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bncho

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Everything posted by bncho

  1. bncho
    The CMC is all we got. I've got a decent track record for threads so maybe I can carry that on to this storm. It's four days out now so might as well separate this from the LR thread*. We need a lot of luck to make this happen. Prayers will be needed but they will not be enough. May the odds be ever in our favor! *mods may delete this if they deem fit
  2. bncho
    after years of bad luck can we finally have it on our side? who knows.
  3. bncho
    Upgraded CMC also hopped back on the bus
  4. bncho
    very close to a region wide MECS. NYC gets the big totals this time. edit: was WAY too focused on my backyard and didn't see that NW Batlimore gets 10"!
  5. bncho
    Yes, rain to back end snow. This is the money panel! If the low were 100 miles less tucked it might've been a MECS for the metros. PSU will like this run.
  6. bncho
    Might be rain to backend snow for the metros? Can't say for sure 100% tho
  7. bncho
    SFC is marginal at best actually... 34-39
  8. bncho
    There's a shit ton of QPF. What it does with that QPF is TBD. It MIGHT be a lot of snow. The SFC temps are decent.
  9. bncho
    Euro AI more north, still south of where we need it but it's a step in the right direction
  10. bncho
    CMC is all snow for DC and points NW
  11. bncho
    now holy fucking shit 0z CMC
  12. bncho
    what does that that insinuate? there are better models out there that aren't available to us?
  13. bncho
    CMC Para shifted south and sucks now btw
  14. bncho
    Euro is a runnin
  15. bncho
    Two weeks from now we're back in business IMO (assuming VD doesn't work out).
  16. bncho
    Looks like George Washington will be wrong.
  17. bncho
    So far it's about a net zero IMO.
  18. bncho
    It's more suppressed than colder IMO
  19. bncho
    12z CMC is a good run. We will see what the CMC Parallel shows in a few hours.
  20. bncho
    Atmospheric Memory?
  21. bncho
    It's a lot closer to something, though. @soadforecasterx's quick synoptic breakdown post above is a good representation of it.
  22. bncho
    If this snowstorm happens I'm convinced it's because of George Washington's rant.
  23. bncho
    Upgraded CMC is slightly warmer but it's an all snow event NW of I95
  24. bncho
    No you're right, the delay in the ejection of the shortwave allows the cold air to escape
  25. bncho
    If the GFS verified it'd be a storm with no frozen at all in mid Feb, not even on the northern edge of precip (which extends to NYC), save for a few very tiny ZR pockets that are just 32 degree rain
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