wthrmn654

71 mph now at Montauk

4.71 feet versus a forecast of 5 feet. That's fairly close

Nearly minor flooding state out here, so far forecasts are looking pretty dang close!

Upton messaged me saying gear exposure at Montauk, the asos at the airport reporting 46 mph though. So not horribly different.

Velocity matches what montauk is recording very well wow!

65 mph now

If it is a candian boat, they are crazy people, so I fully believe it!

62.3 mph at Montauk so l lighthouse so far

Dam those tides are rising fast! 3.94 at 8 pm, high tide till 1 hour 33 mintues away, action stage at 4.5 minor flooding 4.8... might be closed for months or at a minimum a long time with this storm.

It's online now it appears

There are guys surfing right now in gardiners bay! That's a first. Winds already gusting 37,38 mphs

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 222 PM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026 DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-261000- /O.CAN.KPHI.WI.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-260925T2200Z/ /O.EXT.KPHI.HW.W.0002.260925T1822Z-260927T1000Z/ Delaware Beaches-Eastern Monmouth-Atlantic Coastal Cape May- Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean- Including the cities of Long Beach Island, Atlantic City, Rehoboth Beach, Ocean City, and Sandy Hook 222 PM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026 ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... ...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...North winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 60 mph. * WHERE...In Delaware, Delaware Beaches County. In New Jersey, Eastern Monmouth, Atlantic Coastal Cape May, Coastal Atlantic, and Coastal Ocean Counties. * WHEN...Until 6 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People are urged to secure loose objects that could be blown around or damaged by the wind. &&

No upgrades.

Standby, upton doing updates, wind so far

Nws has been unusually quiet today.

Winds are steadily picking up, all ferrys to new London to orient point are done at 5 pm today with no boats tomorrow

Nothing i said was about affects, simply similar modeling for coastal flooding keeps going up and up just like when sandy hit during a full moon. Translates to much higher likelihood coastal flooding is going be really bad.

Last thing it is a bit sandyish like, as we got closer and closer to the event, the tide forecasts kept ramping up and up and up Just like this one

The ironic thing about the coastal flooding situation, from past other storms events, my area usually lucked out from winds dying down earlier, or direction shift.... they usually were a little to high in there forecasts because they thought the models we underdone.. with this storm it would seem they think they're over done? Idk... with the storm more tucked in, and slow moving, south of Long Island and modeled to be stronger the wind directions are all changed, from a more north/ northeast, to now it being northeast, to a more easterly direction with at times some south depending on timing all of which is going funnel the crap into long island sound, gardiners/ peconic bay etc..

I've bugged them enough this week. I'm on there real time slack group with other mets from media, emergency management etc... they didn't reply to my questioning why they issued coastal flood watch when there tide forecasts were mainly only minor... as the criteria is moderate to major. Asked if they saw the higher potential but didn't wanna issue yet? Crickets...

Tides are flying up today! At 854 approaching action stage with highest tide all week so far! High tide isn't too 945 am... minor flooding pretty certain this morning.. Very very concerning

I also read that wrong parts of jersey are in fact in a big wind warning.

That's mount Holy they done good as well as box

Wow 6z gfs raises my area tide forecast yet again.. over 6 feet

Well this is concerning as well However, with current buoy observations running higher than Wavewatch by a few feet, felt wave heights are already within advisory range within the surf zone. Beach flooding and erosion can be expected Friday into Saturday.