BristowWx
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Everything posted by BristowWx
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I mean could you ask for a better snow map 6 days out? It would take a serious fail for most of this sub forum to not get snow next weekend. How often are we in this position. CMC is chuckling right now
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That’s a VA state of emergency type storm. One tick north and it can stop.
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Drunk already? Nice it is happy hour
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Yes you too..unless the cut off is so severe every mile represents 1 inch...then I am sorry...we can chase to Nokesville
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Still I like our chances with this. All day long I will take that set up. Even If I don’t jackpot.
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So I get about 6 inches on that and 25 miles to my southwest gets about 20. Ok well I am sure I richly deserve this outcome
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I am more worried about rain now and too far NW as are some others. that was a huge jump in 6 hours 6 days out.
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there is an evil face in Ohio...must be the NS throwing some sort of evil hex our way
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considering we cant resolve h5 details for next weekend with any degree of consistency I'm gonna say no to that question.
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Would have felt better if 6z FV3 was not as suppressed. It was easy to see why just looking at h5. just another data point I suppose
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Site crashed at hr 138 on TT for me. Of course it did.
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If nothing else at least at this point there is one factor we need to watch...h5 confluence...not waiting for cold air..not moisture starved or waiting for a phase...its either a 1 or 0...either it comes north or it doesn't...makes it simple at least right now.
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Confluence looks a touch stronger on FV3 just looking at h5 at hr 138. only out that far but it might be a close call getting it up far enough north. We shall see.
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Decided to just go to work and wait for 6z runs...I have a problem.
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6 days still. Looks solid to me. You know what’s happens if all guidance shows a hit. I feel pretty good about this and I never feel good..ever.
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It appears so. Next thing we will have to worry about is too far north. Throw that in the mix. But a good night and goodnight!
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You don’t need panic just a good snow shovel. It would take a major shift for you not to get snow. Yeah buddy!
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NS relaxes and it’s show time. Not too shabby.
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Yes much
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I’d still rather be in this position...waiting for south trend is pure folly. I bet this comes north but just falls short. A closer miss perhaps.
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Keep the faith! We often make incredible comebacks that often fall just short. 18z next up...get ready.
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That’s a good synopsis. Still 7 days out. Anything on the table
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That has to be a rare event. Before 15 Dec...maybe never. But it won’t go down that way I am confident. Not sure why but I am.
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Yes. A Warner version. I see where you would need obscene rates to keep the column cold enough. But what the heck it looks fun regardless.
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That’s good enough for me. When you are ok with fringe then we should all be able to relax. It all comes down to h5 and that looked many ticks better than 6z.
