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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Brian5671
    I think it's still trended west a bit too
  2. Brian5671
    I think you'll see that at the 3-4pm update. Wind advisories and flood watches for some areas
  3. Brian5671
    Big rains NYC and east on the GFS
  4. Brian5671
    heavy rains of 4-8 inches east LI and CT
  5. Brian5671
    We got to Ocean City in August and they just finished up a beach replenishment project-wonder how much of it they lose this weekend?
  6. Brian5671
    that's much difference than the 12K NAM which sends it into the DELMARVA
  7. Brian5671
    yeah, it's early for sure, but the fall of 2002 (also a nino yr) had a bunch in Sept starting on Labor day.
  8. Brian5671
    meso's going nuts lol. another model another solution. RGEM next
  9. Brian5671
    Yeah almost no rain here. LOL. NAM being the NAM and overdoing it.
  10. Brian5671
    NAM being the NAM and overdoing it.
  11. Brian5671
    NAM looks west through about hour 20
  12. Brian5671
    NAM looks a bit further west at hour 18
  13. Brian5671
    Good luck-it's an act of God...you can't cancel school on every windy day
  14. Brian5671
    I think the impacts at some of the beaches will be pretty bad-days of onshore flow pushing water in before the main event and full moon Saturday to boot.
  15. Brian5671
    I'm sure if it were a weekday-we'd have school closures for wind and rain. in NEW ENGLAND nonetheless
  16. Brian5671
    If that 6-10 inch rainfall area on the GFS And RGEM verifies we're going to have some serious issues-ground is saturated here from all the prior rains
  17. Brian5671
    Would be another disaster around here if we get 6-10 inches of rain...ground is saturated
  18. Brian5671
    Utpon will have alot of changes today unless models back off...
  19. Brian5671
    same thing every noreaster-GFS flat out to sea then comes on board at the end
  20. Brian5671
    Definitely but probably need winds over 40mph for that to be an issue.
  21. Brian5671
    Hard to say for the city proper. But we're having east/northeast winds right now which is piling up water so I would think moderate at least for LI/CT/NJ coasts
  22. Brian5671
    you know it's boring when we are tracking a regular fall noreaster and rooting for an inch or two of rain.
  23. Brian5671
    Thats part of the problem-the models having difficulty honing in on which part develops and when, thus all the different solutions
  24. Brian5671
    Cant even do that here. Goes in a locked case upon entry and released at end of day. Finally. Last year was a phase in year. Cuts down on cheating too.
  25. Brian5671
    12z GFS is bone dry for the tri-state
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