the day, see how low we go tonight.

I’m shooting for above 5500’ near Waterrock, then the only excuse I have is bad luck!

Waynesville proper just had mostly rain last I heard from my buddy there at like 5.

How much do we have on the ground around our end of the county? Looked like a solid 1-2” on my camera at the house, some heavy returns up Fines Creek and Betsy Gap way makes me think they are at least 3-6” if they got colder faster.

Well finally had a deer trigger my trail cam and have easily an inch it looks like. Been at 32 since like 3. Best snow of the season thus far, hate I missed it.

The steady temp fall continues, down to 32.2 and still have room to fall. Wetbulb is 31.8 and continues to go down.

Down to 33, as temps come down so is the dewpoint at the same rate so wetbulb keeps creeping down to 32. Might have something going now. Plotts should be getting hit pretty good like Hires models were showing and @Maggie Valley Steve ‘s Soco report backs up

Down to 35.4, I need to get a webcam up and running for time like this when I’m curious about conditions.

Hear hear! But if I have to hear GBO one more time I might go crazy…

You must not work with UT fans if you are just now starting to hate that state haha

Yep Erwin has been the battle ground (outside of elevation dependent temps along the spine and on our side of the line) based on reports I’ve been reading all morning on the TN Valley forum. Interesting dynamic how the cold in the upper atmosphere hit a wall it seems. I think now it boils down to two things if you are below say 4200’: can you get heavy enough rates for a mix or changeover to all snow and then can the backedge hold off long enough so when it clips the region it hits after the sun has set in order to put everything at your advantage.

54 in Mint Hill with the sun out, 37.6 at home.

Grew up in Northern Catawba, can attest to that!

I’m just picking on you guys for starting this thread, I always considered anything north and west of hwy 64 say from Hiddenite to Rutherfordton the mountains. But it does make sense lately to discuss threats separately, which is unfortunate and sadly a sign of the Pacific being a pain in our backside for what seems like a decade. Heck, you guys aren’t too far ahead of me in the frustrated realm of things. Probably even more irritated than you guys considering I’m above 3800’ and 12 miles from the state line, got jack squat to show for that.

It was 32 when I went to bed, figured we’d hold there or drop a few degrees but looking at weather station data it was 36 by midnight and hung around there ever since. I’ll miss whatever falls since I’ll be in Charlotte, hopeful for seeing something other than the token flakes I’ve seen all season late week into the weekend. Keeps up and we’ll need a “Non-State line aka Everyone not @Buckethead or @nchighcountrywx Mountain thread” post. Really break things down since our foothill brethren left us

Can definitely tell where the moisture has been this morning on this side of the state line, temps are much more elevation dependent where it’s been. Drop down out of the Newfounds into the FB valley and you can see how the cold has filtered in from TN there. 36 at my place, 33 on the Glades and then drop into Buncombe where the moisture has seemed to dry up and bam, uppers 20’s In Leicester and Sandy Mush. I did see a few flakes mixing in the drizzle earlier as the wind picked up. Front seems to bd working through based on that wind and falling dewpoints. Hope everyone gets a surprise later today and tonight. I think another .25” will put me over 1” total for the year

It’s been rough on all of us since Jan 2022

43 at home, not expecting but maybe an inch around that end of the county, maybe Crabtree and Sandy Mush balds squeeze out 3”, with the system coming tomorrow. much rather be in the Plotts for it, Soco Gap to Lynn Lowry should get hit pretty good. I’ll be headed to Charlotte in the morning anyway for work so I’m kind of hoping late week works out better anyway.

Congrats to you guys down further SW, got some cool pictures overnight during the heaviest rates at my places. Looks like .25” on my mountain too @Met1985, solid dusting at the very least.

Thought I was seeing some flakes on the last few trail cam pics that got sent out, good to know I wasn’t seeing things

Yep, Balsam Gap will do way better than us. Pain train continues for now.

24 for my low on my tropical mountain land in NE Haywood. @Met1985 frozen tundra takes sucks all the cold air away from me.

Flurries flying and another trace on the ground.

28.4/20.8, wetbulb keeps going down, now at 25.9. Will be interesting to see how long we hold off the warm nose and then the plain rain. Not expecting anything more than a few flakes that go quickly to sleet for a bit then a quick glaze before a nasty, cold, wet day tomorrow.