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wthrmn654

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Everything posted by wthrmn654

  1. For starters, it's a lot harder to get a storm to turn left. Not to mention if it turns north before a certain degree, 70W for example. Also, would appear that it's getting captured by the 200mb (jet stream) on the gfs and euro models fairly well.
  2. I think this will ultimately be a miss for the east coast but, let's see how things develop.
  3. Thinking back, it's very rare to have systems legitimately crawl. Anytime something is north of the Carolinas tropical wise they Bengal end up moving faster then modeled.. why this happens, I don't know.. but it's deft not common for tropical systems to crawl like some models were shooting out at first.
  4. 2 maybe 3 tropical systems showing up on more then 1 model in the next week or 2.. interesting times ahead, I was starting to doubt we could have such an active season with all the insane dust levels, but still time will only tell.
  5. Satellite estimates are up to 53knts. Up to the last recording which was... 1945utc
  6. It's a system none of them are closer to shore...
  7. 12zcmc has a tropical looking system up the coast too
  8. Looks like tracks are are shifting back east after it starts heading north again lol talk about back and forth... jeez.
  9. SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...31.1N 82.1W ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM NNW OF JACKSONVILLE FLORIDA ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM W OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
  10. The tropical cyclone should continue to weaken while it moves over land for the next day or so. By late Tuesday, assuming the center of the system moves back over water, some re-intensification is forecast. The NHC forecast continues to show only modest restrengthening due to the uncertainties, although this may be conservative.
  11. What in tarnation is this mess?!
  12. Euro track, depending how beaten up Debby is, potentially has it strengthing again south of Long Island on its way northeast
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