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soadforecasterx

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Everything posted by soadforecasterx

  1. This is starting to remind me of the Dec 14th storm. Where models had everything breaking up over the mountains but ending up doing good in the east
  2. looks like nam is taking a whole different approach on getting us some snow fall. hopefully it can make it over the mountains.
  3. Icon looks to be a step back, kicker is keeping things more positively tilted.
  4. 6z nam and rgem look decent. Still think we are in the game.
  5. To me Nam looks to be more in the GFS camp then the others.
  6. Really like the trends on icon and gfs. Always felt the second storm had the better chance
  7. Seems like Euro moving away from the idea of the first storm but nice amount of members have coastal off the coast for the second storm.
  8. wow this thing is so close to being a huge storm
  9. That block north of Maine is what I like to see for our bigger storms.
  10. Sounds about right, I also planned a trip with the wife to the Poconos. So I-95 is going to get crushed.
  11. At hour 96 this is alot of change for the last 5 runs.
  12. FV3 shows that rates can overcome upper level warmth.
  13. This seems to be the warmest point at the 700 level. You seem to be correct @Ji as long as you have good rates should be snow.
  14. look like the warm is closer to the 700 level. can you pull that from weatherbell?
  15. go to 18z nam for the composite. Right at 84 you see the explosion of snow in the east. that link defaults to 12z
  16. I know Nam is out of its range but just looping to 84 makes you wonder how some one doesn't get a nice 2-4" storm
  17. This past storm trended more amped all the way up until the storm.
  18. Seems like models are leaning towards a type of overrunning event. This might be better than the coastal comming up the coast.
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