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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    agreed...they were bad with Ida too way underdone
  2. Brian5671
    GFS went east LOL
  3. Brian5671
    crazy how some models are armegeddon others are run of the mill
  4. Brian5671
    RGEM simular to the 3K NAM-worst offshore most of us get less than 2 inches of rain verbatim
  5. Brian5671
    you don't think 30 inches off the NJ coast is realistic? LOLZ
  6. Brian5671
    Today's RGEM also showed that with the worst off the coast
  7. Brian5671
    3K NAM looks nothing like the 12K-has an area of 26 inches off the NJ coast...
  8. Brian5671
    Western CT JP this run--will likely come down to a now cast
  9. Brian5671
    I'll post the full run soon but it may show 20 inches somewhere...
  10. Brian5671
    through 30 hrs
  11. Brian5671
    Flood watches up for most of upton's territory
  12. Brian5671
  13. Brian5671
    Euro drier than the meso's but clearly west
  14. Brian5671
    Euro out through 12 looks to be west
  15. Brian5671
    the general public is not that smart but in fairness the media has overhyped so much in general people just tune out
  16. Brian5671
  17. Brian5671
    PWATS close to 2 inches
  18. Brian5671
    Not sure I'd go with globals here...it's a small scale system IVT trough, meso's likely leading the way. I believe they did the same on Ida...globals missed the historics rains there
  19. Brian5671
    Unlikely-someone from NYC to RI/SE MA is going to take it on the chin here
  20. Brian5671
    Even half these amts will be bad given the saturated ground and amts of 4-6 inches in a fairly short period of time
  21. Brian5671
    IVT trough almost always ends up NE-could even end up further east with a RI/MA jackpot like the Euro has
  22. Brian5671
  23. Brian5671
    Crazy if this even comes close to verifying...and agree the IVT trough rule-usually a bit N and E of model forecasts
  24. Brian5671
    dream on...
  25. Brian5671
    Both nams are wildly different though with the area of big rains which appears to be a small geographic area-would think this has a high bust potential eitherway
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