winter_warlock

Just now, stormtracker said:

It's a screwjob.  H5 got better.  sfc got worse

Well over 100 hours  away im sure  alot will change lol just like it did for the storm on the 16th

Just now, stormtracker said:

Heaviest band is still South and SW of the area, 4-6..2 to 4 for most of us

Thats still the biggest snow event for me in 3+ years!

1 minute ago, Ravens94 said:

Nice nw uptick in amounts

Just now, stormtracker said:

Overall, seems like the same as 18z.  A Hold .

Well a hold is better then a step back

12 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said:

Seems like noise to me more than anything. Maybe responding to the HRRR?

 

 Could be. But it seems like alot of models are increasing in their  precipitation in last 12  to 24 hours so idk why the blend model was lower hmm weird

4 minutes ago, Ji said:

why did the blend of models map tick down so much? What models is too blame?

 

Hmm makes no sense to me, given the modeling   weve all seen

Just now, Terpeast said:

Interesting how the wrf and hrrr shifted north

 Agreed!    Will be curious to see how the gfs does if it follows the rest

5 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said:

Screw the NAM, I've got a new daddy now. HRW FTW!

 

Yeah i like that model!!!

Just now, jacindc said:

I'm so old I remember when this thread had people wondering why LWX was suddenly so bullish.

 

I been in americanwx forum since 2010 and i remember a time when people would wonder why  the LWX keeps getting burned because they were so bullish back then lol... i guess they learned  their lesson at sterling  lol

4 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

Agreed with this. I have a max of 6” somewhere in this one, but the concept is the same. A nice storm for much, if not everyone here. 

Will be the best storm ive had here in baltimore county,  md in 3 years!!

4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Nope. NS SW came across as a better latitude for us but the whole thing was more suppressed. No stj interaction and the coastal took too long to get going. It’s not a good run for anyone. Light snow across MD and NJ. 

I'm glad it's still 5 days out things will change.. just like they changed in our favor for the 16th Event

 The way its looking.. the snow events we got this coming week are gonna give us all more snow then weve probably gotten last few winters combined... as crazy as it sounds!! lol

6 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

I think there is still room for improvement…call me crazy 

I think ur right!

Snow is still flying. Just not amounting to much on the ground . Still nice to see though

6 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z GEFS, couple heavy hitter on GEFS, we wait.

The top ensembles is the totals from boths storms this week 

3 minutes ago, J.Mike said:

My gut is telling me this is the official start of winter for our area. 

Amen brother!!

Snow just started flying  winds topping 30 mph gusts!

6 minutes ago, WVsnowlover said:

Radar looks really good for Central MD

Im in central md and its sunny here lol

Sterling updated their forecast for central md

.. been a while since i seen something like this

If i recall nam has a lil bit of a warm bias

1 hour ago, BristowWx said:

You might think that but if you do don't give up your summer house.  

I wont lol

Check out this forecast for Buffalo,Ny!! I think im gonna move there!!!!

I noticed last couple runs are looking a lil better on the modeling. If that keeps up next day or 2, we maybe looking at a decent snow event.  Now if we can only get the one for the 20th to trend better 

4 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said:

ok thx

Anyway, ICON is fine:

Icon got better too!. Hope that trend continues on all models next couple days

23 minutes ago, StormyClearweather said:

Not bad for a day's work. Better than the alternative anyway. 

I like how it increased the last couple  frames. Hope that trend continues