Jan 6 has trended MUCH better.
If we could get a boom scenario of 6-10" and then get a MECS/HECS on the 8-12th then I'd be satisifed for about a few years.
I think that, if you want a big storm on the 8-10th, you'd have to be okay with an ice storm on the 6th. That's the bottom line. If we get snow on the 6th then the cold becomes too suprresive for the second wave.
Seems like this storm is trending better. I hope we don't lose our 1/8-10 event because of it, though.
EDIT: I don't think we lose the 1-8/10 event at 217.
Euro Ensemble breakdown for DC snow thru Jan 13:
1/50 members show 36+ inches (2%)
3/50 members show 24+ inches (6%)
6/50 members show 12+ inches (12%)
16/50 members show 6+ inches (32%)
21/50 members show 3+ inches (42%)
37/50 members show 1+ inches (74%)