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Everything posted by BristowWx
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But it should be in this situation...west to east...if it snows in Winchester it’s snowing in DC for this particular north to south set up
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My God that is painful snow map. But again it is wht it will be.
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That’s a bold call on his part 4 days out and considering the size of their viewing area. One tick and EZF gets WWA criteria snow. 2 ticks and close to DC metro gets something. Not usually one for optimism but I don’t think this is dead and buried as far as getting some snow for some.
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yes..feel the same for PWC...EZF can jackpot and I will get something...good enough for now. If you mix I worry.
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LWX disco was excellent this morning especially when they acknowledge the uncertainty. "Keep in mind, this potential winter storm is still a few hundred miles offshore of the central California Coast and has to travel over 1500 miles to the Texas Coast from Wednesday night through Friday in order to feed off of additional moisture, and then travel to the east or northeast thereafter. A lot can change in wintry precipitation coverage and amounts."
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Good job night crew. Off to bed so I can get up for 6z.
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It’s hard to believe that is not a perfect setup for a monster storm.
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Or option 3...not sure what that is but I am ready for anything now
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This is one of those times where I am not confused about this situation. The storm is a tennis ball and the confluence is a brick wall. The storm needs to be a bowling ball and the brick wall needs to be a cardboard wall.
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Just don’t click the Prev Run arrow. Don’t do it. It will show you what this could be and what currently is.
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A wrinkle?
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Oh the radar hallucinations on Sunday will be epic.
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I compared to 12z. Yes more than step back...more like falling backwards down an escalator at Dulles airport.
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The hits just keep coming tonight. Bad day but you gotta keep rolling on in this hobby.
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This has turned into sad hour. Of course, it’s still Tuesday. We have time.
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That’s a fairly large region north to south. Didn’t even think Philly was in the game...Manchester MD is barely in the game.
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that one might be a BECS...tough qualify for that one...I would think 3 feet or more.
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the flurries stop just short of my yard. Interesting. Weaker SW and maybe dry air.
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I don’t know much but I know it’s not a done deal. We are currently on a dark roller coaster with blindfolds on.
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We need Goldilocks confluence. Not too hot or cold but just right. That in itself it like threading the needle because you can’t tell exactly how it will set up 5-6 days out.
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Better than 12z so far but no 18z. Nothing is ever too easy
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Calm before the storm. No watches or warnings virtually anywhere in the lower 48.
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Would you go higher than 2/10 6 days out? 6 hours ago we were on the train to Supressionville
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Did not know that. Thanks
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Favorable location to maintain CAD and deeper thickness of the cold..usually
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