winter_warlock

I think maybe The euro needs an intervention !! shes drinkin too much lol

Just now, Weather Will said:

We truly have a model war between EURO and GFS.

Well it looks like a model war between euro and ... gfs,ukmet,icon,cmc,... lol

2 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

You hope the Euro is drunk...

 Yeahhh i hope lol

All models are in line except euro... Euro is looking like a drunk uncle lol

Well.   Only 4 days away now. Ud think euro would  get more in line. Hopefully euro puts the tequila bottle down and joins the rest at 06z lol

 Ahhh  ty GFS for that snowgasm!!! 

 Jesus it seems like every model run the mood swings in here are worse then a menopausal woman!! Lol Guys dont hug the models!! They will wiggle especially  5 days out!!  

4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Not a weather map you usually see. 

Its not exactly terrible by any means... remember guys its still 5 days out!!!

Just now, Interstate said:

Slow night for the GFS?  Nothing on tropical tidbits. 

GFS must be more confused than usual  lol

48 minutes ago, Scraff said:

LOL. I love DT…

Its CRAP?? is that a technical  term? Lol

42 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

JB just pulled out Jan 96 as an analog to Tuesday. lol there are no words. He just has to jump the shark every time. Every damn time. 

 Lmaooo as much as he loves to over hype, JB  an be quite entertaining 

8 minutes ago, 87storms said:

I've already accepted the fact that it's gonna snow next week.

6 minutes ago, 87storms said:

In hindsight, that was a helluva snow year lol...though Feb 87 is what my UN is named after.  I remember that storm like it was yesterday.  Just an outstanding, fluke snow blitz.

Yes it was!!!

14 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

It is risky but it can work. I’m shocked how similar the setup is to Jan 22 1987 given its nearly the same time of year and that was one of my top analogs!  


There was no high in front of that one.  It had a little wave rotate around ahead of the anchor vortex but the key was that the trough remained positive tilted until the partial phase with the stj in the southeast. That way once the storm starts to get pulled north it won’t track inside where we need it.  But it’s a very similar progression to what the gfs just did.
 

This would be like a best possible case outcome for this type of setup of course but this can work if the wave stays positive until it’s east of the Mississippi.  There was a storm in 1966 that was somewhat similar with a due north track also.  Also one of my top analogs!

 

 

Oh man i remember those back to back storms in 87.  Had 6 foot drifts going up  my moms back deck lol

Sterling lwx. Included the jan 16th storm in their HWO.   Fwiw...

Just now, stormtracker said:

Ok..just a little late.  Good luck, us

We need some good luck!!

Icon is like a drunk cousin,  you dont always want him at family events, but when hes there, he can sometimes be entertaining  lol

1 minute ago, BristowWx said:

I don’t even remember.  I think the GFS is the MRF and AVN combined.  But I can’t remember 

 I couldnt remember either  lol thats why i asked 

Just now, Ji said:

Mrf and avn is now gfs

So then the answer would be no lol 

Just now, BristowWx said:

What about the MRF, AVN and NOGAPS?  We are all too fancy now for those models 

Were those models ever really all that accurate? Lol 

1 minute ago, Jebman said:

Snow weenies are gonna track.

Because that's what we do.

And because you all know, all too well, that the storm is there.

Yup!!!!

Hey do any of you remember the CRAS model??  I wonder what happen to that dumpster fire of a model lol

38 minutes ago, baltosquid said:

Also for the 20th, precip on GEFS indicates the GoM is going to spin something up.

Obviously as depicted it's OTS but given the beautiful bigger picture, hard to complain at this range... good to know there's potentially energy around, then got to get it in our neighborhood.

   I think its in a decent spot for 230 hours out

  yup pretty much lol

Id be more disappointed  in the 18z gfs if it was alot closer than 6 days out lol

17 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Someone get Jobu some rum and a cigar and get this show started. Cerrano is bound to hit a curveball eventually. 

In my best pedro cerrano voice.... " it is VERY BAD to steal Jobu's rum.. very bad!!"