winter_warlock

1 minute ago, CAPE said:

Didn't he just cancel winter?

#Summer2024

 

  Well. I guess seeing the  recent modeling made him a believer  again lol..   im sure  he will cancel winter again when he gets disappointed  lol

3 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

My consolation prize is already set.  Regardless of the fail, I win.  Know why?  Taco Tuesday.  And get this...I'm making them with NACHO CHEESE shells.  Yup. Mmmhmm. How 'bout that W?

 Dayumm.  I love tacos!!!

1 minute ago, Ji said:

i dont see many members that show rain. Its more snow and ice or nothing than rain

  Amen to that bro!!Id rather have snow. If its not gonna snow then be sunny lol  dont want rain 

Sterling has snow in the forecast here..  weird seeing from them this far out lol

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Not a lot of suppressed options. I'd say genuine camp of "wins" vs. cutters.

23 members have me getting accumulated  snows in central md. Not bad for 6 days out. Im sure it will change a few times lol

Updated. Noaa. Wpc ! They like the storm idea....

4 hours ago, stormtracker said:

Remember the days when we'd rejoice at the Euro having it and not worry about the GFS?   And now it's the other way around?

What a time to be alive.  This should be a morale booster for the forum for like 12 hours. 

Yessir!!!!

Sterling LWX now seeing the threat for the 16-17!!

Unlike previous systems, the air mass in the wake of this one should
be much colder. This becomes more noticeable by Sunday into Monday
as high temperatures fall into the 30s to low 40s, with 20s across
the mountains. At night, low temperatures should be in the 20s for
most, locally falling into the teens for those west of the Blue
Ridge. The biggest question mark is will additional precipitation
move into the region as cold air is in place. Numerous model
solutions show progressive shortwaves racing through the area.
Depending on access to moisture and degree of forcing aloft, some
wintry component by re-emerge into the new work week.

37 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

Euro is such a classic beautiful snowstorm for I-95 for next week, arctic air and no precip issues for our entire subforum basically.  Gosh we need that badly. 

I cant get the euro out that far for 06z lol

29 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

There is a reason 50/50 is the sweet spot. It leaves enough room for a wave to amply behind it while also creating a westerly flow just above us so the system can’t cut. With the tpv west of there we have to play a balance act.  Too strong and it squashes the wave. To weak the wave cuts.  
 

It’s a legit threat. But as shown a tenuous one. I’d be honking like crazy if we see that tpv trend closer to the canonical spot. Otherwise as shown it’s not a setup I’d feel good about until much closer leads because of the delicate balance being played there. 

As always PSU. A very nice read bro!!

A  shift east with the snow  compared to 18z in mid Atlantic 

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Cap'n, I'm giving it all she's got!

 Lmaoooo

48 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Looks like it got deeper south not sure I see further east.  Am I missing the east shift?

The blue line( im gonna guess thats the 0 Celsius  line)  does move slightly south....  in my opinion. Althought if ya listen to my wife i see only what i want to see lmaoo

1 hour ago, Heisy said:

The storm we’re potentially tracking for around the 17th is crashing onshore around Oregon at 144 hours. It dives under the trough and then phases with it.

The 18z EPS made a really good trend East with the trough.




.

Wow nice improvement!!!!

 Storm on GFS goes from too far east at 12 z to a lil too far west  at 18z lol.  But at 9 days out. Ill take it.  Im sure the models will be all over the place for at least a few more days!!  I dont think anyone wants to be in the bullseye 232 hours out lol

7 hours ago, adelphi_sky said:

Don't go chasin' blizzards stick to the cold rain and sleet you're used to.

Which is the same rain your used to!

4 hours ago, TSSN+ said:

Just lock it in already 

Looks great!! Long way to go still but the 10 days will go fast

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

N trend

We definitely  need this one!!! Wish it wasnt 10 days out but im glad we have abother one to track ! 

Nothing but rain here all day. I saw bo freezing precip exceot for a few flakes at the very beginning  temps in mid 30s all day

19 minutes ago, RDM said:

He must live in a trailer down by the river!  

Lmaooo

Sterling LWX. Actually  acknowledges  the models with increased snow potential!!

The evening model runs have shown an increase snow potential
and snow amounts for parts of northern Maryland and western MD.
A combination of a favorable thermal pattern along with
increasing chances for near warning criteria snow has led to the
expansion of the winter storm watches to include Carroll and
Garrett Counties in Maryland.

42 minutes ago, Interstate said:

I hope it is all rain. So everyone has the same misery. 

Youd make a great motivational speaker ! Lmaooo

2 minutes ago, Fozz said:

I bet 20 years ago it would've actually looked like that.

Yup lol

This was a nice suprise from the nam

1 minute ago, dallen7908 said:

Less precipitation? 

 Less precip but a noticeable  shift east