Update from this morning, looks like the showers now could limit severe later.
"...Northeast...
Scattered thunderstorms are expected within the moist conveyor
regime downstream of TC Elsa. Guidance indicates the potential for
moderate buoyancy will generally remain confined from the
Chesapeake/DE Bays towards the NYC tri-state area, where cloud
breaks are noted within morning visible imagery. However, convective
development is already underway from eastern PA to southeast NY and
this appears ill-timed to strengthening tropospheric flow fields
that should largely be delayed until late afternoon into this
evening. This renders uncertainty over the spatial extent of any
organized clusters to transient supercells. Thus, will defer to
later outlooks for possible upgrade to cat 2/SLGT risk."