wthrmn654

Yeah you basically answered what I was saying lol

Idk if anyone can confirm/ verify but hasn't the icon been the most consistent with this nearly going up the florida coast before going east for many runs? I may have my models mixed up but I can't remember

I maybe wrong but to my eye it looks like it's going be north and west of forecast from nhc based on the that solid line at bottom before next offical track update. No?

Wooo..... didn't notice this but look what the latest consensus models suggest .. look at that bank west near the end. Can't tell if that's a blooper or fluke

Or, enable everything but the euro stuff to see all the Google ideas, by going to menu button https://deepmind.google.com/science/weatherlab

https://www.weathernerds.org/models/genc.html

For entertainment, I highly suggest gong and watching what the nam 12k does with the 2 storms. Wild what it does.

Just saw the 18z Google ensembles there looks to be about 6 or more runs that hang back and go up the east coast towards the north east... The 18z Google models shifted west for the up the coast ones 12z had a lot going to cape cod. Majority go east, however, majority now go, north north east versus nearly due east.

If the ai models pan out, the entire east coast needs to be on alert from Carolinas to the north east.....

Strangely quiet here....

Watch entire gfs run... it comes north after Bermuda area and seems to be deciding where to go.. north east should be watching in case this becomes a thing.

The curve to north near end of run Are increasing.

12z euro ai, nearly a cap cod landfall with a slow crawl north.

In defense of the ai models usage, it's better this year then last year from what memory remembers. . Idk how it has done with other storms, but with Erin the ai models track was so very much locked in from a very early start, from a rough aspect. As with this storm i saw the euro ai first to show a glancing blow to Carolinas then loops/meander off the coast... way before other non ai models started... Do they have more data at there resources versus conventional models? Not sure but there deft is some kinda difference, likely not obvious to the naked eye.

Cmc and euro ai want to bring it to the Mid Atlantic/ north east before all is said and done...... that's after wandering off the south east. Will have to keep an eye on that to see off that becomes a thing or not.

Ai models won big with Erin track days before everyone jumped on board... . Icon took a big win imo on that storm as well, which is crazy to say lol

This maybe a big sike storm.......

Euro ai shows low pressures for humberto at the 12z time so we'll see how it does.

Icon starts going up coast by florida then gets pulled towards humberto...

Gefs supports the no landfall the op showed. This time around there showing how strong humberto is with pressures in the 900s versus 1000+

18zgfs no landfall!!!!

Well that was a rough Summary from a professional meteorologist I see online before.

One thing that's clearly going throw a wrench in recent modeling..... humberto likely going be a Cat 3 or 4 tomorrow and all of a sudden.... may explain models now showing further east stall and some not coming ashore at all.........

Going be interesting to see if the AI models can be good like what they did for Erin, again.