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Nomz

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Everything posted by Nomz

  1. Anything look off? Trying to keep expectations tempered while still allowing for the possibility of the real monster, a la UKMET or 18z euro. The quality got cucked by the forum image compression I think.
  2. I’ll take a 43 with a side of 23, please
  3. I think Richmond and south probably have a right to be worried about mixing, just as DC and north have a right to be worried about the storm being too far south. I wouldn't come close to betting on either scenario happening, though.
  4. All I will say for the 18z suite is that the GFS is a hilarious model that should probably not be trusted outside of 72 hours
  5. I do a forecast for my school, I was wondering what y'all think is a reasonable range to forecast for tonight? I'll wait for the 18z suite but I'm thinking probably 4-8 for now? I want to suggest significant accumulation but keep a lid on it for now.
  6. Yeah GEFS is a lot closer to "normal" than the absolute catastrophe that was GFS
  7. Except the 00z runs last night, GFS and fam have been pretty consistent keeping this towards the south area of our sub
  8. ICON is done with us at about 6am monday. Here's the kuchera map
  9. H132 on the 12z ICON is just a nuke
  10. Icon printing just a ton of freezing rain down south
  11. Yeah maybe like 20 minutes slow. 00z icon was through the event at like 10:20pm last night.
  12. We'll point at models, they'll point at synoptics and everyone will weenie-out
  13. Not really a big bomb setup so we don’t have a blazing 850mb jet. Maybe 10kt or so.
  14. Some place, not sure where, is gonna get absolutely smoked by this thing down south. Could be arkansas, could be south carolina.
  15. I’d like for models to work their way a little north today but I’m just feeling greedy. I’ll take the 1 inch qpf in DC at 10:1+ ratios
  16. Euro AIFS south of 12z but north of 18z
  17. Surely someone has the goddamn snow maps for ukmet i need to see em
  18. Which site are you guys using for UKMET maps, PW doesn't have them
  19. Is the GDPS the same thing as the GEM?
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