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anthonymm

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Everything posted by anthonymm

  1. anthonymm
    Last actual KU for the mid atlantic was February 2021 then. For SNE it was Jan 2022. I doubt a KU happens next winter, or even a widespread 10" event from philly to nyc. Boston is a different climo they can get 10" storms even in bad winters.
  2. anthonymm
    Anything above 6" is KU material for central park now lmfao. Central park has not gotten a 6" event since January 2022.
  3. anthonymm
    +PNA is king. I think it's probably the best predictor of weather the I95 gets a snowy pattern compared to all other teleconnections.
  4. anthonymm
    Last year wasn't a nina. It was cool neutral. I know winters generally suck now but it seems you're really grasping at straws
  5. anthonymm
    So basically if we cant cool the western pac down say goodbye to snowy winters in the east?
  6. anthonymm
    Yea I dont get wearing hoodies when the sun is still this strong and the daytime temps are in the 70s. Hoodies are a mid to late october thing
  7. anthonymm
    Yup ninas are supposed to have good Decembers. If you dont have a good December in a nina the rest of the season looks grim.
  8. anthonymm
    December snowfall is I think the stat best correlated with overall snow for the winter in nyc. It's very rare to get a snowy December and have the rest of the winter be a dud (has this ever happened ?), and also rare to have a snow free December result in an above average winter (maybe only 15-16?).
  9. anthonymm
    What model guidance is suggesting the ridge moves east?
  10. anthonymm
    Seriously doubt. Next 10 days at least will be normal to below normal, and by the time late september/early october arrives, climo works against 90 really really hard. Mid to upper 80s not out of the question last week or so of September though.
  11. anthonymm
    Hopefully this will be the storm will save foliage season
  12. anthonymm
    Very disappointing, no lightning or thunder.
  13. anthonymm
    October will have some sultry days/nights.
  14. anthonymm
    ECM is now incapable of seeing below normal temps. It blowtorches everything >30 days out by default now. Garbage warm biased model
  15. anthonymm
    Not true, nyc would have gotten 20" even without the march storm. Only slightly below avg.
  16. anthonymm
    So blowtorch 22-23 style winter incoming?
  17. anthonymm
    It never does. But then again, that almost never happens now, so it ends up being right most of the time.
  18. anthonymm
    Powerful ridge over Alaska. If that actually plays out there is no way for us to be mild.
  19. anthonymm
    It seems like people are pretty much already set on a niña? Are we jumping the gun?
  20. anthonymm
    If we can get the western pac to cool significantly and the eastern pac to continue boiling then that pretty much locks in a great winter in the east right?
  21. anthonymm
    Wow very sticky looking weekend. High dews and the lows dont drop below 70 in the city, yuck.
  22. anthonymm
    Agreed, fall foliage sucked last year cause of the drought. If we don't get a drought buster soon it's gonna get bad
  23. anthonymm
    I see. I guess el ninos are typically more boom or bust, with one or two huge storms making the whole season. Just need to time that active subtropical jet with one good cold shot.
  24. anthonymm
    I can see that for ninas. If you dont get a good December even in a nina you're cooked. But what about ninos?
  25. anthonymm
    NYC is already in drought conditions. I can see a repeat of last fall, maybe not as bad.
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