wthrmn654

Icon looks to be a little west.

Nam looks west so far

951 was lowest pressure from the eye drop.

Gefs looks to have a west lean now also... it's its at all west its every so slightly overall though

No the model thing he's talking about! Come on now keep up!

It's likely legit

Never even heard of it lol

Tropical storm watches and hurricane watches up

Eps still has a west lean and there's 2 clusters imo . Annoying storm

952 was 1st or 2nd pass

---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Lee was located near latitude 25.3 North, longitude 66.7 West. Lee is moving toward the northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h). Lee is forecast to turn toward the north on Thursday and increase in forward speed. Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Lee is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some slow weakening is forecast during the next 48 hours, however Lee is likely to remain a large and dangerous hurricane for the next couple of days. Lee is a very large hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles (205 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km). Saildrone 1036, located about 75 miles (120 km) northwest of Lee's center, recently reported a wind gust to 88 mph (141 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure is 946 mb (27.94 inches).

Most all the runs at 18z including Hurricane models had some shift west.

Only photo that's within the correct file size.

Confirmed water spouts!

Sweet beautiful Jesus look at that hook on that bat storm only mile or 2 north of me possible water spouts!

Usually I look at the pseg li outage map to get a general idea of a storms severity when they happen. But I have noticed that there's been a large number of underground cable failures this year/ lately. The Hamptons area in general I've seen many cable failures, with another one today. Could be pure coincidence, or bad luck, could be increased demand/strain on cables, could be age, etc. Just a side note.

Ahhh! That's the only thing I didn't think of thanks!

What does missing count mean? 2022 says 9 compared to every other year of 0

Just a few 71 hr totals for various areas:

2 stations east of my weather station had 3.95 inches, 3.07, had 0.90 at park and 0.30 my station... wicked gradients!

Wow apparently parts of my area got over 3 inches! Public Information Statement National Weather Service New York NY 721 PM EDT Mon Aug 22 2022 ...PRECIPITATION REPORTS... Location Amount Time/Date Provider ...Connecticut... ...New London County... Norwich 2.62 in 0440 PM 08/22 AWS 1 NE Norwich 1.56 in 0445 PM 08/22 AWS Groton Airport 1.30 in 0356 PM 08/22 ASOS ...New Jersey... ...Essex County... West Orange 1.78 in 0436 PM 08/22 CWOP Livingston 1.46 in 0430 PM 08/22 CWOP 1.6 W Millburn 1.36 in 0415 PM 08/22 HADS ...Hudson County... Harrison 2.14 in 0445 PM 08/22 AWS ...Passaic County... Oak Ridge Reservoir 1.60 in 0345 PM 08/22 COOP Ringwood 1.48 in 0510 PM 08/22 RAWS ...Union County... Linden Airport 1.23 in 0435 PM 08/22 AWOS ...New York... ...Rockland County... Sparkill 1.46 in 0435 PM 08/22 CWOP ...Suffolk County... Orient Point 3.07 in 0435 PM 08/22 CWOP ...Connecticut... ...Maritime Stations... Quaker Hill 1.74 in 0430 PM 08/22 CWOP &&

-- Changed Discussion -- Much of the showers and embedded thunderstorms ahead of a surface warm front have lifted up into New England, with a trailing line across NE NJ. The latter of which could impact the NYC metro during the next 1-2 hour with possible rainfall rates greater than an inch (localized 2 inch amounts). HRRR also showing additional convection across eastern PA possibly working into NE NJ and the NYC metro between 7-9 pm (should it hold together) and then dissipating fairly quickly. There have been some wet microbursts in this activity with gusts up to 45 mph, but the main threat will be localized flash flooding. Warm front stalls across the area this evening with modest instability and an upper trough approaching from the west. Thus, will maintain scattered showers, possibly a thunderstorm, through the overnight. Otherwise, mostly cloudy with lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s. -- End Changed Discussion --